發(fā)布時間：2018-03-29 23:08

  本文選題：學生出行　切入點：父母出行　出處：《長安大學》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：研究出行行為是進行交通規(guī)劃、制定交通政策的基礎和前提,中小學生上下學交通是城市通勤交通的重要組成部分,對城市道路交通擁堵和交通沖突的形成具有重要影響,研究學生的出行方式,有助于更好的把握交通擁擠特征,提出應對策略。在學生上下學的過程中,作為出行主體,部分學生由家庭成員伴隨出行,因此學生出行和方式選擇的影響因素往往比自主出行群體更加復雜。家庭成員出行方式與學生的出行方式之間相互關聯(lián),因此研究學生出行方式時要考慮其他家庭成員的出行方式這一因素。本文以學生家庭中學生出行方式的選擇為研究對象,在父母出行方式選擇的基礎上研究學生的出行方式選擇。針對非集計模型及特點,選擇Heckman Probit模型建立基于父母出行方式選擇的學生出行方式選擇模型,將父母的出行方式作為選擇方程的因變量,學生的出行方式作為結果方程的因變量,父母的出行方式分為小汽車、公交車、電動車、步行和自行車四類,分別研究父母選擇不同出行方式對學生選擇出行方式的影響;利用stata軟件中的heckprob命令得到模型的結果,分析了父母出行方式對學生出行方式選擇的影響,以及個人屬性、家庭屬性、出行屬性對學生出行方式選擇的影響;結合模型分析結果和靈敏度分析,在常用交通需求策略的基礎上,提出了緩解交通擁堵的學生需求管理策略。
[Abstract]:The study of travel behavior is the basis and premise of traffic planning and policy making. The transportation of primary and middle school students to and from school is an important part of urban commuting traffic, which has an important impact on the formation of urban road traffic congestion and traffic conflict.The study of students' travel patterns is helpful to better grasp the characteristics of traffic congestion and put forward coping strategies.In the process of students' going to and from school, some students are accompanied by family members as the travel subject, so the factors influencing students' travel and mode choice are often more complex than the autonomous travel group.The family travel mode is related to the student's travel mode, so the other family members' travel mode should be taken into account when studying the student's travel mode.This paper studies the choice of students' travel mode on the basis of parents' choice of travel mode, taking the choice of students' family and middle school students' trip mode as the research object.According to the disaggregate model and its characteristics, the Heckman Probit model is chosen to establish the student travel mode selection model based on the parents' travel mode choice, and the parents' trip mode is regarded as the dependent variable of the choice equation.As the dependent variable of the result equation, students' travel mode is divided into four categories: car, bus, electric vehicle, walking and bicycle.Using the heckprob command in stata software to get the result of the model, this paper analyzes the influence of parents' travel mode on students' travel mode choice, as well as the influence of personal attribute, family attribute and travel attribute on students' travel mode choice.Based on the results of model analysis and sensitivity analysis, a student demand management strategy to alleviate traffic congestion is proposed on the basis of common traffic demand strategies.
【學位授予單位】：長安大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：U491

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本文編號：1683256