本文選題：消費差異 + 流動人口　； 參考：《華中科技大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著城市化的推進,非農(nóng)產(chǎn)業(yè)和城市成為了農(nóng)村剩余勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移的自然選擇,根據(jù)國家統(tǒng)計局的農(nóng)民工監(jiān)測調(diào)查,“2013年外出農(nóng)民工總量為1.66億,占城鎮(zhèn)就業(yè)總量的43%”。我國城市化率也從1978年的17.92%攀升至2012年52.54%左右。然而,對于勞動力流動,市場管制方面趨于放松,但戶籍制度改革滯后導(dǎo)致人口流動更多的是勞動力流動。缺乏全面的戶籍制度改革,使得目前的城鎮(zhèn)化并不是全面的城鎮(zhèn)化,而是以勞動力流動為主導(dǎo),從而造成了當(dāng)前經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)與人口結(jié)構(gòu)的扭曲,制約我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的向更高的發(fā)展目標(biāo)邁進。自2000年以來,我國居民消費率持續(xù)下滑,如何有效啟動居民消費,如何擴大內(nèi)需以促進經(jīng)濟增長,成了學(xué)術(shù)界關(guān)心的重要問題,而農(nóng)民工市民化是擴大內(nèi)需、促進消費的需要。因此,更好地了解流動人口的消費行為具有重要的理論意義和現(xiàn)實意義。本文針對城鎮(zhèn)家庭和流動人口家庭的消費差異進行比較研究,對比分析兩者的消費行為,考慮人群內(nèi)部的異質(zhì)性,重點對流動人口與城鎮(zhèn)人口的消費收入彈性進行系統(tǒng)分析,提出提升流動人口消費水平的總體思路以及制度性政策建議,以期為城鎮(zhèn)化、擴大內(nèi)需等問題提供理論依據(jù)和政策參考。根據(jù)本文的邏輯框架,主要分為四個部分。第一部分是導(dǎo)論。主要介紹論文的研究背景、研究意義、國內(nèi)外研究動態(tài)、以及論文的在實證分析中所使用的研究方法和研究過程中的創(chuàng)新點和不足。第二部分是研究的理論基礎(chǔ)。先闡述了西方經(jīng)典消費理論、中國消費函數(shù)理論;然后介紹了勞動力流動的經(jīng)典研究模型;最后,深入闡述分位數(shù)回歸和反事實分析的原理和思想。第三部分是實證部分。第四部分是政策建議和研究展望。基于理論分析和實證分析得出的結(jié)論,提出進一步保障流動人口權(quán)利,激活流動人口消費潛力的政策建議。本文對于我國家庭消費差異的深入研究具有一定的借鑒意義,針對流動人口各項社會保障的完善和收入分配政策的制定也能夠提供一定的參考。
[Abstract]:With the promotion of urbanization, non-agricultural industries and cities have become the natural selection for the transfer of rural surplus labor. According to the survey of migrant workers conducted by the National Bureau of Statistics, "the total number of migrant workers going out in 2013 is 166 million, accounting for 43% of the total employment in cities and towns".The urbanization rate in China also rose from 17.92% in 1978 to 52.54% in 2012.However, for labor mobility, market regulation tends to be relaxed, but the lagging reform of household registration system leads to more labor mobility.In the absence of comprehensive reform of the household registration system, the current urbanization is not a full-scale urbanization, but is dominated by the flow of labor, resulting in the distortion of the current economic structure and population structure.Restrict our country's economic development to the higher development goal stride forward.Since 2000, the resident consumption rate of our country continues to decline, how to effectively start the resident consumption, how to expand the domestic demand to promote the economic growth, has become the important problem concerned by the academic circles, and the peasant laborer citizen is the need to expand the domestic demand and promote the consumption.Therefore, a better understanding of the floating population consumption behavior has important theoretical and practical significance.This paper makes a comparative study on the consumption differences between urban families and floating population families, compares and analyzes their consumption behaviors, considers the heterogeneity within the population, and focuses on the systematic analysis of the consumption income elasticity between the floating population and the urban population.This paper puts forward the general idea of improving the consumption level of floating population and the institutional policy suggestions in order to provide theoretical basis and policy reference for urbanization and domestic demand expansion.According to the logical framework of this paper, it is divided into four parts.The first part is an introduction.This paper mainly introduces the research background, research significance, research trends at home and abroad, as well as the research methods used in empirical analysis and the innovation points and shortcomings in the research process.The second part is the theoretical basis of the study.This paper first expounds the western classical consumption theory, Chinese consumption function theory, then introduces the classical research model of labor force flow; finally, expounds the principle and thought of quantile regression and counterfactual analysis in depth.The third part is the empirical part.The fourth part is the policy suggestion and research prospect.Based on the conclusions of theoretical analysis and empirical analysis, this paper puts forward some policy recommendations to further protect the rights of the floating population and activate the consumption potential of the floating population.This article has certain reference significance for our country family consumption difference thorough research, regarding the floating population each social security consummation and the income distribution policy formulation also can provide the certain reference.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華中科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：F126.1

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