本文選題：烏克蘭 + 俄羅斯��； 參考：《燕山大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：2013年末,由于亞努科維奇拒絕與歐盟簽署聯(lián)系國(guó)協(xié)定引發(fā)的烏克蘭危機(jī),至今已持續(xù)一年零十個(gè)月。目前,在危機(jī)中,直接對(duì)抗的雙方是波羅申科政府與東部分離武裝,背后則表現(xiàn)為俄羅斯與美歐的地緣政治博弈。危機(jī)爆發(fā)有著深刻的國(guó)內(nèi)背景,東西部的分裂狀態(tài)、政治的失衡、經(jīng)濟(jì)的長(zhǎng)期停滯不前,綜合作用導(dǎo)致了危機(jī)的爆發(fā)。而大國(guó)的介入則使得危機(jī)不斷升級(jí)、拖而不決,圍繞烏克蘭前景的地緣政治對(duì)抗已經(jīng)走向長(zhǎng)期化,制裁與反制裁相互拉鋸。烏克蘭無疑是此次危機(jī)最大的輸家,國(guó)家處于事實(shí)上的分裂狀態(tài)、政局不穩(wěn)、社會(huì)失序、經(jīng)濟(jì)瀕臨破產(chǎn),發(fā)展前景堪憂。但是危機(jī)的發(fā)展已經(jīng)超出了烏克蘭政府所能掌控的范圍,局勢(shì)的發(fā)展將取決于如何平衡俄與美歐在烏克蘭的戰(zhàn)略利益。由于烏克蘭涉及到俄羅斯的核心利益,普金政府不會(huì)妥協(xié)和退讓,而歐盟與美國(guó)在制裁俄態(tài)度和力度上的差別或許會(huì)成為危機(jī)的突破口。對(duì)烏克蘭而言,最合理的立場(chǎng)應(yīng)是在俄羅斯與西方國(guó)家之間保持中立,但烏克蘭當(dāng)局的政策顯然是親美歐而疏俄,這將會(huì)迫使普京不惜一切代價(jià)采取各種手段維護(hù)其在烏克蘭的利益。烏克蘭危機(jī)不僅改變著烏克蘭國(guó)家的命運(yùn),而且改變了歐洲大陸的地緣安全環(huán)境,牽動(dòng)著地區(qū)局勢(shì)和國(guó)際全局。
[Abstract]:In late 2013, the crisis in Ukraine, triggered by Yanukovych's refusal to sign an agreement with the European Union, has lasted for a year and ten months.At present, in the crisis, the direct confrontation is between Poroshenko government and the eastern separatist armed forces, behind the geopolitical game between Russia and the United States and Europe.The outbreak of the crisis has a profound domestic background, the divided state of the east and the west, the political imbalance, the long-term stagnation of the economy, and the comprehensive role that led to the outbreak of the crisis.The intervention of big powers has escalated the crisis, dragged on, the geopolitical confrontation over the prospect of Ukraine has become a long-term, sanctions and anti-sanctions each other.Ukraine is no doubt the biggest loser of the crisis. The country is de facto divided, political instability, social disorder, an economy on the verge of bankruptcy, and a worrying future.But the development of the crisis is beyond the control of the Ukrainian government and will depend on how to balance the strategic interests of Russia and the United States and Europe in Ukraine.Since Ukraine has a core interest in Russia, the Putin administration will not compromise or back down, and the differences between the EU and the United States in terms of attitudes and intensity of sanctions against Russia may be a breakthrough in the crisis.For Ukraine, the most reasonable position should be to remain neutral between Russia and the West, but the policy of the Ukrainian authorities is obviously pro-American and not pro-European.That would force Mr Putin to do whatever it takes to defend his interests in Ukraine.The crisis in Ukraine not only changes the destiny of Ukraine, but also changes the geo-security environment of the European continent and affects the regional situation and the international situation.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：燕山大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：D815

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