E景區(qū)索道技術(shù)改造項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)及風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析
本文選題:索道技術(shù)改造項(xiàng)目 + 項(xiàng)目管理。 參考:《電子科技大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:隨著我國國民經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)健康的發(fā)展,農(nóng)、牧、林以及旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)的建設(shè)工程項(xiàng)目投資活動(dòng)得到了蓬勃發(fā)展。而每一項(xiàng)投資活動(dòng)都是經(jīng)過了嚴(yán)格的審批和評(píng)估才得以實(shí)施。從目前我國政府加大投資,大力扶持農(nóng)、牧、林以及旅游等三農(nóng)產(chǎn)業(yè)建設(shè)活動(dòng)的現(xiàn)狀來看,由于該投資建設(shè)領(lǐng)域經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)與風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理研究的相對(duì)缺乏,使得國家財(cái)政機(jī)構(gòu)以及銀行貸款機(jī)構(gòu)對(duì)其撥款顯得格外謹(jǐn)慎。因此,開展該產(chǎn)業(yè)建設(shè)領(lǐng)域的項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)以及風(fēng)險(xiǎn)方面的研究和探討,顯得其現(xiàn)實(shí)價(jià)值和意義都非常重大[1]。本論文的研究正是基于我國政府大力扶持三農(nóng)產(chǎn)業(yè)建設(shè)的背景下,選材《2013年度四川省申報(bào)國家農(nóng)、牧、林、旅游綜合開發(fā)及產(chǎn)業(yè)化經(jīng)營貸款評(píng)估項(xiàng)目》中E景區(qū)后山索道技術(shù)改造工程申報(bào)項(xiàng)目。本論文從景區(qū)索道工程建設(shè)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀出發(fā),運(yùn)用工程項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)與風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理理論和方法,對(duì)E景區(qū)索道技術(shù)改造項(xiàng)目進(jìn)行經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)及風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析和預(yù)測,提出一套實(shí)際適用于E景區(qū)索道技術(shù)改造工程項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)指標(biāo)定性與定量的分析方法和策略。本文在闡述了E景區(qū)索道技術(shù)改造工程項(xiàng)目研究的背景和方法,以及研究的內(nèi)容和方法的基礎(chǔ)上對(duì)工程項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)與風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理相關(guān)理論及研究現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行了綜述;然后簡要的介紹了本文研究的課題E景區(qū)索道技術(shù)改造工程項(xiàng)目的基本情況;緊接著借助工程項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)步驟和方法,重點(diǎn)對(duì)E景區(qū)索道技術(shù)改造工程項(xiàng)目從市場分析、投資估算和資金籌措、財(cái)務(wù)經(jīng)濟(jì)效益、不確定性等角度進(jìn)行了經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)分析;另外,還運(yùn)用工程項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理分析的工具和方法,對(duì)E景區(qū)索道技術(shù)改造工程項(xiàng)目從景區(qū)業(yè)主方、改造材料供應(yīng)方、改造施工方進(jìn)行了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的識(shí)別、評(píng)價(jià)、應(yīng)對(duì)措施進(jìn)行分析并最終得出結(jié)論。該索道技術(shù)改造項(xiàng)目的經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析結(jié)果顯示該項(xiàng)目具有較好的經(jīng)濟(jì)技術(shù)指標(biāo)和可以接受的中等風(fēng)險(xiǎn),項(xiàng)目可行?偟膩碚f,本文所撰寫研究的E景區(qū)索道技術(shù)改造項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)及風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析對(duì)整個(gè)E景區(qū)索道技術(shù)改造項(xiàng)目的投資決策具有一定的參考價(jià)值。
[Abstract]:With the sustained and healthy development of our national economy, the investment activities of construction projects in agriculture, pastoral, forest and tourism industry have been flourishing. And every investment activity has been carried out through strict examination and approval and evaluation. From the current government investment, the construction of agriculture, animal husbandry, forestry and tourism is greatly supported by the government. Because of the relative lack of economic evaluation and risk management research in the field of investment construction, the national financial institutions and bank lending institutions are particularly cautious about their appropriations. Therefore, it is of practical value and significance to carry out the project economic evaluation and the research and discussion of the risk side in the field of the industry construction. It is very important that the research of this paper is based on the background of China's government to support the industrial construction of agriculture, agriculture, agriculture and agriculture in Sichuan Province, in the material selection <2013, Sichuan Province declared the national agricultural, pastoral, forest, tourism comprehensive development and industrial management loan evaluation project > in the E scenic spot post mountain ropeway technical transformation application project. This paper from the scenic ropeway project construction The economic evaluation and risk analysis and prediction of the E scenic ropeway technical transformation project are carried out by using the economic evaluation and risk management theory and method of the project, and a set of analysis methods and strategies which are practical and applicable to the economy and risk of the E scenic ropeway technical transformation project are put forward in this paper. The background and methods of the research on the E scenic ropeway technical renovation project, the contents and methods of the research are summarized, and the related theories and research status of the project economic evaluation and risk management are summarized, and then the basic situation of the project of the E scenic spot technical renovation project is briefly introduced. With the help of the engineering project economic evaluation steps and methods, the economic evaluation and analysis of the E scenic ropeway technical transformation project from the perspective of market analysis, investment estimation and financing, financial and economic benefits and uncertainty are carried out. In addition, the tools and methods of engineering project risk management analysis are used to change the E scenic ropeway technology. The project from the owner of the scenic spot, the remolding material supplier, the reconstruction of the construction party has carried on the risk identification, the evaluation, the countermeasures and the final conclusion. The economic evaluation and the risk analysis results of the ropeway technical transformation project show that the project has better economic technical index and acceptable medium risk. In general, the economic evaluation and risk analysis of the E scenic ropeway technical transformation project written in this paper has a certain reference value for the investment decision of the whole E scenic ropeway technical transformation project.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:電子科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:U18
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