勞動(dòng)力演化如何影響中國(guó)工業(yè)發(fā)展:轉(zhuǎn)移還是轉(zhuǎn)型
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-04-04 00:21
本文選題:產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移 切入點(diǎn):產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型 出處:《中國(guó)工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)》2016年09期
【摘要】:勞動(dòng)力演化對(duì)工業(yè)發(fā)展的影響存在轉(zhuǎn)移和轉(zhuǎn)型的雙重效應(yīng)。本文通過(guò)對(duì)勞動(dòng)力區(qū)位熵的引力系數(shù)修正,測(cè)度了產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移和產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型的相對(duì)凈流量;2000—2014年中國(guó)29個(gè)省份按技術(shù)水平劃分的五類工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)面板數(shù)據(jù),實(shí)證研究了勞動(dòng)力數(shù)量、勞動(dòng)力技能水平以及勞動(dòng)力技能配置效率對(duì)工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移和轉(zhuǎn)型的影響。結(jié)果表明,中國(guó)工業(yè)發(fā)展順應(yīng)勞動(dòng)力演化的趨勢(shì)明顯。從數(shù)量角度看,人口紅利衰減會(huì)加速中國(guó)工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)的空間轉(zhuǎn)移,并進(jìn)一步"倒逼"低技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)向高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型;從技能角度看,勞動(dòng)力技能的提高有利于吸引高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移和推動(dòng)低技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)向中高端轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí);從技能配置效率看,其對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移和轉(zhuǎn)型的作用趨勢(shì)相反,對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移而言,技能配置效率的提高容易形成對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)的"擠出",對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型而言,則會(huì)形成對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)的促進(jìn)作用。在亟待通過(guò)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移和轉(zhuǎn)型從而拓展發(fā)展空間的戰(zhàn)略背景下,除了要注重引導(dǎo)勞動(dòng)力從沿海向內(nèi)陸沿邊地區(qū)適度"回流"和著力促進(jìn)勞動(dòng)力技能提升外,必須重視勞動(dòng)力技能與產(chǎn)業(yè)技術(shù)的匹配,真正推動(dòng)"人口紅利"向"人才紅利"轉(zhuǎn)型。這對(duì)于中國(guó)工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展具有極為重要的戰(zhàn)略意義。
[Abstract]:The influence of labor force evolution on industrial development has the dual effect of transfer and transformation.This paper measures the relative net flow of industrial transfer and industrial transformation by modifying the gravitational coefficient of labor force location entropy.Based on five types of industrial panel data of 29 provinces in China from 2000 to 2014, this paper empirically studies the effects of labor force quantity, labor skill level and labor skill allocation efficiency on industrial industry transfer and transformation.The results show that China's industrial development conforms to the trend of labor evolution.From a quantitative point of view, the decline of the demographic dividend will accelerate the spatial transfer of China's industrial industries and further "reverse" the transition of low-tech industries to high-technology industries; from a skills perspective,The improvement of labor skills is conducive to attracting the transfer of high-tech industries and promoting the transformation and upgrading of low-technology industries to the middle and high end; from the perspective of the efficiency of skill allocation, the effect of the skills allocation on industrial transfer and transformation is opposite, and on industrial transfer.The enhancement of skill allocation efficiency is easy to form "extrusion" to industry, and to industry transformation, it will promote industrial transformation and upgrading.Under the strategic background of developing space through industry transfer and transformation, we should not only focus on guiding the labor force from the coastal to the inland border areas, but also focus on promoting the upgrading of labor skills.We must pay attention to the matching of labor skills and industrial technology, and really promote the transition from "demographic dividend" to "talent dividend".This is of great strategic significance to the development of China's industrial industry.
【作者單位】: 南京審計(jì)大學(xué)政府審計(jì)學(xué)院;南京審計(jì)大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與貿(mào)易學(xué)院;
【基金】:國(guó)家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金重點(diǎn)項(xiàng)目“全球經(jīng)濟(jì)深度調(diào)整背景下我國(guó)外貿(mào)增速變化機(jī)理及對(duì)策研究”(批準(zhǔn)號(hào)16AJY018);國(guó)家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金一般項(xiàng)目“要素成本上升、產(chǎn)業(yè)斷檔與我國(guó)新型比較優(yōu)勢(shì)培育研究”(批準(zhǔn)號(hào)15BJY119) 江蘇省“青藍(lán)工程”中青年學(xué)術(shù)帶頭人培養(yǎng)項(xiàng)目“價(jià)值鏈演進(jìn)新趨勢(shì)與我國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展”(批準(zhǔn)號(hào)16QL006)
【分類號(hào)】:F249.2;F424
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本文編號(hào):1707549
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