本文選題：調(diào)度 + OD分類�。� 參考：《北京交通大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著公共交通的發(fā)展,公交運(yùn)營組織調(diào)度方法日益豐富,不同運(yùn)營組織方式下,乘客的選擇和分配問題成為合理安排公共交通運(yùn)力的重點(diǎn),也是發(fā)揮運(yùn)營組織調(diào)度優(yōu)勢、提高運(yùn)輸效率的關(guān)鍵。因此,需要對采用某種新的運(yùn)營組織方式后客流的分配情況進(jìn)行研究,為公交運(yùn)營部門合理安排運(yùn)力提供參考。以往的研究中主要以優(yōu)化線網(wǎng)整體效用為目標(biāo),忽略了運(yùn)營組織方式改變以及乘客個人選擇行為的差異對客流分配的影響,因此,本文以全程車和大站快車的組合調(diào)度方式為切入點(diǎn),以客流OD(Origin and Destination)分類及SP(Stated Preference)問卷調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)為基礎(chǔ),基于Logit模型研究開通大站快車后全程車和大站快車的客流分配問題。 首先,在對國內(nèi)外客流分配的實踐經(jīng)驗以及Logit模型在客流分配中的應(yīng)用情況進(jìn)行綜述的基礎(chǔ)上,基于現(xiàn)有研究缺陷,確定以SP調(diào)查為基礎(chǔ)、基于Logit模型對全程車和大站快車客流分配問題進(jìn)行研究的研究思路。 隨后,以開通大站快車后公交站的性質(zhì)發(fā)生變化為切入點(diǎn),利用公交站的差異對不同的客流OD進(jìn)行分類,并分析不同類別OD的乘客可能的選擇行為,為SP調(diào)查問卷的方案設(shè)計提供參考。 參考公交客流OD分類結(jié)果,設(shè)計SP調(diào)查問卷,確定個人屬性及不同公交客流OD的出行方案,開展SP調(diào)查,并進(jìn)行數(shù)據(jù)的收集與校核。 以SP調(diào)查的數(shù)據(jù)為基礎(chǔ),基于Logit模型構(gòu)建不同場景下的全程車和大站快車的客流分配模型,利用SAS(Statistics Analysis System)軟件,進(jìn)行模型的標(biāo)定與檢驗。 最后,應(yīng)用本文提出的全程車和大站快車客流分配方法及模型,選取北京公交線路特8內(nèi)為案例,對開通特8內(nèi)快車前特8內(nèi)公交線路的客流進(jìn)行分配,得到開通大站快車后的特8內(nèi)及特8內(nèi)快公交線路的客流分配結(jié)果,并與特8內(nèi)快車開通后實際運(yùn)營得到的特8內(nèi)和特8內(nèi)快公交線路的客流數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行對比,通過誤差分析,驗證本文提出的全程車和大站快車客流分配方法及模型的有效性。
[Abstract]:With the development of public transportation, the methods of bus operation organization and scheduling are becoming more and more abundant. Under the different operation organization mode, the choice and distribution of passengers becomes the focus of reasonable arrangement of public transportation capacity, and it is also to give play to the advantages of operation organization and scheduling. The key to improving transport efficiency. Therefore, it is necessary to study the distribution of passenger flow after adopting a new mode of operation organization to provide a reference for the bus operation department to arrange the transportation capacity reasonably. Previous studies have focused on optimizing the overall utility of the network, ignoring the impact of changes in operational organization and individual choices of passengers on passenger flow distribution. In this paper, based on the combined dispatching mode of whole train and large station express, and based on the classification of passenger flow OD(Origin and description and SP(Stated preference questionnaire data, based on the Logit model, this paper studies the passenger flow distribution problem of the whole train and the large station express train after the opening of the large station express train. First of all, on the basis of summarizing the practical experience of domestic and foreign passenger flow allocation and the application of Logit model in passenger flow allocation, and based on the shortcomings of existing research, it is determined that SP survey is the basis. Based on the Logit model, this paper studies the problem of passenger flow allocation between the whole train and the large station express train. Then, taking the change of the nature of the bus station after the opening of the express train station as the breakthrough point, using the difference of the bus station to classify the OD of different passenger flow, and analyze the possible choice behavior of the passengers of different types of OD. It provides reference for the scheme design of SP questionnaire. Referring to the OD classification results of bus passenger flow, the SP questionnaire is designed to determine the travel plan of individual attributes and OD of different bus flows, to carry out SP investigation, and to collect and check the data. Based on the data of SP investigation, the passenger flow distribution model of whole train and large station express under different scenarios is constructed based on Logit model. The model is calibrated and verified by using SAS(Statistics Analysis system software. Finally, using the method and model proposed in this paper to distribute the passenger flow of the whole train and the express train at the large station, the passenger flow of the public transport line within the Beijing bus line 8 is selected as a case study, and the passenger flow of the bus line within the 8 bus before the opening of the express train is allocated. The results of passenger flow distribution of the express bus lines in 8 and 8 after the opening of the express train at the big station are obtained, and compared with the passenger flow data of the express lines in 8 and 8 after the opening of the express train in 8, and the error analysis is carried out. The method and model of passenger flow distribution for whole train and express train at large station are verified in this paper.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：U491.17

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本文編號：1895993