中俄海洋安全戰(zhàn)略合作探究
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2019-07-05 15:07
【摘要】：中俄兩國的海洋安全戰(zhàn)略合作處在“低網(wǎng)格”、“魯棒性”、“復(fù)雜性”的國際背景之下,因而戰(zhàn)略目標(biāo)契合產(chǎn)生的合作的經(jīng)常性、利益不合引發(fā)的摩擦經(jīng)常性、關(guān)系互動的復(fù)雜性都很明顯,為了避免“歷史印象主義”導(dǎo)致的先驗(yàn)論和對合作的過分期許導(dǎo)致的信任層級相攀下降、負(fù)能量環(huán)繞的安全困境出現(xiàn),給兩國的合作奠定“雙贏”、“互利”的基調(diào)十分重要。同時(shí)安全合作不只是本地區(qū)國家間的事務(wù),必須注意到“外部性問題”,即域外大國的干涉和周邊勢力的制約。從技術(shù)角度考慮,以中國的國家利益為中心進(jìn)行分析更具有合理性和可操作性;觀察方式上借用了時(shí)殷弘的微觀探視、實(shí)證審視、印象主義三種路徑;將傳統(tǒng)的“亞太”語境替換為“泛亞”語境,與“大周邊”政策相呼應(yīng)。探究中俄海洋安全戰(zhàn)略合作首先要認(rèn)識中國和俄羅斯的海洋安全地緣環(huán)境。中俄兩國都是陸海復(fù)合型國家,這類國家有著不可避免的雙重易受害性,易受到來自陸上和海上的雙重進(jìn)攻,并且兩國都面臨著被以美國為首的西方國家戰(zhàn)略封堵的現(xiàn)實(shí)危機(jī),海洋安全有高度的敏感性和脆弱性。中國因脆弱性而形成了防御性的傳統(tǒng),得到了和平發(fā)展和維護(hù)國家核心利益兩個(gè)重大因素不可偏廢、參與地區(qū)安全建構(gòu)與維護(hù)自身利益相協(xié)調(diào)、實(shí)現(xiàn)與其他國家戰(zhàn)略合作同時(shí)保證自身戰(zhàn)略靈活性這三點(diǎn)經(jīng)驗(yàn),而俄因此脆弱性形成了進(jìn)攻性的傳統(tǒng),面對西方國家的封堵,俄始終兵來將擋水來土掩的進(jìn)行著拉鋸式的斗爭,俄對于海權(quán)的研究和認(rèn)識都要早于、細(xì)致于中國。從力量對比、機(jī)制構(gòu)建、觀念塑造三個(gè)角度分析中俄海洋安全合作,涵蓋了權(quán)力、制度、文化這三個(gè)層面。目前中俄實(shí)力對比的情況是中國的整體實(shí)力要強(qiáng)于俄羅斯。在合作過程中中國應(yīng)注意不要被“盟友”關(guān)系綁架,要保持戰(zhàn)略靈活性,用一種略帶“功利主義”的眼光和“大周邊”的視野來規(guī)劃中俄合作。而合作的框架可以立足于“上海合作組織”機(jī)制和中、俄、東盟的三角關(guān)系構(gòu)建。中俄兩國之間歷史上存在著誤解和沖突,在合作過程中利用文化軟實(shí)力,彌合分歧,促進(jìn)“親、誠、惠、容”的觀念塑造也是必須考慮的。最后兩國合作的定位應(yīng)是減弱甚至抵消美國在西太平洋的優(yōu)勢地位,為兩國贏得戰(zhàn)略機(jī)遇期和戰(zhàn)略喘息空間。俄國應(yīng)借中國“一帶一路”之力發(fā)展輕重工業(yè)平衡的經(jīng)濟(jì),優(yōu)化經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu),避免能源陷阱。在東海、南海問題上,中國要勇于拉俄羅斯“下水”,以承諾換承諾,以俄羅斯的民族性格不會白白接受饋贈,戰(zhàn)略互惠,有來有往反而更有利于兩國健康。
[Abstract]:The strategic cooperation of maritime security between China and Russia is under the international background of "low grid", "robustness" and "complexity". As a result, the cooperation produced by the combination of strategic objectives, the friction caused by the incompatibility of interests, and the complexity of relationship interaction are all very obvious. In order to avoid the decline of the level of trust caused by the transcendental theory caused by "historical impressionism" and the excessive expectation of cooperation, the strategic cooperation between China and Russia is under the international background of "low grid", "robustness" and "complexity". The emergence of the security dilemma surrounded by negative energy has laid a "win-win" and "mutually beneficial" tone for the cooperation between the two countries. At the same time, security cooperation is not only a matter between countries in the region, but must pay attention to the "externality", that is, the interference of foreign powers and the restriction of surrounding forces. From the technical point of view, it is more reasonable and operable to carry out the analysis centered on China's national interests; the observation way borrows Shi Yinhong's microscopic visit, empirical examination and impressionism; the traditional "Asia-Pacific" context is replaced by the "pan-Asian" context, which echoes the policy of "Great periphery". In order to explore the strategic cooperation of maritime security between China and Russia, we should first understand the geo-environment of marine security between China and Russia. Both China and Russia are land-sea compound countries, which are inevitably double vulnerable and vulnerable to double attacks from land and sea. Both countries are facing the realistic crisis of strategic blockage by the western countries led by the United States, and marine security is highly sensitive and fragile. Because of its vulnerability, China has formed a defensive tradition, which has gained two major factors: peaceful development and safeguarding the core interests of the state. It has been involved in the coordination of regional security construction and safeguarding its own interests, and has realized strategic cooperation with other countries while ensuring its own strategic flexibility. As a result, Russia has formed an offensive tradition and is blocked in the face of Western countries. Russia has always come to block the water to cover the soil to carry out a tug-saw struggle, Russia's research and understanding of maritime power is earlier than, meticulous than China. This paper analyzes the maritime security cooperation between China and Russia from three angles: strength comparison, mechanism construction and concept shaping, which covers the three aspects of power, system and culture. At present, the situation of strength comparison between China and Russia is that China's overall strength is stronger than Russia. In the process of cooperation, China should pay attention not to be kidnapped by "allies", maintain strategic flexibility, and plan Sino-Russian cooperation with a slightly "utilitarian" vision and a "big perimeter." The framework of cooperation can be based on the Shanghai Cooperation Organization mechanism and the triangular relationship between China, Russia and ASEAN. There are misunderstandings and conflicts between China and Russia in the history. In the process of cooperation, it is also necessary to consider how to make use of cultural soft power to bridge differences and promote the concept of "pro, sincerity, benefit, tolerance". Finally, the position of cooperation between the two countries should be to weaken or even offset the dominant position of the United States in the western Pacific, and to win the strategic opportunity period and strategic breathing space for the two countries. Russia should take advantage of China's "Belt and Road Initiative" to develop a balanced economy of light and heavy industry, optimize its economic structure and avoid energy pitfalls. On the East China Sea and South China Sea issues, China should have the courage to pull Russia into the water in exchange for a promise that Russia's national character will not accept gifts in vain, and strategic reciprocity is more conducive to the health of the two countries.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國海洋大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：D822.351.2
本文編號：2510611
[Abstract]:The strategic cooperation of maritime security between China and Russia is under the international background of "low grid", "robustness" and "complexity". As a result, the cooperation produced by the combination of strategic objectives, the friction caused by the incompatibility of interests, and the complexity of relationship interaction are all very obvious. In order to avoid the decline of the level of trust caused by the transcendental theory caused by "historical impressionism" and the excessive expectation of cooperation, the strategic cooperation between China and Russia is under the international background of "low grid", "robustness" and "complexity". The emergence of the security dilemma surrounded by negative energy has laid a "win-win" and "mutually beneficial" tone for the cooperation between the two countries. At the same time, security cooperation is not only a matter between countries in the region, but must pay attention to the "externality", that is, the interference of foreign powers and the restriction of surrounding forces. From the technical point of view, it is more reasonable and operable to carry out the analysis centered on China's national interests; the observation way borrows Shi Yinhong's microscopic visit, empirical examination and impressionism; the traditional "Asia-Pacific" context is replaced by the "pan-Asian" context, which echoes the policy of "Great periphery". In order to explore the strategic cooperation of maritime security between China and Russia, we should first understand the geo-environment of marine security between China and Russia. Both China and Russia are land-sea compound countries, which are inevitably double vulnerable and vulnerable to double attacks from land and sea. Both countries are facing the realistic crisis of strategic blockage by the western countries led by the United States, and marine security is highly sensitive and fragile. Because of its vulnerability, China has formed a defensive tradition, which has gained two major factors: peaceful development and safeguarding the core interests of the state. It has been involved in the coordination of regional security construction and safeguarding its own interests, and has realized strategic cooperation with other countries while ensuring its own strategic flexibility. As a result, Russia has formed an offensive tradition and is blocked in the face of Western countries. Russia has always come to block the water to cover the soil to carry out a tug-saw struggle, Russia's research and understanding of maritime power is earlier than, meticulous than China. This paper analyzes the maritime security cooperation between China and Russia from three angles: strength comparison, mechanism construction and concept shaping, which covers the three aspects of power, system and culture. At present, the situation of strength comparison between China and Russia is that China's overall strength is stronger than Russia. In the process of cooperation, China should pay attention not to be kidnapped by "allies", maintain strategic flexibility, and plan Sino-Russian cooperation with a slightly "utilitarian" vision and a "big perimeter." The framework of cooperation can be based on the Shanghai Cooperation Organization mechanism and the triangular relationship between China, Russia and ASEAN. There are misunderstandings and conflicts between China and Russia in the history. In the process of cooperation, it is also necessary to consider how to make use of cultural soft power to bridge differences and promote the concept of "pro, sincerity, benefit, tolerance". Finally, the position of cooperation between the two countries should be to weaken or even offset the dominant position of the United States in the western Pacific, and to win the strategic opportunity period and strategic breathing space for the two countries. Russia should take advantage of China's "Belt and Road Initiative" to develop a balanced economy of light and heavy industry, optimize its economic structure and avoid energy pitfalls. On the East China Sea and South China Sea issues, China should have the courage to pull Russia into the water in exchange for a promise that Russia's national character will not accept gifts in vain, and strategic reciprocity is more conducive to the health of the two countries.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國海洋大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：D822.351.2
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前2條
1 馬風(fēng)書;中俄關(guān)系中的美國因素[J];當(dāng)代世界社會主義問題;2002年02期
2 秦宣仁;既是獨(dú)立兩極,又是戰(zhàn)略伙伴——中俄政治經(jīng)濟(jì)關(guān)系淺析[J];國際貿(mào)易;1998年08期
，本文編號：2510611
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