本文選題：公交運行可靠性 + 線路運行時間��； 參考：《山東建筑大學》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：以往對公交運行可靠性特征研究中,大多數(shù)缺乏公交可靠性相關指標的連續(xù)數(shù)據(jù),只能通過局部采集獲得的數(shù)據(jù)對運行可靠性進行分析,得到的分析結果不能全面反映公交運行可靠性全面特征及深層規(guī)律。在高品質公交運行服務要求日益提高的今天,需要運用大樣本的數(shù)據(jù),對公交運行可靠性特征及規(guī)律進行深入、全面的分析研究。本文利用實時連續(xù)的公交AVL(Automatic Vehicle Location,自動車輛定位)數(shù)據(jù)從多個指標對常規(guī)公交運行可靠性進行分析。首先,根據(jù)原始公交AVL數(shù)據(jù)連續(xù)到達的特征,建立連續(xù)單個到達數(shù)據(jù)的分析流程,并特別研究了對班次進行精確劃分的方法,為后文的研究提供了重要的基礎數(shù)據(jù)支持。接著,從公交單個線路運行的層面,針對公交企業(yè)排班計劃有重要意義的線路運行時間進行了深入分析,在總結線路運行時間全日特征的基礎上,研究了基于劃分時間窗內線路運行時間的數(shù)學分布特征,并進一步,針對時間窗內的線路運行時間準點率考核問題,運用線路運行時間的數(shù)學分布特征,對不同時間窗、不同考核標準的準點率進行了數(shù)學計算,并運用實際數(shù)據(jù),對模型計算結果進行驗證,研究結果對公交企業(yè)的科學考核與管理具有意義。另外,根據(jù)大量數(shù)據(jù)的分析,對不符合準點的班次(早點或晚點班次)的線路運行時間分布特征進行了分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)大量非準點班次線路運行時間,其與準點考核標準的差值分布呈集中趨勢,分析表明,大量的非準點班次運行時間,可以有針對性的對其運行時間進行管理與控制,即可以達到公交企業(yè)準點考核的要求�；谝陨戏治�,為了對線路運行時間有針對性的調整,從公交微區(qū)間(相鄰站點間)運行時間層面進行分析,其目標就是尋找能對整個公交線路運行時間進行有效調整的空間區(qū)段(關鍵微區(qū)間)。在分析得出微區(qū)間運行時間特征的同時,制定了尋找關鍵微區(qū)間的一整套邏輯與方法,為快速有效的有針對性調整公交線路運行時間提供了理論及技術支持。最后,面向公交各個站點,對公交運行間隔演化特征進行研究,分析公交運行過程中在站點處的演化規(guī)律,提出了針對運行間隔演化的研究方法,通過相關數(shù)據(jù)分析得出了公交運行間隔的特征,同時對關鍵微區(qū)間的分析結論以及間隔演化特征的分析結論進行研究,得出了兩者之間存在相互影響相互作用的結論,即當其中一方的穩(wěn)定性受到影響而產生不穩(wěn)定的波動時,這個波動會傳遞給另一方。為進一步研究公交運行可靠性提供了一定的理論依據(jù)。
[Abstract]:In the past researches on the reliability characteristics of public transport, most of them lack the continuous data of the related indexes of public transport reliability, so they can only analyze the operation reliability through the data collected locally. The results of the analysis can not fully reflect the comprehensive characteristics and deep rules of bus operation reliability. With the increasing requirement of high quality public transport service, it is necessary to analyze and study the reliability characteristics and rules of public transportation by using large sample data. In this paper, Automatic vehicle location (Automatic vehicle location) data are used to analyze the reliability of conventional public transport from several indexes. Firstly, according to the characteristics of continuous arrival of original AVL data, the analysis flow of continuous single arrival data is established, and the method of accurate division of frequency is studied, which provides an important basic data support for the later research. Then, from the level of single bus line operation, the paper makes a deep analysis of the line running time which is of great significance to the bus enterprise scheduling plan, and summarizes the characteristics of the line running time all day. This paper studies the mathematical distribution characteristics of line running time based on dividing time window, and further, aiming at the checking problem of line running time punctuality rate in time window, applies the mathematical distribution characteristic of line running time to different time windows. The mathematical calculation of the punctuality rate of different assessment standards is carried out, and the results of the model calculation are verified by using the actual data. The research results are of significance to the scientific assessment and management of public transport enterprises. In addition, according to the analysis of a large number of data, the distribution characteristics of the running time of the line which does not accord with the schedule (early or late) are analyzed, and it is found that a large number of non-punctual shifts run time. The distribution of the difference between it and the standard of on-time assessment is concentrated. The analysis shows that the running time of a large number of non-punctual shifts can be managed and controlled pertinently, that is to say, it can meet the requirements of bus enterprise's punctuality assessment. Based on the above analysis, in order to adjust the running time of the line, from the bus micro-interval (adjacent stations) running time level analysis, Its goal is to find the space section (key microinterval) that can adjust the running time of the whole bus line effectively. At the same time, a whole set of logic and method to find the key micro-interval is established, which provides theoretical and technical support for the rapid and effective adjustment of bus line running time. Finally, facing to each bus station, this paper studies the evolution characteristics of bus running interval, analyzes the evolution law of bus operation at the station, and puts forward a research method for the evolution of running interval. Through the analysis of relevant data, the characteristics of bus running interval are obtained. At the same time, the analysis conclusion of the key micro-interval and the analysis conclusion of the evolution characteristics of the interval are studied, and the conclusion that there is interaction between the two is obtained. That is, when the stability of one side is affected and an unstable fluctuation occurs, the fluctuation is transmitted to the other side. It provides a theoretical basis for further study of bus operation reliability.
【學位授予單位】：山東建筑大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：U491.17

【相似文獻】

相關期刊論文 前8條

1 李桂月;;鐵路列車運行間隔追蹤及預警系統(tǒng)[J];中國科技信息;2013年08期

2 張君龍;第十三列車是怎么開出來的?[J];交通與運輸;1999年03期

3 ;國外資訊[J];現(xiàn)代城市軌道交通;2013年06期

4 朱松年,宋瑞;列車速度聯(lián)控行車制理論分析[J];鐵道學報;1997年06期

5 陳浩然;采用小編組、高密度列車運行方案——是降低工程造價及運營費用的有效途徑[J];地鐵與輕軌;2002年01期

6 徐飛 ,陳浩然;廣州地鐵一號線列車運行控制的特點及實現(xiàn)方法[J];地鐵與輕軌;1997年02期

7 郭瑞玖;;城市快速軌道交通中信號系統(tǒng)的作用[J];地鐵與輕軌;1988年03期

8 閔鵬;;西門子信號系統(tǒng)的列車自動調整功能簡介[J];鐵道通信信號;2012年10期

相關重要報紙文章 前3條

1 本報記者 申深 王宗華;公交運行間隔期待縮短[N];黑龍江日報;2013年

2 記者 沈謙邋通訊員 陶健;西安4條公交線路調整延伸[N];陜西日報;2007年

3 賈曉燕;城鐵為何不能多掛幾節(jié)車廂[N];北京日報;2007年

相關碩士學位論文 前2條

1 畢清君;基于連續(xù)數(shù)據(jù)的公交運行可靠性分析[D];山東建筑大學;2017年

2 繆萍;列車運行間隔實時追蹤及防撞預警系統(tǒng)無線通信異常處理研究[D];北京交通大學;2013年

，

本文編號：2113170