【摘要】：伴隨著我國經濟增速進入低谷期后,國內經濟增速開始回落,在這種經濟增速明顯走下坡路的大背景之下,各級政府部門為穩(wěn)定當前經濟局面,使出渾身解數來保經濟增長,其中一個極為重要而又非常有效的手段即是通過擴大投資來帶動經濟增長。而我們各級政府部門最喜好的擴大投資方式為基礎設施建設投資,這從全國各地的基建上馬項目的火熱程度中可窺見一斑。但同時,由于各級政府掌控的資金捉襟見肘,使得從大層面上來看,耗資巨大的基建項目一旦上馬,往往又會使得各級政府倍感資金壓力。在這種背景下,使得BT(Build-Transfer,即建設—移交)模式,越來越多的成為各級政府建設基礎設施項目的首選方案。但是BT模式作為一種全新的融資模式,其在運用過程中會出現(xiàn)一些風險問題,如何規(guī)避處理好BT模式中的風險問題成為BT模式能否被廣泛運用的關鍵。本文以伊春市鐵金干線公路建設為依托工程,進行地方干線公路BT項目建設風險分析及規(guī)避研究。通過檢索國內外的文獻資料,對BT模式的風險規(guī)避理論、委托代理框架下的風險分析理論進行歸納總結。形成全文理論研究的依據。進行了地方干線公路BT項目建設風險分析,確定了BT項目建設定義,BT項目建設的運作模式,BT模式建設存在的問題;對地方干線公路BT項目建設風險來源進行分析,分別分析了項目招標風險、項目管理風險、融資環(huán)境風險、政府信用風險、不可抗力風險;對地方干線公路BT項目建設風險特征進行分析,總結了風險的階段性、風險的復雜性、風險的主體性;最后對地方干線公路BT項目建設風險評估方法進行簡要介紹。進行了地方干線公路項目建設風險規(guī)避機制分析,進行了地方干線公路BT項目建設風險規(guī)避策略研究,進行了制定地方干線公路BT項目建設風險規(guī)避機制,并分別給出了業(yè)主機制、監(jiān)理機制、激勵機制、風險預警機制。最后,本文針對伊春市鐵金干線公路BT項目建設過程進行分析總結,對該項目的運作模式進行分析,總結出該項目的風險類型并進行相應的評估,并給出相應的風險規(guī)避機制,本論文的研究成果可以為BT模式在地方干線公路項目建設中運用提供借鑒和指導意義。
[Abstract]:With China's economic growth rate entering a trough period, the domestic economic growth rate has begun to decline. Against the background of this obvious downward trend of economic growth, government departments at all levels are doing everything possible to maintain economic growth in order to stabilize the current economic situation. One of the most important and effective means is to boost economic growth by expanding investment. Our preferred way of expanding investment at all levels of government is infrastructure investment, which can be seen in the intensity of infrastructure projects across the country. But at the same time, because of the shortage of funds at all levels of government, the large scale of the cost of infrastructure projects once launched, often make governments at all levels of financial pressure. In this context, BT (Build-Transfer,) model is becoming the first choice of infrastructure construction projects at all levels of government. However, as a new financing mode, the BT model will have some risk problems in the process of its application. How to avoid the risk in the BT model has become the key to widely use the BT model. Based on the project of Yichun iron and gold trunk highway, this paper analyzes the risk of local trunk road BT project and studies on avoiding it. This paper summarizes the risk aversion theory of BT model and the risk analysis theory under the framework of principal-agent by searching the literature data at home and abroad. To form the theoretical basis of the full text. This paper analyzes the risk of BT project construction of local trunk road, and determines the definition of BT project construction, the operation mode of BT project construction, and the problems existing in BT mode construction. This paper analyzes the risk sources of local trunk road BT project construction, analyzes the project bidding risk, project management risk, financing environment risk, government credit risk, force majeure risk; This paper analyzes the risk characteristics of the local trunk highway BT project, summarizes the stages of the risk, the complexity of the risk, the subjectivity of the risk, and finally briefly introduces the risk assessment method of the local trunk highway BT project construction. This paper analyzes the risk aversion mechanism of the local trunk highway project construction, studies the risk aversion strategy of the local trunk highway BT project construction, and formulates the risk aversion mechanism of the local trunk highway BT project construction. The owner mechanism, supervision mechanism, incentive mechanism and risk warning mechanism are given respectively. Finally, this paper analyzes and summarizes the construction process of Yichun iron and gold trunk highway BT project, analyzes the operation mode of the project, summarizes the risk types of the project and carries on the corresponding evaluation, and gives the corresponding risk aversion mechanism. The research results of this paper can provide reference and guidance for the application of BT model in the construction of local trunk highway projects.
【學位授予單位】：長安大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：U415.1

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本文編號：2298288