本文選題：停車換乘行為 + 通勤者��； 參考：《西南交通大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著交通擁堵的問題進(jìn)一步凸顯,如今中國一些大城市都在嘗試設(shè)置PR設(shè)施,但實施效果未能充分預(yù)見。PR需求產(chǎn)生于PR行為,為了準(zhǔn)確地預(yù)測PR需求,提高PR系統(tǒng)的利用率,對PR行為研究是十分必要的。通勤出行是城市居民日�；顒又凶罨镜某鲂谢顒�,而通勤出行帶來的早晚高峰時段的交通擁堵已是城市交通最為突出的問題之一。根據(jù)通勤者個人特征和出行特征,有針對性地制定相應(yīng)的交通需求管理(Transportation Demand Management, TDM)措施,對提高出行效率、緩解城市交通擁堵意義重大。為此,本文以通勤者停車換乘行為為研究對象,從選擇行為角度研究,分析影響停車換乘的因素,根據(jù)效用最大化理論進(jìn)行通勤者停車換乘行為研究,包括以下幾個方面的研究：結(jié)合通勤者自身屬性分析通勤者停車換乘選擇行為的影響因素,重點分析了出行特征和停車換乘特性的影響,主要包括：與PR設(shè)施相關(guān)的影響,軌道交通服務(wù)水平,中心區(qū)道路擁擠水平的影響,通勤者到達(dá)時間準(zhǔn)時性的影響,PR信息共享的影響等。選取SP調(diào)查方法進(jìn)行調(diào)查方案的設(shè)計,用小汽車最大容忍速度表征中心區(qū)道路擁擠水平,實際調(diào)查中充分考慮通勤者對到達(dá)準(zhǔn)時性的影響,調(diào)查結(jié)果重點分析個人屬性和出行特征在不同情境假設(shè)條件的出行意愿。對模型進(jìn)行Wald檢驗、擬合優(yōu)度檢驗、類R2檢驗,結(jié)果顯示家庭月收入、出發(fā)地、小汽車最大容忍速度、換乘步行時間、到達(dá)時間準(zhǔn)時性、出行費用和出行時間是重要的影響因素。對比有準(zhǔn)時性要求和無準(zhǔn)時性要求的兩個模型,得出有準(zhǔn)時性要求的模型擬合效果較好。對單位支付和個人支付的模型進(jìn)行對比分析,停車費用由單位支付的通勤者,最關(guān)注的是出行時間和換乘步行時間,停車費用由個人支付的通勤者較易受到出行時間和出行費用等較多因素影響。分析速度、出行時問和費用的靈敏度,研究假設(shè)條件下出行費用、出行時間、最大容忍速度的合理閾值。根據(jù)投入成本大小和改善難度的分析,選取合理有效的出行成本組合。
[Abstract]:With the traffic congestion problem further highlighted, some big cities in China are now trying to set up PR facilities, but the implementation effect does not fully predict the.PR demand generated by the PR behavior. In order to accurately predict the PR demand, improve the utilization of PR system, the study of PR behavior is very necessary. Commuter travel is the most basic of urban residents' daily activities. This is one of the most prominent problems in urban traffic. According to the personal characteristics and travel characteristics of commuters, the corresponding traffic demand management (Transportation Demand Management, TDM) measures are formulated to improve travel efficiency and alleviate urban traffic. Congestion is of great significance. Therefore, this paper takes the behavior of commuter parking and transfer as the research object, analyzes the factors affecting parking and transfer from the perspective of choice behavior, and studies the parking and transfer behavior of commuters according to the theory of utility maximization, including the following aspects: analyzing the parking and transfer of commuters in combination with the commuter's own attributes The influence factors of choice behavior are selected, and the influence of travel characteristics and parking change characteristics is mainly analyzed, including the effects related to the PR facilities, the level of rail traffic service, the influence of congestion level in the central area, the effect of the punctuality of the commuter arrival time, the influence of the PR information sharing, and so on. The SP survey method is selected to carry out the investigation scheme. Design, using the maximum tolerance speed of the car to characterize the road congestion level in the central area. In the actual survey, the effect of commuters on arrival time is fully considered. The results of the investigation focus on the trip will of individual attributes and travel characteristics in different scenarios. Wald test, goodness of fit test, class R2 test, and results show the results of the model. The family monthly income, the starting place, the maximum tolerance speed of the car, the transfer walking time, the time of arrival time, the travel cost and the travel time are the important factors. Compare the two models with just in time and no time requirements, and get the better model fitting effect with the punctual requirement. The model for unit payment and personal payment is made. In contrast, the commuters paid by the unit pay the most attention to the travel time and the travel time, and the commuters paid by the individual are more susceptible to many factors such as travel time and travel cost. Analysis speed, travel time and cost sensitivity, travel expenses and travel time under hypothesis conditions A reasonable threshold for maximum tolerance rate is selected. Based on the analysis of input cost and difficulty of improvement, a reasonable and effective travel cost combination is selected.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：U491

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本文編號：1796322