【摘要】：擔(dān)桿水道船舶定線制是位于我國珠江口水域的一處分道通航制,由于其實施時間已有十余年之久,2014年,主管機關(guān)主持了擔(dān)桿水道船舶定線制修訂項目,設(shè)計了多種定線制修訂方案。本文對定線制修訂方案的優(yōu)選進行了研究,旨在通過科學(xué)的分析手段,優(yōu)選出最佳的定線制設(shè)計方案,同時尋求一種合適的定線制優(yōu)選方法,為海事主管部門選取或修訂船舶定線制提供一定的理論依據(jù)。本文基于對天津海事局中國AIS (Automatic Identification System)中心系統(tǒng)提供的擔(dān)桿水道2013年船舶交通實態(tài)跟蹤觀測的數(shù)據(jù)和典型碰撞事故的分析,結(jié)合IMO (International Maritime Organization)《關(guān)于船舶定線制的一般規(guī)定》等設(shè)計規(guī)范,從通航環(huán)境因素、管理因素和人為因素三個方面對影響擔(dān)桿水道船舶定線制航行安全的指標(biāo)因素進行了闡述,建立了擔(dān)桿水道船舶定線制修訂方案優(yōu)選指標(biāo)體系。最后,本文運用基于改進熵權(quán)法的優(yōu)選評價模型,在充分考慮指標(biāo)因素之間內(nèi)在的聯(lián)系的情況下,對船舶定線制修訂方案進行了優(yōu)選評價。運用集對分析評價模型進行了可行性驗證,并對定線制優(yōu)選結(jié)果進行了進一步分析。基于改進熵權(quán)法的優(yōu)選評價模型計算過程簡便,有效地傳遞了評價指標(biāo)的數(shù)據(jù)信息與差別,補充了主觀賦權(quán)法中忽略評價指標(biāo)間差異性的問題。
[Abstract]:The ship routing system is a traffic system located in the Pearl River Estuary in China. Because it has been implemented for more than ten years, in 2014, the competent authority presided over the project of revising the ship routing system for the Dangkang waterway. Several revision schemes are designed. In this paper, the optimal selection of the fixed line system is studied. The purpose of this paper is to select the best design scheme of the fixed line system by means of scientific analysis, and at the same time to seek a suitable method for the selection of the fixed line system. It provides a theoretical basis for the maritime authorities to select or revise the ship routing system. This paper is based on the analysis of the data of ship traffic real state tracking and typical collision accidents provided by the China AIS (Automatic Identification System) Center system of Tianjin Maritime Bureau in 2013. Combined with the design code of IMO (International Maritime Organization) (General regulations on ship routing system), this paper expounds the index factors that affect the navigation safety of ship routing system in the waterway from three aspects: navigable environment factor, management factor and human factor. The optimal selection index system of the ship routing system is established. Finally, this paper applies the model of optimal selection and evaluation based on the improved entropy weight method, and gives the optimal selection evaluation of the ship routing system under the condition of considering the inherent relation among the index factors. The feasibility of the model is verified by using set pair analysis and evaluation model, and the result of optimal selection of fixed line system is further analyzed. The calculation process of the optimal evaluation model based on the improved entropy weight method is simple, which effectively transmits the data information and difference of the evaluation index, and complements the problem of neglecting the difference between the evaluation indexes in the subjective weighting method.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：大連海事大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：U692

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本文編號：2196070