中東變局以來的伊朗與以色列關(guān)系研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-06-12 22:20
本文選題:伊朗 + 以色列; 參考:《上海外國語大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:在中東地區(qū),伊朗和以色列一直保持著十分明顯的對(duì)抗關(guān)系。1979年伊朗伊斯蘭革命之前,伊朗和以色列在承認(rèn)彼此共同利益的前提下,建立了非正式的合作,形成了安全聯(lián)盟。然而,伊朗伊斯蘭革命及其此后所建立的政權(quán),開啟了一個(gè)受新的意識(shí)形態(tài)所控制的伊朗。伊以雙方均重新評(píng)估各自的國家利益,兩國逐漸走向公開的惡化。中東劇變以來,隨著“阿拉伯之春”的火燒燎原之勢(shì)在中東迅速蔓延,以及伊朗核問題的進(jìn)一步發(fā)展,兩國之間的關(guān)系也走向了對(duì)立的新高度。因此,本文在全面地梳理兩國之間關(guān)系的基礎(chǔ)上,闡述中東劇變以來伊朗和以色列關(guān)系的現(xiàn)狀,探討在伊朗核問題及后伊核協(xié)議時(shí)代伊以雙方矛盾對(duì)立的內(nèi)在根源,分析影響兩國關(guān)系的諸多外在因素。文章主要分為四個(gè)部分。第一部分,伊朗和以色列關(guān)系的歷史演變。著重從歷史發(fā)展的角度,梳理兩個(gè)國家之間關(guān)系的演變脈絡(luò)。伊朗伊斯蘭革命前,伊以兩國基于各自的利益,建立了以事實(shí)上的合作為主的短暫聯(lián)盟,雙方之間主要以石油和武器交易為主。第二部分,中東劇變以來的伊以關(guān)系。2011年的“阿拉伯之春”引發(fā)中東地區(qū)局勢(shì)的新一輪變化,原本局部沖突動(dòng)亂、整體相對(duì)平衡的發(fā)展格局被打破,中東陷入新的亂局。中東變局對(duì)伊朗和以色列雙方產(chǎn)生影響。伊朗在劇變后謀求大國地位的野心進(jìn)一步增強(qiáng),而以色列擔(dān)心阿拉伯民主革命結(jié)果的不確定性以及對(duì)伊朗趁機(jī)崛起的警惕。第三部分,伊核問題全面協(xié)議的簽訂以及后伊核協(xié)議時(shí)代的伊以關(guān)系。隨著2015年7月14日伊朗核問題達(dá)成全面協(xié)議,伊朗用暫時(shí)的妥協(xié)與國際社會(huì)討價(jià)還價(jià),為自身的發(fā)展迎來全新的機(jī)遇期。而以色列對(duì)此強(qiáng)烈反對(duì),認(rèn)為這對(duì)以色列的國家安全和生存帶來了嚴(yán)重挑戰(zhàn),通過不斷向美國及國際社會(huì)施壓等方式,表明自身的反對(duì)立場。第四部分,伊以關(guān)系演變的影響因素。包括域外大國美國在中東的利益爭奪,中東地區(qū)自身的和平進(jìn)程,以及伊以雙方基于各自國家利益所選擇的外交政策。最后,對(duì)伊以關(guān)系在未來得以改善的可行性進(jìn)行了淺顯的分析。雖然在今天,以色列認(rèn)為伊朗是一個(gè)強(qiáng)勁的對(duì)手和潛在的威脅,但是不排除未來伊以將有可能在環(huán)境和政策選擇的轉(zhuǎn)變下,改善彼此之間的關(guān)系,推動(dòng)中東地區(qū)的和平進(jìn)程。
[Abstract]:Iran and Israel have maintained clear confrontational relations in the Middle East. Prior to the Islamic revolution in Iran in 1979, Iran and Israel established informal cooperation and formed a security alliance in recognition of each other's common interests. However, the Islamic Revolution in Iran and the regime it later established opened up an Iran controlled by new ideologies. Both sides reassessed their national interests, and the two countries gradually headed for an open deterioration. Since the dramatic changes in the Middle East, with the rapid spread of the "Arab Spring" in the Middle East and the further development of the Iranian nuclear issue, the relations between the two countries have also moved to a new level of opposition. Therefore, on the basis of comprehensively combing the relations between the two countries, this paper expounds the present situation of the relations between Iran and Israel since the dramatic changes in the Middle East, and probes into the internal causes of the contradiction between Iran and Israel in the Iran nuclear issue and the era of the post-Iraqi nuclear agreement. Analysis of many external factors affecting the relationship between the two countries. The article is divided into four parts. The first part is the historical evolution of the relationship between Iran and Israel. From the perspective of historical development, combing the evolution of the relationship between the two countries. Prior to the Islamic Revolution in Iran, the two countries, based on their respective interests, established a brief alliance based on de facto cooperation, mainly on oil and arms transactions. The second part, the relations between Iraq and Israel since the dramatic changes in the Middle East. The "Arab Spring" in 2011 triggered a new round of changes in the situation in the Middle East. The original local conflicts and disturbances, the overall relatively balanced development pattern was broken, and the Middle East fell into a new mess. The change in the Middle East has had an impact on both Iran and Israel. Iran's ambition to seek power after the upheaval has increased, while Israel fears uncertainty about the outcome of the Arab democratic revolution and vigilance about Iran's rise. The third part, the signing of the comprehensive agreement on the Iraqi nuclear issue and the Iraq-Israel relationship in the post-Iraqi nuclear agreement era. With a comprehensive agreement on the Iranian nuclear issue reached on July 14, 2015, Iran haggles with the international community with a temporary compromise, ushering in a new period of opportunity for its own development. Israel strongly opposes this, saying that it poses a serious challenge to Israel's national security and survival, and expresses its opposition by constantly pressing the United States and the international community. The fourth part, the influence factors of the evolution of the relationship between Iraq and Israel. It includes the scramble for the interests of the United States in the Middle East, the peace process in the Middle East itself, and the foreign policy chosen by Iraq and Israel on the basis of their respective national interests. Finally, the feasibility of improving the relationship between Iraq and Israel in the future is analyzed. While Israel today sees Iran as a strong opponent and a potential threat, it does not rule out the possibility that in the future it will improve its relations with each other and promote the peace process in the Middle East under changing circumstances and policy options.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:上海外國語大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:D815.4
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