本文選題：社會情感計(jì)算 + 交通流量分配�。� 參考：《北京交通大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：交通流分配作為基礎(chǔ)的交通運(yùn)輸領(lǐng)域研究,對于交通流量預(yù)測、路徑選擇等問題有著重要的作用。傳統(tǒng)交通分配模型中對出行者出行決策過程的設(shè)計(jì)較為簡單,本文在既有研究的基礎(chǔ)之上,以有限理性為前提,著重研究非理性因素——出行者自身主觀情緒對出行選擇的影響過程,探尋情緒因素與交通流量分配的相互作用規(guī)律。首先,對現(xiàn)有交通流分配模型及其相關(guān)的支撐理論進(jìn)行分析和總結(jié),指出了現(xiàn)有研究的局限,并在此基礎(chǔ)上提出了本文的研究內(nèi)容和技術(shù)路線。又從情緒因素對出行選擇的影響機(jī)理入手,引入社會情感優(yōu)化算法的情緒變化模型,通過數(shù)學(xué)化表達(dá)情緒的變化過程,闡述了該方法的適用性。情緒的引入豐富了現(xiàn)有交通流分配理論體系。其次,依據(jù)期望效用理論,通過設(shè)計(jì)出行者的決策屬性、可量化的情緒值和情緒變化過程以及出行者的行為規(guī)則,構(gòu)建了基于情緒影響的用戶流量分配模型,并通過描述出行者的路徑選擇過程,分析了情緒因素對出行者效用感知的影響。模型較好的反映了出行者自身情緒與出行決策之間的關(guān)系,提高了交通需求預(yù)測的準(zhǔn)確性。最后,將出行者對效用的感知、出行者的情緒因素以及對出行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的認(rèn)知進(jìn)行綜合,通過建立基于前景理論的隨機(jī)用戶均衡模型,研究了在有限理性的前提下,出行者參照點(diǎn)的變化方式、情緒對于路徑前景的影響過程。模型更加真實(shí)和客觀的反映了交通系統(tǒng)的運(yùn)行特征和規(guī)律。本文從情緒因素對出行者效用感知影響的角度出發(fā),分別基于期望效用理論和前景理論對出行行為進(jìn)行分析和建模,分析情緒對于出行選擇的影響機(jī)理,完善了現(xiàn)有模型中的出行假設(shè),豐富了現(xiàn)有交通流分配研究的視角,為揭示出行者的出行決策過程和路徑選擇規(guī)律提供了新的理論依據(jù)。
[Abstract]:The study of traffic flow distribution as the basis of transportation plays an important role in traffic flow prediction and route selection. The design of traveller travel decision process in the traditional traffic assignment model is relatively simple. Based on the existing research, this paper takes limited rationality as the premise. This paper focuses on the study of the influence process of the irrational factor, the subjective emotion of the traveller, on the travel choice, and explores the interaction law between the emotional factor and the traffic flow distribution. Firstly, this paper analyzes and summarizes the existing traffic flow assignment model and its related supporting theory, points out the limitations of the existing research, and puts forward the research contents and technical route of this paper. Based on the influence mechanism of emotional factors on travel choice, this paper introduces the emotional change model of social emotion optimization algorithm, and expounds the applicability of this method through expressing the process of emotion change mathematically. The introduction of emotion enriches the existing theoretical system of traffic flow distribution. Secondly, according to the expected utility theory, by designing the decision attribute, quantifiable emotional value and the process of emotion change and the behavior rules of the traveler, the user traffic distribution model based on the emotion influence is constructed. By describing the path selection process of the traveler, the influence of emotional factors on the traveler's utility perception is analyzed. The model well reflects the relationship between the traveler's own emotion and travel decision, and improves the accuracy of traffic demand prediction. Finally, by synthesizing the traveler's perception of utility, the traveler's emotional factors and the cognition of travel risk, a stochastic user equilibrium model based on prospect theory is established to study the premise of limited rationality. The mode of change of the traveler's reference point and the influence of emotion on the path prospect. The model reflects the characteristics and rules of traffic system more realistically and objectively. From the perspective of the influence of emotional factors on travelers' utility perception, this paper analyzes and models travel behavior based on expected utility theory and foreground theory, and analyzes the influence mechanism of emotion on travel choice. It improves the travel assumptions in the existing models, enriches the perspective of the existing traffic flow allocation research, and provides a new theoretical basis for revealing the travel decision process and path selection rules of travelers.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：U491

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本文編號：1885229