發(fā)布時間：2018-06-04 15:49

  本文選題：有效需求 + 老齡產(chǎn)業(yè)��； 參考：《天津工業(yè)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：20世紀70年代以來,我國計劃生育政策的執(zhí)行、經(jīng)濟社會發(fā)展水平的提升、人們重生育質(zhì)量輕生育數(shù)量觀念的轉(zhuǎn)變,加速了我國人口的自然轉(zhuǎn)變過程,使老齡化社會加速到來,且老齡化程度不斷加深。近年來,得益于我國的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平的高速率增長,老齡人群(尤其是城鎮(zhèn)老齡人群)經(jīng)濟能力大幅增強,對物質(zhì)及精神文化追求有所提升,各類需求不斷增長,日益龐大的老齡消費群體促進形成了新的產(chǎn)業(yè)——老齡產(chǎn)業(yè)。不同于西方老齡化國家成熟的老齡產(chǎn)業(yè)市場,我國的人口老齡化呈現(xiàn)出人口基數(shù)大、高齡化趨勢明顯、老齡化進程速度快等特點,使得我們的老齡產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展速度不能與老齡化程度的加深速度相匹配�，F(xiàn)階段我國老齡產(chǎn)業(yè)仍處于發(fā)展初期,相關(guān)政策沒有實現(xiàn)精準對接、仍然存在產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不合理、產(chǎn)業(yè)規(guī)制不完善、細分產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展不均衡等問題,老齡市場對老年人的特殊需求無法滿足,致使老年人"需求旺盛,有效需求不足"問題頻發(fā)。另外,仍有部分高齡或貧困老年人的基本生活開支來源不穩(wěn)定,生活水平不高,該群體的需求也難以形成有效需求得以釋放。由此,對老齡產(chǎn)業(yè)進行有效需求問題研究,進而推動老齡產(chǎn)業(yè)健康有序發(fā)展,使老齡產(chǎn)業(yè)成為經(jīng)濟的新支點,是我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的熱點問題之一。首先,本文對老齡產(chǎn)業(yè)概念和涵蓋內(nèi)容進行了清晰界定。立足宏觀和中觀層面,以有效需求理論作為研究基礎(chǔ),剖析老齡產(chǎn)業(yè)整體及其細分行業(yè)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,總結(jié)當(dāng)前老齡產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展中存在的共性問題;立足微觀層面,從老齡人群的收入水平和消費結(jié)構(gòu)兩個方面對老齡人群的有效需求進行研究,運用GA-BP算法進行可支配收入預(yù)測,運用交叉分析法進行消費偏好分析,得出不同年齡段老齡人群的收入結(jié)構(gòu)和消費偏好差異。最后,本文從政策層面、產(chǎn)業(yè)層面及企業(yè)層面著力探討了促進老齡產(chǎn)業(yè)健康有序發(fā)展的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Since the 1970s, the implementation of family planning policy, the improvement of the level of economic and social development, and the transformation of people's concept of valuing fertility quality over fertility quantity have accelerated the natural transformation of China's population and accelerated the arrival of an aging society. And the degree of aging is deepening. In recent years, thanks to the high rate of economic development in our country, the economic ability of the elderly (especially the elderly in urban areas) has been greatly enhanced, their pursuit of material and spiritual culture has been improved, and various kinds of demands have been growing. The growing elderly consumer groups promote the formation of a new industry-the aging industry. Different from the mature aging industry market in the aging countries in the West, the aging population in our country has the characteristics of large population base, obvious aging trend, and rapid aging process. So that our aging industry development speed and aging degree of deepening speed can not match. At this stage, China's aging industry is still in the early stage of development, the relevant policies have not achieved accurate docking, there are still some problems, such as unreasonable industrial structure, imperfect industrial regulation, unbalanced development of subdivision industries, etc. The aging market can not meet the special needs of the elderly, resulting in the elderly "strong demand, insufficient effective demand" problem frequently. In addition, there are still some elderly or poor elderly people with unstable sources of basic living expenses and low standard of living, and it is difficult for this group to form effective needs to be released. Therefore, it is one of the hot issues in the economic development of our country to study the effective demand of the aging industry, to promote the healthy and orderly development of the aging industry, and to make the aging industry become the new fulcrum of the economy. First of all, the concept and coverage of the aging industry are clearly defined in this paper. Based on the theory of effective demand, this paper analyzes the current situation of the development of the aging industry as a whole and its subdivision industries, summarizes the common problems existing in the current development of the aging industry, and bases itself on the micro level. This paper studies the effective demand of the aged from the income level and consumption structure of the aged, forecasts the disposable income by using GA-BP algorithm, and analyzes the consumption preference by cross-analysis. The differences of income structure and consumption preference of different age groups were obtained. Finally, this paper discusses the policy suggestions to promote the healthy and orderly development of the aging industry from the policy level, the industrial level and the enterprise level.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F719;D669.3

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相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 吳玉韶;;積極應(yīng)對人口老齡化的挑戰(zhàn)[J];決策探索(下半月);2014年10期

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本文編號：1977940