本文關(guān)鍵詞： 有限理性 出發(fā)時刻 停車位不足 前景理論 出行決策　出處：《北京工業(yè)大學(xué)學(xué)報》2017年11期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：針對目的地停車位不足,出行者如何選擇出發(fā)時刻的問題,在有限理性視野下綜合考慮道路擁堵狀況、出行者個人感知差異、目的地車位供給狀況以及無法停入合法停車位后將受到懲罰等因素對出行者出發(fā)時刻選擇的影響.依據(jù)前景理論設(shè)計實驗,通過調(diào)查獲取出行者出發(fā)時刻選擇意向數(shù)據(jù),構(gòu)建出行者出發(fā)時刻選擇模型.研究結(jié)果表明:停車位剩余狀況影響出行者對出行結(jié)果的滿意程度以及下一次出行決策.出行者出行結(jié)果滿意度隨著目的地剩余車位的減少而降低,當(dāng)出行者的出行結(jié)果為滿意時,出行者下一次出行由傾向于早到逐漸變?yōu)閮A向于晚到.在車位不足,不能合法停車的情況下,不同的懲罰措施會影響到出行者下一次出發(fā)時刻的決策結(jié)果,懲罰越嚴(yán)重,出行者越傾向于早出發(fā).
[Abstract]:In view of the shortage of parking space at the destination, how to choose the departure time of the traveler, considering the road congestion situation comprehensively in the view of limited rationality, the individual perception difference of the traveler. The influence of the supply condition of the destination parking space and the penalty after the parking space cannot be parked on the choice of the departure moment of the traveler. The experiment is designed according to the foreground theory. Through the survey to obtain the departure time of the traveller choice intention data. The study results show that:. The remaining parking space status affects the satisfaction degree of the traveler to the travel result and the next trip decision. The satisfaction degree of the passenger travel result decreases with the decrease of the remaining parking space at the destination. When the result of the trip is satisfactory, the next trip of the traveler will gradually change from early arrival to late arrival. In the case of insufficient parking space, can not legally park. Different punishment measures will affect the decision result of the next departure moment. The more severe the punishment, the more likely the traveler will set out early.
【作者單位】： 北京工業(yè)大學(xué)交通工程北京市重點實驗室;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金資助項目(51338008,51378036)
【分類號】：U491
【正文快照】： 對于駕車出行者來說,當(dāng)目的地附近停車供給不足時,在缺乏其他替代出行方式的條件下,就需要根據(jù)停車位供給情況,恰當(dāng)?shù)剡x擇出發(fā)時刻,既確保有停車位,又不至于過早抵達(dá).許多學(xué)者研究過此類選擇問題,Thorhauge等[1]通過對哥本哈根早高峰交通數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行分析認(rèn)為:準(zhǔn)時到達(dá)公司上班在，

本文編號：1462455