分化對(duì)手聯(lián)盟:戰(zhàn)略、機(jī)制與案例
本文選題:分化對(duì)手聯(lián)盟 切入點(diǎn):合作性戰(zhàn)略 出處:《世界經(jīng)濟(jì)與政治》2014年01期 論文類(lèi)型:期刊論文
【摘要】:在國(guó)際政治中,一個(gè)國(guó)家在面對(duì)對(duì)手聯(lián)盟可能造成的安全威脅和對(duì)自身發(fā)展的阻礙時(shí),既可以選擇通過(guò)發(fā)展軍備和結(jié)盟來(lái)增強(qiáng)自身力量,也可以主動(dòng)采取措施削弱、限制和破壞針對(duì)自己的實(shí)際或潛在聯(lián)盟,這些措施可以被稱(chēng)做分化對(duì)手聯(lián)盟戰(zhàn)略。根據(jù)戰(zhàn)略效果的不同,分化對(duì)手聯(lián)盟戰(zhàn)略的主要目標(biāo)包括阻止新的潛在結(jié)盟國(guó)家加入對(duì)手聯(lián)盟,促使對(duì)手聯(lián)盟中的某些成員在對(duì)抗和沖突中保持中立,吸引某些國(guó)家在競(jìng)爭(zhēng)中轉(zhuǎn)而支持自己以及拉攏對(duì)手聯(lián)盟中的成員加入己方陣營(yíng)。根據(jù)與聯(lián)盟政治相關(guān)的既有理論和歷史經(jīng)驗(yàn),分化對(duì)手聯(lián)盟戰(zhàn)略可以被分為合作性戰(zhàn)略、對(duì)抗性戰(zhàn)略及觀望性戰(zhàn)略等三種主要類(lèi)型。冷戰(zhàn)結(jié)束后,美國(guó)主導(dǎo)的北約東擴(kuò)進(jìn)程對(duì)俄羅斯的國(guó)家安全和地區(qū)影響力構(gòu)成了嚴(yán)峻挑戰(zhàn)。面對(duì)北約向中東歐尤其是獨(dú)聯(lián)體國(guó)家持續(xù)擴(kuò)張,俄羅斯試圖綜合運(yùn)用合作與對(duì)抗等多種手段阻止周邊鄰國(guó)加入北約。盡管這些戰(zhàn)略努力既有成功經(jīng)驗(yàn)也有失敗教訓(xùn),但是俄羅斯中止格魯吉亞和烏克蘭加入北約進(jìn)程的努力展示出分化對(duì)手聯(lián)盟戰(zhàn)略在當(dāng)今單極體系下的成功案例。
[Abstract]:In international politics, in the face of security threats and obstacles to the development of a rival alliance, a country may choose to strengthen itself by developing arms and alliances, or to take initiatives to weaken them. Limiting and undermining actual or potential alliances against themselves can be described as dividing adversaries' alliance strategies. Depending on the effectiveness of the strategy, The main objectives of the strategy of dividing adversary alliances include preventing new potential allies from joining adversary alliances and keeping some members of rival coalitions neutral in confrontation and conflict. Attracting some countries to support themselves in the competition and to attract the members of the adversary alliance to join their own camp. Based on the existing theory and historical experience related to the politics of the alliance, the strategy of dividing the adversary alliance can be divided into cooperative strategy. There are three main types of adversarial strategy and wait-and-see strategy. The US-led NATO eastward expansion process poses a serious challenge to Russia's national security and regional influence. In the face of NATO's continued expansion into Central and Eastern Europe, especially the CIS countries, Russia is trying to use a combination of cooperation and confrontation to prevent neighboring countries from joining NATO. Despite the successes and failures of these strategic efforts, But Russia's efforts to stop Georgia and Ukraine from joining NATO demonstrate the success story of dividing rival alliances in today's unipolar system.
【作者單位】: 南開(kāi)大學(xué)周恩來(lái)政府管理學(xué)院;
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:D81
【共引文獻(xiàn)】
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