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基于卷積理論的海鐵聯(lián)運(yùn)動(dòng)態(tài)銜接可靠性研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-08-26 16:21
【摘要】:隨著世界物流體系不斷發(fā)展,海鐵聯(lián)運(yùn)的發(fā)展日趨完善。海鐵聯(lián)運(yùn)是按照運(yùn)輸合同,以鐵路和海運(yùn)兩種不同的運(yùn)輸方式,由鐵路和海運(yùn)承運(yùn)人共同負(fù)責(zé),通過資源整合、協(xié)調(diào)合作,在實(shí)現(xiàn)無縫銜接的基礎(chǔ)上將貨物從接收地點(diǎn)運(yùn)至指定地點(diǎn)交付的貨物運(yùn)輸方式。海鐵聯(lián)運(yùn)充分發(fā)揮了鐵路和海運(yùn)兩種運(yùn)輸方式大運(yùn)量、長(zhǎng)距離的優(yōu)勢(shì),滿足國際貿(mào)易對(duì)貨物運(yùn)輸?shù)囊蟆?目前,我國港口集疏運(yùn)體系中海鐵聯(lián)運(yùn)所占比例很低,這不僅影響了港口集散能力和貨物周轉(zhuǎn)速度,而且導(dǎo)致港口所在城市道路運(yùn)輸負(fù)擔(dān)加重、空氣污染嚴(yán)重等負(fù)面影響,集裝箱運(yùn)輸?shù)耐獠砍杀撅@著上升。解決問題的有效措施之一是發(fā)展海鐵聯(lián)運(yùn)。 海鐵聯(lián)運(yùn)動(dòng)態(tài)銜接可靠性是指在規(guī)定的時(shí)間內(nèi)聯(lián)運(yùn)系統(tǒng)完成規(guī)定作業(yè)、運(yùn)輸指定運(yùn)量任務(wù)的概率。作為概率性指標(biāo),海鐵聯(lián)運(yùn)動(dòng)態(tài)銜接可靠性可以更準(zhǔn)確、全面地對(duì)聯(lián)運(yùn)系統(tǒng)的運(yùn)行動(dòng)態(tài)、系統(tǒng)穩(wěn)定性、作業(yè)效率以及社會(huì)效益等進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià)。 本論文基于海鐵聯(lián)運(yùn)動(dòng)態(tài)銜接可靠性的要求,采用定性與定量相結(jié)合的分析方法,重點(diǎn)研究集裝箱港口與港前集裝箱鐵路車站之間海鐵聯(lián)運(yùn)動(dòng)態(tài)銜接的可靠性。首先,在介紹海鐵聯(lián)運(yùn)動(dòng)態(tài)銜接過程的基礎(chǔ)上,定性分析并確定了海鐵聯(lián)運(yùn)動(dòng)態(tài)銜接可靠性的影響因素,并以此提出集裝箱海鐵聯(lián)運(yùn)動(dòng)態(tài)銜接可靠性的總體要求。其次,基于卷積理論確定海鐵聯(lián)運(yùn)動(dòng)態(tài)銜接可靠性指標(biāo)計(jì)算方法,并對(duì)銜接可靠性的主要影響因素進(jìn)行定量計(jì)算。再次,通過分析到港集裝箱流的到達(dá)規(guī)律,基于銜接可靠性要求建立海鐵聯(lián)運(yùn)集裝箱班列的開行方案模型,并應(yīng)用遺傳算法進(jìn)行求解。最后,以大連港至開原去向集裝箱海鐵聯(lián)運(yùn)為對(duì)象進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究,確定滿足動(dòng)態(tài)銜接可靠性要求的集裝箱班列最優(yōu)開行方案。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of the world logistics system, the development of sea-rail transport is becoming more and more perfect. The combined transport of sea and rail is under the contract of carriage, with two different modes of transport by rail and sea, which are the joint responsibility of the railway and the sea freight carrier, through the integration of resources and coordination and cooperation. The mode of transport of goods from a receiving point to a designated place on the basis of seamless connection. Sea-rail combined transport has brought into full play the advantages of large volume and long distance transportation by rail and sea transport, and meets the requirements of international trade for the transportation of goods. At present, the proportion of China's seaports transportation system is very low, which not only affects the distribution capacity of ports and the speed of cargo turnover, but also results in the increase of road transportation burden and the serious air pollution in the cities where the ports are located. The external costs of container shipping have risen significantly. One of the effective measures to solve the problem is to develop sea-rail transport. The reliability of dynamic connection between seaborne and railway is the probability that the intermodal transport system accomplishes the specified operation and the assignment of transportation volume is carried out within a specified time. As a probabilistic index, the reliability of dynamic connection between sea and rail transport can be more accurately and comprehensively evaluated on the operation dynamics, system stability, operational efficiency and social benefits of the combined transport system. Based on the requirement of dynamic connection reliability of seaborne and rail transport, this paper uses qualitative and quantitative analysis method to study the reliability of dynamic connection between container port and container railway station before port. Firstly, on the basis of introducing the dynamic connection process of seaborne combined transport, this paper qualitatively analyzes and determines the influencing factors of the dynamic connection reliability of seaborne intermodal transport, and puts forward the overall requirements of the dynamic connection reliability of container seaborne combined transport. Secondly, based on the convolution theory, the calculation method of dynamic connection reliability index is determined, and the main influencing factors of connection reliability are calculated quantitatively. Thirdly, by analyzing the arrival rule of container flow at the port, a seaborne railway container train model is established based on the reliability requirements, and the genetic algorithm is applied to solve the problem. Finally, taking Dalian port to Kaiyuan container seaborne combined transport as an example, the optimal scheme of container train operation which meets the requirement of dynamic connection reliability is determined.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:北京交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:U169

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