【摘要】：隨著我國經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,人們生育所適用的人口規(guī)律已經(jīng)發(fā)生了變化。從新中國成立初期適用的"馬爾薩斯人口規(guī)律",進(jìn)入到"社會主義人口規(guī)律"和計劃生育,然后是雇傭經(jīng)濟(jì)普遍發(fā)展帶來的"資本主義人口規(guī)律",以及后續(xù)的技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)時代的"人力資本人口規(guī)律",加上社會保障的發(fā)展以及避孕工具的發(fā)展,帶來了"成本效益比較的人口規(guī)律"和生育正效益社會外溢的"公共補(bǔ)償生育規(guī)律"。因此,人們生育意愿由原來的強(qiáng)烈變?yōu)榫徍?原來是政策"強(qiáng)制一孩",現(xiàn)在則是一部分人"自愿一孩",甚至不生孩子。我們要從人口規(guī)律的變動上去理解現(xiàn)實,制定人口政策。
[Abstract]:With the development of our country's economy, the population law of people's fertility has changed. From the "Malthus population Law", which was applied in the early days of the founding of New China, to the "Socialist population Law" and family planning, Then there is the "law of capitalist population" brought about by the general development of the employment economy, and the "law of human capital population" of the subsequent technical and economic times, plus the development of social security and the development of contraceptives. It brings "population law of cost-benefit comparison" and "law of public compensatory fertility" of social spillover of positive benefits of fertility. As a result, people's desire to have children has been changed from a strong one to a moderate one. It turns out that the policy of "forcing a child" is now a part of the population "willing to have one child" or even not having a child. We should understand reality from the change of population law and formulate population policy.
【作者單位】： 中國財政科學(xué)研究院;
【分類號】：C924.2

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