發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-05-25 20:32

  本文選題：城市居民 + 方式選擇�。� 參考：《西南交通大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：城市居民出行方式選擇行為理論的研究成果,可為城市交通需求管理(TDM)和先進(jìn)的出行者信息系統(tǒng)(ATIS)的發(fā)展提供理論參考,引導(dǎo)居民選擇更加合理的方式出行,促使城市交通系統(tǒng)高效運(yùn)轉(zhuǎn)。本文以城市居民出行方式選擇的整體性和差異性為研究方向,考慮居民出行過程中產(chǎn)生的出行成本。在小汽車、公交車和地鐵三種出行方式構(gòu)成的網(wǎng)絡(luò)下,從宏觀角度和微觀角度,提出應(yīng)用用戶平衡理論和前景理論探討居民出行方式選擇的內(nèi)在規(guī)律。結(jié)合城市居民高峰期出行的實(shí)際情況,在應(yīng)用用戶平衡理論和借鑒瓶頸理論研究成果的基礎(chǔ)上,分別建立了有公交專用道和無公交專用道條件下的出行方式選擇平衡模型。通過算例,首先分析了有無公交專用道條件下的出行人數(shù)分布、準(zhǔn)時(shí)到達(dá)者的途中延誤時(shí)間和出行成本的差異性,結(jié)果表明在出行高峰期,公交專用道設(shè)置是否合理將極大的影響出行人數(shù)分布及出行成本；其次進(jìn)一步分析了地鐵票價(jià)與出行人數(shù)分布、出行成本的關(guān)系�？紤]到城市出行環(huán)境的不確定性特征,總結(jié)以往前景理論模型參考點(diǎn)的設(shè)置情況,重點(diǎn)研究了出行預(yù)留時(shí)間與出行方式出行時(shí)間不同關(guān)系下的期望出行成本參考點(diǎn),建立了基于前景理論的出行方式選擇模型。構(gòu)建了不同類居民和不同出行預(yù)留時(shí)間場(chǎng)景下的算例,分別對(duì)前景理論模型和期望效用理論模型的選擇結(jié)果進(jìn)行對(duì)比分析。研究表明基于前景理論的模型更加符合居民的出行方式選擇行為。此外,本文在算例及其參數(shù)的設(shè)置過程中,無論是平衡模型還是前景理論模型,均考慮了居民出行的一般狀況。在兩者出行方式網(wǎng)絡(luò)和相關(guān)參數(shù)設(shè)置相同的情況下,研究所得的一些結(jié)論也基本相符。如地鐵方式以其出行時(shí)間穩(wěn)定、出行較為快速的優(yōu)越性受到大多數(shù)人的選擇。也就是說,分別從宏觀角度和微觀角度對(duì)居民出行方式選擇進(jìn)行的研究,其結(jié)果不僅具有互補(bǔ)性,還具有相同性。
[Abstract]:The research results of urban residents' travel mode choice behavior theory can provide a theoretical reference for the development of urban traffic demand management (TDM) and advanced traveller information system (ATIS), and guide residents to choose a more reasonable way to travel. To promote the efficient operation of urban transportation system. This paper takes the entirety and difference of the choice of urban residents' travel mode as the research direction, and considers the travel cost in the process of residents' travel. In the network of three kinds of travel modes: car, bus and subway, from the macro and micro angles, this paper puts forward the application of user balance theory and foreground theory to discuss the inherent law of residents' travel mode choice. Combined with the actual situation of urban residents' travel during peak period, based on the application of user balance theory and the research results of bottleneck theory, the travel mode selection equilibrium models with and without bus lanes are established respectively. Through an example, the paper first analyzes the distribution of the number of passengers, the delay time on time and the difference of travel cost under the condition of having or not bus lanes. The results show that during the peak period of travel, Whether the bus lane is reasonable or not will greatly affect the distribution of travel population and travel cost. Secondly, the relationship between subway ticket price and travel number distribution and travel cost is further analyzed. Considering the uncertain characteristics of urban travel environment, this paper summarizes the setting of reference points in previous foreground theory models, and focuses on the expected travel cost reference points under the different relationship between travel reservation time and trip mode travel time. A trip mode selection model based on foreground theory is established. Examples of different types of residents and different travel reservation time scenarios are constructed, and the selection results of prospect theory model and expected utility theory model are compared and analyzed respectively. The research shows that the model based on foreground theory is more in line with the behavior of residents' travel mode selection. In addition, both the equilibrium model and the foreground model take into account the general conditions of the residents' travel in the process of setting up the calculation examples and their parameters. In the case of the same travel mode network and the same parameters, some conclusions of the study are basically consistent. For example, the subway mode is chosen by most people because of its stable travel time and faster travel. That is to say, the results of the study on the choice of residents' travel modes from the macro and micro perspectives are not only complementary but also identical.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：U491

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 林震,楊浩;不同條件下出行方式平衡模型及特性分析[J];管理工程學(xué)報(bào);2004年02期

2 黃海軍;田瓊;楊海;高自友;;高峰期內(nèi)公交車均衡乘車行為與制度安排[J];管理科學(xué)學(xué)報(bào);2005年06期

3 張楊;賈建民;黃慶;;城市交通中車輛擇路行為實(shí)證研究[J];管理科學(xué)學(xué)報(bào);2007年05期

4 周偉;旅客時(shí)間價(jià)值[J];交通運(yùn)輸工程學(xué)報(bào);2003年03期

5 張薇;何瑞春;;基于前景理論的居民出行方式選擇[J];計(jì)算機(jī)應(yīng)用;2014年03期

6 郭寒英;石紅國;;城市客運(yùn)交通出行者行為價(jià)值研究[J];人類工效學(xué);2006年03期

7 趙凜;張星臣;;基于“前景理論”的先驗(yàn)信息下出行者路徑選擇模型[J];交通運(yùn)輸系統(tǒng)工程與信息;2006年02期

8 楊東援;;交通均衡模型理論的發(fā)展與展望[J];中國公路學(xué)報(bào);1992年04期

9 周錢;陸化普;徐薇;;城市居民出行特性比較分析[J];中南公路工程;2007年02期

10 王首元;孔淑紅;;新行為經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)理論:對(duì)期望效用理論和前景理論的一個(gè)延伸[J];西安交通大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(社會(huì)科學(xué)版);2012年04期

，

本文編號(hào)：1934583