本文選題：對(duì)沖邏輯 + 中美安全關(guān)系　； 參考：《新視野》2014年03期

【摘要】：對(duì)沖理論屬于"斗而不破"傳統(tǒng)策略的學(xué)理化表述,它為國(guó)家間安全互動(dòng)分析提供了新的視角。該理論認(rèn)為,相關(guān)國(guó)家為應(yīng)對(duì)國(guó)際環(huán)境的不確定性,傾向于綜合運(yùn)用多樣化措施,而非單向度的行為策略;突出特點(diǎn)是有意釋放混合信號(hào)、避免被認(rèn)為站在某一邊,由此減少行為風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。中美安全關(guān)系的復(fù)雜性,主要源于兩國(guó)以及第三方之間安全互動(dòng)的策略性質(zhì),或"對(duì)沖成分"。南海爭(zhēng)端作為典型事態(tài),可以完整演繹各方對(duì)沖思路,得出相應(yīng)政策啟示。中國(guó)在處理外部安全關(guān)系時(shí),應(yīng)該將對(duì)沖策略作為常態(tài)化思路,逐漸從"以拖待變"轉(zhuǎn)向"積極對(duì)沖",嘗試以靈活方式、最小代價(jià),實(shí)現(xiàn)最終目標(biāo)。
[Abstract]:The theory of hedging belongs to the physicochemical expression of the traditional strategy of "fighting without breaking", which provides a new perspective for the analysis of interstate security interaction.The theory suggests that countries, in response to the uncertainty of the international environment, tend to employ a combination of diversification measures rather than one-way behavioural strategies; a prominent feature is the deliberate release of mixed signals to avoid being perceived as being on one side.This reduces the risk of behavior.The complexity of the security relationship stems mainly from the strategic nature, or "hedging element", of security interactions between the two countries and third parties.As a typical state of affairs, the South China Sea dispute can fully deduce the hedging ideas of all parties and draw corresponding policy implications.In dealing with external security relations, China should take hedging strategy as a normal way of thinking and gradually change from "waiting to change" to "active hedging", and try to achieve the ultimate goal in a flexible manner and at the minimum cost.
【作者單位】： 北京大學(xué)國(guó)際關(guān)系學(xué)院;
【分類號(hào)】：D822.371.2

【相似文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前3條

1 張奇;從克林頓政府對(duì)臺(tái)政策的變化看臺(tái)灣問題對(duì)中美關(guān)系的影響[J];中央政法管理干部學(xué)院學(xué)報(bào);2001年05期

2 袁偉華,王來(lái)剛;從“國(guó)際法”與國(guó)內(nèi)法——美臺(tái)安全關(guān)系法律基礎(chǔ)的演變[J];新余高專學(xué)報(bào);2004年01期

3 郭震遠(yuǎn);日本新安全戰(zhàn)略與今后的中美日安全關(guān)系[J];和平與發(fā)展;1997年04期

，

本文編號(hào)：1767173