本文選題：公共交通　切入點：出行均衡　出處：《天津大學》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：城市居民出行的聚集現(xiàn)象越加嚴重,尤其是在早晚高峰時段,由此而導致的城市交通擁擠問題已嚴重影響了居民的生活并且?guī)砹丝諝馕廴炯巴＼囉玫貐T乏等問題。對通勤者出發(fā)時間的研究作為交通需求管理中的重要組成部分,能夠幫助我們充分的理解出行者出發(fā)時間選擇的影響因素和行為機制,是設(shè)計和評估交通政策的先決條件。結(jié)合多Agent仿真技術(shù)及強化學習Bush Mosteller算法,建立城市早高峰公交通勤出發(fā)時間選擇仿真模型。通過對比相同條件下經(jīng)典解析模型的結(jié)果驗證了模型的正確性,并且再現(xiàn)了均衡的形成過程。從通勤者自身因素和環(huán)境政策因素方面出發(fā)進行了兩類仿真實驗,在關(guān)于通勤者自身因素的實驗中,主要考慮了通勤者的異質(zhì)性及有限記憶的特性;而在關(guān)于環(huán)境政策因素的實驗中,重點考察了公交票價“峰前免費”政策及“公交優(yōu)先”政策對出發(fā)時間均衡的影響。本研究加深了對通勤者出發(fā)時間選擇行為和早高峰通勤均衡現(xiàn)象的理解,使用的方法也為探索復(fù)雜交通現(xiàn)象的形成和演化過程提供了一種有效的途徑。
[Abstract]:The phenomenon of urban residents' travel agglomeration is more and more serious, especially in the morning and evening rush hour, resulting in urban traffic congestion has seriously affected the lives of residents and brought air pollution and lack of parking space and other problems.As an important part of traffic demand management, the study of commuter departure time can help us fully understand the influencing factors and behavior mechanism of traveler departure time choice, which is a prerequisite for the design and evaluation of transportation policy.Combined with multiple Agent simulation technology and reinforcement learning Bush Mosteller algorithm, a simulation model for selecting the departure time of urban morning rush bus commute is established.The correctness of the model is verified by comparing the results of classical analytical models under the same conditions, and the formation process of equilibrium is reproduced.Two kinds of simulation experiments are carried out from the aspects of commuter's own factors and environmental policy factors. In the experiment of commuter's own factors, the heterogeneity of commuters and the characteristics of limited memory are considered.In the experiment of environmental policy factors, the influence of bus fare "free before peak" policy and "bus priority" policy on departure time balance is investigated.This study has deepened the understanding of commuters' departure time choice behavior and the phenomenon of commuting equilibrium in early rush hours. The methods used in this study also provide an effective way to explore the formation and evolution of complex traffic phenomena.
【學位授予單位】：天津大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：U491.17

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本文編號：1710271