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城市公交旅客等待時間分析模型研究

發(fā)布時間:2021-04-26 10:20
  本論文主要對城市道路公共交通乘客等待時間進行相關(guān)性分析,提出了對于不知道車輛確切到達時間的乘客因等待所消耗時間的計算方法。該分析是評估城市交通網(wǎng)絡(luò)運營效率的理論基礎(chǔ),據(jù)此可提出縮短乘客上下班等候時間的對應(yīng)措施。本論文主要研究城市公共交通在各種組織車輛運行技術(shù)下的乘客等待時間。需要解決以下問題:——對公交車站乘客等待時間的現(xiàn)狀進行分析;——對現(xiàn)有組織車輛運行的技術(shù)進行規(guī)范;——根據(jù)理論知識確定乘客在單獨路線和整個城市路線網(wǎng)絡(luò)上等待路線車輛的時間;——制定方法,進行調(diào)查,并根據(jù)已知的車輛運行時間表,計算出城市公交站乘客等待時間的平均值;——設(shè)計仿真模型并進行實驗研究,以確定不同車輛運行組織技術(shù)下的城市公交車站的乘客等待時間;——在城市客運向為乘客提供高水平的交通時刻表的過渡期間,計算乘客等待時間可能發(fā)生的變化。本論文采用了概率論和仿真模型來計算公交車站乘客等待時間。在建立仿真模型的過程中,采用了歸納法、回歸分析法、概率論方法和數(shù)理統(tǒng)計方法;并采用實證調(diào)查的方法,確定了城市公交線路的參數(shù),研究了公交車站乘客的實際等待時間。將300名乘客早高峰期間的等待時間進行結(jié)果驗證,在實驗中客運服務(wù)方式的... 

【文章來源】:蘭州交通大學(xué)甘肅省

【文章頁數(shù)】:91 頁

【學(xué)位級別】:碩士

【文章目錄】:
摘要
Abstract
1 Introduction
    1.1 Actuality of the theme
    1.2 The purpose and objectives of the study
    1.3 Research methods
2 The current state of the issue of studying the waiting time by passengers of public transport
    2.1 Analysis of methods for reducing the time spent by passengers to move
        2.1.1 Analysis of research methods of Ukrainian authors
        2.1.2 Analysis of research methods of foreign authors
    2.2 Existing approaches to the calculation of waiting times by passengers of route vehicles at city stops
        2.2.1 Review of existing approaches to calculating passenger waiting times for vehicles
        2.2.2 Prerequisites for further research
    2.3 Goal setting and research objectives
    2.4 Conclusions to the second section
3 Theoretical basics of modeling the passengers’waiting time of public transport
    3.1 Choice of options and their justification for passenger service by public passenger transport
        3.1.1 The level of information support for public transport passengers
        3.1.2 Scheduled organization of urban public transport
        3.1.3 Classification of methods of passenger service provided by urban passenger transport
    3.2 Analytical simulation of passengers’waiting time for selected urban transport options
        3.2.1 Traffic at regular intervals without deviations from the schedule
        3.2.2 The vehicles arrive at a stop with deviation from the schedule
        3.2.3 Irregular interval of traffic on a pre-determined schedule
        3.2.4 Departure of vehicles with restriction on seats filling
        3.2.5 Departure of vehicles with restriction on seats filling and idle time
        3.2.6 Accidental departure from the starting point of the vehicle
    3.3 Theoretical bases for determining the average passengers’waiting time for vehicles in the city's route system
    3.4 Modeling the process of interaction between passengers and vehicles at public transport stops
        3.4.1 Simulation the arrival time of passengers at the stopping point
        3.4.2 Simulation the arrival of vehicles at the stopping point
        3.4.3 Test the adequacy of simulation modeling
    3.5 Conclusions to the third section
4 Experimental verification of the analytical model for calculation the passengers’waiting time of public transport
    4.1 Creating a plan for the experiment
    4.2 Examination of the actual passengers’waiting time for route vehicles at the city bus stops
    4.3 Application of the analytical model for calculating the passengers’waiting time of public transport on the example of the Kharkiv city
    4.4 Conclusions to the fourth section
5 Conclusion and Outlook
References
Research achievement during working for the master degree
Acknowledgement



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