本文選題：非常規(guī)油氣　切入點(diǎn)：技術(shù)學(xué)習(xí)率　出處：《北京理工大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(社會(huì)科學(xué)版)》2016年03期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：以頁巖氣開發(fā)技術(shù)應(yīng)用為代表,通過多目標(biāo)情景設(shè)定,探索性分析中國非常規(guī)油氣開發(fā)領(lǐng)域在技術(shù)能力獲得的不同發(fā)展路徑下技術(shù)學(xué)習(xí)率的大小�；诖四繕�(biāo),應(yīng)用學(xué)習(xí)曲線理論,以技術(shù)發(fā)展不同階段的特征設(shè)定技術(shù)發(fā)展路徑,構(gòu)建單因素學(xué)習(xí)曲線參數(shù)模型,估計(jì)非常規(guī)油氣技術(shù)應(yīng)用在"生產(chǎn)能力積累"與"技術(shù)創(chuàng)新突破"這兩種發(fā)展路徑下的技術(shù)學(xué)習(xí)率。結(jié)果表明:多目標(biāo)情景下,實(shí)現(xiàn)中國非常規(guī)油氣開發(fā)的目標(biāo)規(guī)劃,要保持較高的技術(shù)學(xué)習(xí)率。具體而言,在生產(chǎn)能力獲得并不斷積累的技術(shù)發(fā)展路徑下,非常規(guī)油氣開發(fā)技術(shù)必須保持3.30%~4.70%的技術(shù)學(xué)習(xí)率;在生產(chǎn)能力積累到創(chuàng)新能力突破的技術(shù)發(fā)展路徑下,非常規(guī)油氣開發(fā)技術(shù)在經(jīng)歷早期低水平學(xué)習(xí)率的適應(yīng)性發(fā)展階段后,需要保持11.60%~14.90%的高技術(shù)學(xué)習(xí)率。
[Abstract]:With the application of shale gas development technology as a representative, through multi-objective scenario setting, this paper explores the technical learning rate of unconventional oil and gas development in China under different development paths acquired by technical capability. Based on the theory of learning curve and the characteristics of different stages of technological development, the path of technology development is set up, and the parameter model of single factor learning curve is constructed. The technological learning rate of unconventional oil and gas technology application in the two development paths of "production capacity accumulation" and "technological innovation breakthrough" is estimated. The results show that under the multi-objective scenario, the target planning of unconventional oil and gas development in China can be realized. In order to maintain a high technological learning rate, the unconventional oil and gas development technology must maintain a technical learning rate of 3.30% or 4.70% under the technological development path of production capacity acquired and continuously accumulated. Under the technological development path from the accumulation of productive capacity to the breakthrough of innovation ability, the unconventional oil and gas development technology needs to maintain a high technology learning rate of 11.6060% 14.90% after experiencing the adaptive development stage of low learning rate in the early stage.
【作者單位】： 西安交通大學(xué)管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金資助項(xiàng)目“我國非常規(guī)油氣開發(fā)技術(shù)工程化實(shí)現(xiàn)的投資激勵(lì)策略研究”(71473193);國家自然科學(xué)基金資助項(xiàng)目“多目標(biāo)訴求下我國交通節(jié)能減排市場導(dǎo)向的政策組合選擇研究”(71473155)
【分類號(hào)】：F426.22

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本文編號(hào)：1625796