發(fā)布時間：2018-07-14 21:32

【摘要】：中國的GDP增長率在2012年經(jīng)歷其13年來的最低水平，部分觀點將其視為中國自1978年以來長達34年持續(xù)高速增長階段的終結。雖然全球金融危機的帶來了外部需求市場的萎縮，但我們認為其內部問題對此起著更重要的影響。這些問題是與中國經(jīng)濟增長相伴生的，財政分權與地區(qū)競爭啟動了中國特色的“區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展”，，同樣，這種中國特色的發(fā)展模式也帶來了區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的不平衡。隨著中國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展進程的加快，省域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展不均衡的矛盾日益凸顯。中國經(jīng)濟長期以來的不均衡發(fā)展，以及這種不均衡發(fā)展態(tài)勢的增加，已經(jīng)威脅到中國經(jīng)濟今后的平穩(wěn)發(fā)展和生產(chǎn)要素在省域間的有效配置。因此，深入分析省域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展不均衡的原因，并探求如何對生產(chǎn)要素進行有效配置，對中國經(jīng)濟的穩(wěn)定增長有著重要的現(xiàn)實意義。 本文在迪克西特-斯蒂格利茨的分析框架下，建立兩區(qū)域兩部門兩要素的理論模型，將空間因素導致的要素流動邊際產(chǎn)出發(fā)生改變納入到區(qū)域經(jīng)濟結構的分析中。探求要素流動規(guī)模以及方向對區(qū)域經(jīng)濟結構以及區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟發(fā)展差距的影響。首先，本文對單一要素流動進行分析；其次，在單一要素流動的基礎上，對兩要素流動對區(qū)域經(jīng)濟結構的影響進行分析，得出要素流動邊際產(chǎn)出的動態(tài)變化模型。最后，對要素流動對中國省域經(jīng)濟結構及發(fā)展差距的影響進行實證分析。數(shù)理分析及實證分析的結果表明：(1)將要素邊際產(chǎn)出變化納入?yún)^(qū)域經(jīng)濟結構的分析中更符合中國省域的現(xiàn)實情況。(2)通過對中國工業(yè)部門的實證分析得出，工業(yè)部門發(fā)展的減緩早于GDP的增長的減緩，流動的資本要素不足，流動的勞動力要素相對充裕。(3)資本要素流動對區(qū)域經(jīng)濟結構及經(jīng)濟差距的影響取決于區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平，而勞動力要素的流動對發(fā)展落后區(qū)域的經(jīng)濟結構起到優(yōu)化作用，有利于縮小區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟發(fā)展差距。
[Abstract]:China's GDP growth rate was at its slowest rate in 13 years in 2012 and is seen by some as the end of a period of 34 years of sustained rapid growth since 1978. Although the global financial crisis has brought about a contraction in external demand markets, we think its internal problems have a more important impact on this. These problems are accompanied by China's economic growth. Fiscal decentralization and regional competition have initiated the "regional economic development" with Chinese characteristics. Similarly, this kind of development mode with Chinese characteristics has also brought about the imbalance of regional economic development. With the acceleration of China's economic development, the contradiction of unbalanced development of provincial economy is becoming increasingly prominent. The unbalanced development of Chinese economy for a long time and the increase of this unbalanced development situation have threatened the stable development of Chinese economy in the future and the effective allocation of production factors among provinces. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to analyze the reasons for the unbalanced development of the provincial economy and to find out how to allocate the factors of production effectively, which is of great practical significance to the steady growth of China's economy. Under the framework of Dixie Stiglitz's analysis, this paper establishes a theoretical model of two regions, two sectors and two elements, and brings the change of marginal output of factor flow caused by spatial factors into the analysis of regional economic structure. This paper explores the influence of the scale and direction of factor flow on the regional economic structure and the regional economic development gap. Firstly, this paper analyzes the flow of single factor. Secondly, on the basis of the flow of single factor, the paper analyzes the influence of the flow of two factors on the regional economic structure, and obtains the dynamic model of marginal output of factor flow. Finally, the effect of factor flow on China's provincial economic structure and development gap is analyzed empirically. The results of mathematical analysis and empirical analysis show that: (1) integrating the change of marginal output of factors into the analysis of regional economic structure is more in line with the reality of China's provincial region. (2) through the empirical analysis of China's industrial sector, it is concluded that, The slow down of industrial development is earlier than the slowdown of GDP growth, the capital element is insufficient and the labor factor is relatively abundant. (3) the influence of capital factor flow on the regional economic structure and economic disparity depends on the level of regional economic development. The flow of labor factors plays an important role in optimizing the economic structure of backward regions and helps to narrow the gap of regional economic development.
【學位授予單位】：哈爾濱工業(yè)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F127;F224

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本文編號：2123017