浙江交通氣象站優(yōu)化布局的層次分析法和模糊熵應(yīng)用
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-04-05 19:21
本文選題:交通氣象 切入點(diǎn):選址布局 出處:《氣象科技》2017年04期
【摘要】:根據(jù)災(zāi)害性天氣的特點(diǎn)及其對(duì)高速公路的影響,應(yīng)用層次分析法(Analytic Hierarchy Process,AHP)確定氣象因子對(duì)高速公路影響的權(quán)重,并用模糊熵對(duì)權(quán)重進(jìn)行修正,在此基礎(chǔ)上將高速公路受災(zāi)害性天氣影響的程度進(jìn)行排序,從而應(yīng)用于高速公路氣象監(jiān)測(cè)站的選址布局。對(duì)杭金衢高速公路進(jìn)行實(shí)例分析,結(jié)果表明:該綜合評(píng)價(jià)模型簡(jiǎn)單易用,可有效判斷出不同路段受災(zāi)害性天氣影響的差異性,得到的評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果和高速封道的信息大體一致,可為交通氣象監(jiān)測(cè)站的建設(shè)和布局提供科學(xué)的量化參考依據(jù),制定合理的決策方案。
[Abstract]:According to the characteristics of disastrous weather and its influence on expressway, Analytic Hierarchy process Analysis (AHP) is used to determine the weight of meteorological factors on expressway, and the weight is modified by fuzzy entropy.On this basis, the degree of the highway affected by the disastrous weather is sorted, and then applied to the location and layout of the expressway meteorological monitoring station.The example analysis of Hangjin-qu expressway shows that the comprehensive evaluation model is simple and easy to use, and it can effectively judge the difference of different sections affected by disastrous weather, and the evaluation results are generally consistent with the information of high-speed road closure.It can provide a scientific quantitative reference for the construction and layout of traffic and meteorological monitoring station, and make a reasonable decision plan.
【作者單位】: 浙江省氣象服務(wù)中心;浙江省氣象臺(tái);
【基金】:浙江省公益技術(shù)研究社會(huì)發(fā)展項(xiàng)目“浙江省高速公路氣象風(fēng)險(xiǎn)區(qū)劃及預(yù)報(bào)預(yù)警服務(wù)技術(shù)研究”(2014C23003)資助
【分類號(hào)】:P411;U492.8
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本文編號(hào):1716153
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