【摘要】：沛縣是我國(guó)東部一座典型的礦業(yè)城市，1970年代末以來(lái)，沛縣礦業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展帶動(dòng)了當(dāng)?shù)卣w經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展和城市建設(shè)，但在經(jīng)歷了30余年的高強(qiáng)度開(kāi)采后，沛縣礦業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)和城市發(fā)展也面臨著諸多問(wèn)題，亟待產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型。本文試圖梳理沛縣作為一座典型礦業(yè)城市的城市空間演變歷程，并探討產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型期城市規(guī)劃的應(yīng)對(duì)策略。由于礦業(yè)城市的發(fā)展與轉(zhuǎn)型存在一定的共性問(wèn)題，本文的研究既可對(duì)沛縣城市可持續(xù)發(fā)展提供指導(dǎo)，也對(duì)大量其他礦業(yè)城市實(shí)施產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型具有一定的借鑒意義。對(duì)此，本文在北京城市空間發(fā)展分析模型（BUDEM）的基礎(chǔ)上構(gòu)建了沛縣城市空間演變CA模型，以產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型期沛縣城市空間演變的主要影響因子作為模型空間變量，根據(jù)中心城區(qū)用地歷史數(shù)據(jù)識(shí)別模型參數(shù)，模型模擬結(jié)果準(zhǔn)確度達(dá)到70%以上。以此模型為基礎(chǔ)，，本文設(shè)定了自然發(fā)展情景、政策情景與2011版沛縣總體規(guī)劃方案情景三類(lèi)情景對(duì)未來(lái)一段時(shí)期沛縣城市空間演變進(jìn)行情景分析，得出了在產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展、城市建設(shè)、資源利用與環(huán)境保護(hù)方面有利于促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型期規(guī)劃實(shí)施的相應(yīng)政策建議，并根據(jù)模擬結(jié)果對(duì)本模型的準(zhǔn)確度、意義及應(yīng)用擴(kuò)展進(jìn)行了討論。
[Abstract]:Peixian is a typical mining city in the east of China. Since the late 1970s, the development of mining industry in Peixian has led to the overall economic and social development and urban construction, but after more than 30 years of high-intensity mining, Peixian mining industry and urban development are also facing many problems, the urgent need for industrial transformation. This paper attempts to comb Peixian as a typical mining city of urban spatial evolution, and to explore the industrial transformation of urban planning strategies. Because there are some common problems in the development and transformation of mining cities, the research in this paper can not only provide guidance for the sustainable development of Peixian city, but also have certain reference significance for a large number of other mining cities to implement industrial transformation. In this paper, based on the Beijing urban spatial development analysis model (BUDEM), the CA model of Peixian urban spatial evolution is constructed. The main influencing factors of Peixian urban spatial evolution in the industrial transformation period are taken as the model spatial variables. According to the historical data of urban land use, the accuracy of model simulation is over 70%. Based on this model, this paper sets up natural development scenarios, policy scenarios and 2011 Peixian master plan scenarios for the future period of Peixian urban spatial evolution situation analysis, and obtained in the industrial development, urban construction, Resource utilization and environmental protection are helpful to promote the implementation of industrial transformation planning. Based on the simulation results, the accuracy, significance and application expansion of the model are discussed.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：清華大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F129.9

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前8條

1 湯緒;西部資源型城市轉(zhuǎn)型期城市定位及空間布局初探——以金昌市為例[J];城市規(guī)劃;2003年11期

2 趙景海,俞濱洋;資源型城市空間可持續(xù)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略初探——兼論大慶市城市空間重組[J];城市規(guī)劃;1999年08期

3 龍瀛;韓昊英;毛其智;;利用約束性CA制定城市增長(zhǎng)邊界[J];地理學(xué)報(bào);2009年08期

4 龍瀛;沈振江;毛其智;黨安榮;;基于約束性CA方法的北京城市形態(tài)情景分析[J];地理學(xué)報(bào);2010年06期

5 黎夏,葉嘉安;約束性單元自動(dòng)演化CA模型及可持續(xù)城市發(fā)展形態(tài)的模擬[J];地理學(xué)報(bào);1999年04期

6 楊青生,黎夏,劉小平;基于Agent和CA的城市土地利用變化研究[J];地球信息科學(xué);2005年02期

7 榮sシ

本文編號(hào)：2427613