中國(guó)消費(fèi)函數(shù)研究與消費(fèi)情況分析
本文選題:消費(fèi)函數(shù) + 主成分分析; 參考:《哈爾濱商業(yè)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:投資、出口和消費(fèi)被稱(chēng)為拉動(dòng)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的“三駕馬車(chē)”。但是,多年來(lái)“三駕馬車(chē)”的步伐不一致,最終消費(fèi)率長(zhǎng)期過(guò)低,國(guó)內(nèi)民眾的最終消費(fèi)需求增長(zhǎng)緩慢,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)過(guò)分依賴(lài)出口和投資,一直是我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中亟待解決的問(wèn)題,與此同時(shí),消費(fèi)需求不足會(huì)對(duì)宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行產(chǎn)生一系列不良影響。為了研究中國(guó)居民的實(shí)際消費(fèi)支出情況,有必要對(duì)我國(guó)的消費(fèi)主體進(jìn)行重新分類(lèi),最終確定出適合中國(guó)總體消費(fèi)特點(diǎn)的消費(fèi)函數(shù)模型。但是,對(duì)于總體消費(fèi)函數(shù)而言,其受各方面宏觀因素的影響較大,因此,通過(guò)主成分分析方法將國(guó)家兩大宏觀調(diào)控工具即國(guó)家貨幣政策和財(cái)政政策予以量化,以研究國(guó)家政策對(duì)我國(guó)居民消費(fèi)的作用情況。實(shí)證分析結(jié)果顯示,國(guó)家非緊縮的貨幣政策和非緊縮財(cái)政政策分別對(duì)我國(guó)居民消費(fèi)支出情況起促進(jìn)作用。
[Abstract]:Investment, exports and consumption are known as the "troika" that drives China's economic growth. However, over the years, the pace of the "troika" has been inconsistent, the final consumption rate has been too low for a long time, the final consumption demand of the domestic people has grown slowly, and the economic growth has been excessively dependent on exports and investment, which has always been a problem to be solved in the economic development of our country. At the same time, insufficient consumer demand will have a series of adverse effects on macro-economic operation. In order to study the actual consumption expenditure of Chinese residents, it is necessary to reclassify the main body of consumption in China, and finally determine the consumption function model suitable for the overall consumption characteristics of China. However, for the overall consumption function, it is greatly influenced by various macro factors. Therefore, the two macro-control tools, namely, the national monetary policy and the fiscal policy, are quantified by principal component analysis (PCA). In order to study the role of national policies on the consumption of Chinese residents. The results of empirical analysis show that the monetary policy and the non-austerity fiscal policy play an important role in promoting the consumption expenditure of Chinese residents.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:哈爾濱商業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F126.1;F224
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