【摘要】：近年來(lái),以汽車為主的機(jī)動(dòng)車的快速發(fā)展,出行環(huán)境日益惡劣,交通擁堵日益嚴(yán)峻�！耙匀藶楸�,可持續(xù)發(fā)展”的高品質(zhì)的慢行交通規(guī)劃理念凸顯的越來(lái)越重要。大部分的城市交通規(guī)劃僅僅考慮汽車的通行,而忽略了慢行交通的發(fā)展,沒有給慢行交通充分的發(fā)展空間。建設(shè)慢行交通系統(tǒng)是構(gòu)建生態(tài)宜居城市不容忽視的組成部分,所以我們?cè)诎l(fā)展快速交通的同時(shí),也應(yīng)注重規(guī)劃建設(shè)慢行交通。本論文首先總結(jié)了國(guó)內(nèi)外慢行交通發(fā)展歷程以及研究現(xiàn)狀,并分析影響步行和自行車交通的因素。以城市區(qū)域慢行交通規(guī)劃方法為研究對(duì)象,對(duì)城市慢行交通規(guī)劃的理論和技術(shù)方法進(jìn)行了研究,分析出在交通規(guī)劃方面,慢行交通需求預(yù)測(cè)扮演著越來(lái)越重要的作用。通過(guò)查閱大量的國(guó)內(nèi)外文獻(xiàn)資料,歸納總結(jié)了幾種需求預(yù)測(cè)的方法(四階段法,時(shí)間序列法,基于活動(dòng)鏈的預(yù)測(cè)分析法)并對(duì)其適用范圍進(jìn)行了分析。在此基礎(chǔ)上,提出了適合于城市區(qū)域慢行交通的研究方法—空間句法,并證明了空間句法用于區(qū)域慢行交通規(guī)劃可行。對(duì)空間句法概念與原理進(jìn)行了研究,分析與空間句法相關(guān)的慢行交通的特性,分析空間句法中適合石家莊區(qū)域慢行交通規(guī)劃的方法—軸線分析法,進(jìn)行區(qū)域慢行交通的形態(tài)分析變量的計(jì)算,建立分析變量與交通量的回歸分析模型�？紤]到希利爾提出的軸線圖的繪制是依據(jù)西方城市的道路類型,西方城市的道路較窄,我國(guó)城市交通路網(wǎng)結(jié)構(gòu)較復(fù)雜,用西方的路網(wǎng)情況來(lái)分析我國(guó)的城市慢行交通會(huì)有一定的局限性,與我國(guó)的路網(wǎng)不太相符。在此基礎(chǔ)上,基于城市區(qū)域的道路寬度與慢行交通之間的影響關(guān)系,構(gòu)建了基于道路寬度的慢行交通需求預(yù)測(cè)的理論預(yù)測(cè)模型。結(jié)合石家莊的地理位置以及交通情況,實(shí)例分析,對(duì)慢行交通需求方法進(jìn)行驗(yàn)證。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the rapid development of automobile-based motor vehicles, the travel environment is getting worse and worse, and the traffic jams are becoming more and more serious. "people-oriented, sustainable development" high-quality slow traffic planning concept highlights the growing importance. Most urban traffic planning only considers the traffic of cars, but neglects the development of slow traffic, and does not give sufficient space for the development of slow traffic. The construction of slow-moving traffic system is an important part of constructing eco-livable city, so we should pay attention to the planning and construction of slow-moving traffic while developing fast traffic. Firstly, this paper summarizes the development and research status of slow-moving traffic at home and abroad, and analyzes the factors that affect walking and bicycle traffic. Taking the urban slow traffic planning method as the research object, this paper studies the theory and technical methods of the urban slow traffic planning, and analyzes that the slow traffic demand forecasting plays an increasingly important role in the traffic planning. By consulting a large number of domestic and foreign literature, several methods of demand forecasting (four-stage method, time series method, activity chain-based prediction analysis method) are summarized and analyzed. On this basis, the spatial syntax, which is suitable for the study of slow traffic in urban areas, is proposed, and the feasibility of applying spatial syntax to regional slow traffic planning is proved. This paper studies the concept and principle of spatial syntax, analyzes the characteristics of slow traffic related to spatial syntax, and analyzes the method of axis analysis, which is suitable for the planning of slow traffic in Shijiazhuang area in spatial syntax. The form analysis variables of regional slow traffic are calculated, and the regression analysis model between the analysis variables and the traffic volume is established. Considering that the drawing of axis diagram proposed by Hiller is based on the type of road in western cities, the roads in western cities are narrower, and the structure of urban traffic network in China is more complex, The analysis of urban slow traffic in China with the western road network has some limitations, which is not consistent with the road network in China. On this basis, based on the relationship between road width and slow traffic in urban area, a theoretical prediction model of slow traffic demand prediction based on road width is constructed. Combined with Shijiazhuang's geographical location and traffic situation, an example analysis is made to verify the slow-moving traffic demand method.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：石家莊鐵道大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：U491

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本文編號(hào)：2439981