本文選題：中美經(jīng)濟周期 + 同步性　； 參考：《首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：中美經(jīng)濟周期協(xié)動性是開放宏觀經(jīng)濟學(xué)研究的重點問題。通過研究，，一方面可以探究平穩(wěn)經(jīng)濟周期性波動的方法，另一方面也可以通過制定合理的政策提前預(yù)防或降低美國或世界經(jīng)濟波動給中國經(jīng)濟波動帶來的負面影響。 基于國內(nèi)外學(xué)術(shù)界對國際經(jīng)濟周期協(xié)動問題的研究成果，本文從理論分析和實證分析兩方面對中美經(jīng)濟周期協(xié)動問題展開研究。文章主要研究了中美經(jīng)濟周期的同步性，并分別基于貿(mào)易和金融傳導(dǎo)探究了中美經(jīng)濟周期的協(xié)動性。通過對兩國經(jīng)濟周期同步性的分析，得出2000-2011年兩國經(jīng)濟周期同步性最高；基于貿(mào)易傳導(dǎo)的研究，本文得出美國從華進口因素對中美經(jīng)濟周期協(xié)動程度的作用大于美國對華出口和美國對華FDI的作用；基于金融傳導(dǎo)的研究，本文得出美國匯率因素對中美經(jīng)濟周期協(xié)動程度的作用大于美國利率、信貸和資本市場因素的作用；對比貿(mào)易傳導(dǎo)和金融傳導(dǎo)，得出貿(mào)易傳導(dǎo)對中美經(jīng)濟周期協(xié)動程度的貢獻要明顯大于金融傳導(dǎo)。 最后，本文通過研究，對現(xiàn)階段中國經(jīng)濟持續(xù)穩(wěn)定增長提出了三方面的政策建議，分別是擴大內(nèi)需、加強金融監(jiān)管、加大對外資利用效率。
[Abstract]:The cooperative nature of Chinese and American business cycles is a key issue in open macroeconomics. On the one hand, we can explore the method of stable economic cyclical fluctuation, on the other hand, we can prevent or reduce the negative impact of American or world economic fluctuation on China's economic fluctuation in advance by formulating reasonable policies. Based on the research results of the international business cycle coordination, this paper studies the Sino-American business cycle coordination from two aspects: theoretical analysis and empirical analysis. This paper mainly studies the synchronism of Chinese and American business cycles, and probes into the cooperativeness of Chinese and American business cycles based on trade and financial transmission, respectively. Through the analysis of the synchronism of the two countries' economic cycles, it is concluded that the synchronization of the two economic cycles is the highest from 2000 to 2011; based on the study of trade transmission, This paper concludes that the impact of American import from China on the Sino-American business cycle is greater than that of US exports to China and US FDI to China. This paper concludes that the role of the US exchange rate factor in the Sino-American business cycle coordination is greater than that of the US interest rate, credit and capital market factors. It is concluded that the contribution of trade transmission to the degree of economic cycle coordination between China and the United States is obviously greater than that of financial transmission. Finally, through the research, this paper puts forward three policy suggestions on the sustained and stable growth of China's economy at present, which are to expand domestic demand, strengthen financial supervision and increase the efficiency of foreign capital utilization.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F124.8;F171.2

【引證文獻】

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 李星;美國經(jīng)濟周期對中國經(jīng)濟周期的影響研究[D];湖南大學(xué);2009年

本文編號：1925201