就業(yè)人口受教育程度與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的統(tǒng)計(jì)分析
本文選題:人力資本 切入點(diǎn):實(shí)證分析 出處:《西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:一個(gè)國(guó)家或者地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)除了依靠物質(zhì)資本外,更重要的是其所擁有的高知識(shí)水平和高度專(zhuān)業(yè)化的人力資本存量。經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)的發(fā)展將更多地依賴(lài)于勞動(dòng)者的素質(zhì)。我國(guó)在加入wTO后,面對(duì)的國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)更為激烈,這在客觀上也對(duì)國(guó)民文化素質(zhì)提出了更高的要求。目前雖然我國(guó)居民的受教育程度在不斷提高,但人口的綜合素質(zhì)還不能很好地適應(yīng)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的需要,尤其是對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)影響最為重要的就業(yè)人口的受教育程度,與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平極不相稱(chēng),進(jìn)一步提高人口素質(zhì)仍是當(dāng)前我國(guó)發(fā)展的重任。研究就業(yè)人口受教育程度,尤其是就業(yè)人口中受過(guò)高中及以上教育人口所占比例和受過(guò)高等教育的人口所占比例與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的關(guān)系,對(duì)于充分認(rèn)識(shí)教育對(duì)提升我國(guó)綜合競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的作用具有重要的實(shí)際意義;對(duì)于從發(fā)展教育去尋求促進(jìn)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的有效途徑,也有一定的理論意義。 目前我國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)及人力資本的現(xiàn)狀是怎樣的?教育現(xiàn)狀是怎樣的?就業(yè)人口受教育程度,特別是受過(guò)高中及以上教育或高等教育對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響究竟有多大?我國(guó)今后需要采取什么樣的對(duì)策來(lái)提高人力資本存量并使得人力資本成為促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)長(zhǎng)期穩(wěn)定增長(zhǎng)的不竭動(dòng)力? 基于對(duì)上述一系列問(wèn)題的思考,本文將分四個(gè)部分進(jìn)行研究:第一部分為緒論部分,主要為本文研究的背景、意義、研究目的、研究思路以及本文的特點(diǎn)和存在的不足;第二部分主要是國(guó)內(nèi)外文獻(xiàn)的梳理總結(jié)及現(xiàn)階段我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)和教育現(xiàn)狀的分析,引出本文所需要進(jìn)一步探討研究的問(wèn)題;第三部分主要是探討分析進(jìn)而形成本文所需的實(shí)證分析方法和研究模型,從實(shí)證分析的角度,充分利用已有數(shù)據(jù)和資料對(duì)我國(guó)各省市就業(yè)人口中受過(guò)高等教育的人口比例及受過(guò)高中以上教育的人口比例對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響進(jìn)行定量分析,探究就業(yè)人口受教育程度,尤其是九年義務(wù)教育之后的繼續(xù)教育對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)影響的重要程度,并對(duì)其與第二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的關(guān)系進(jìn)行簡(jiǎn)單的分析;第四部分主要是在實(shí)證研究所得的基礎(chǔ)上,得出結(jié)論并尋求一些啟示,提出提高就業(yè)人口受教育程度和促進(jìn)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的相關(guān)對(duì)策建議。 本文的研究特點(diǎn)在于利用人力資本相關(guān)經(jīng)濟(jì)理論和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)模型,定量分析了2010年我國(guó)31個(gè)省市自治區(qū)就業(yè)人口中受過(guò)高中及以上教育和受過(guò)高等教育對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響,并進(jìn)一步對(duì)其與第二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了簡(jiǎn)單分析。通過(guò)本文研究,對(duì)我國(guó)就業(yè)人口受教育程度與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系問(wèn)題,特別是九年義務(wù)教育之后的繼續(xù)教育與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系產(chǎn)生新的認(rèn)識(shí),充實(shí)了目前我國(guó)關(guān)于人力資本研究的一些數(shù)據(jù),對(duì)今后人力資本的研究有一定的借鑒意義。 不足之處在于,由于統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)的限制,對(duì)部分?jǐn)?shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行了估算,如估算的第二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)各自擁有的物質(zhì)資本存量,可能會(huì)存在一定偏差,但比用全國(guó)物質(zhì)資本存量代替要合理的多。另外本文對(duì)人力資本的估計(jì)僅考慮了人力資本最重要的部分——就業(yè)人員的質(zhì)量和數(shù)量,而未對(duì)人力資本其他方面做出考察。如何更加精確全面地度量人力資本將是下一步研究的重點(diǎn)。
[Abstract]:A country or region economic growth in addition to relying on material capital, more important is that they have a high level of knowledge and highly specialized human capital stock. The economic and social development will be more dependent on the quality of workers in our country. After joining wTO, facing the international competition is more intense, in this the objective of the national cultural quality put forward higher requirements. Although the education level of the residents in our country continue to improve, but the overall quality of the population are not well adapted to the needs of economic development, especially the level of education on the economic impact of the most important jobs, and economic development level inappropriate, to further improve the quality of the population is still the current task of the development of our country. On the employment level of education, especially the employment population had a high school education and above population and the proportion of Higher Education With the relationship between the proportion of the population and economic growth, to fully understand the education has important practical significance to enhance China's comprehensive competitiveness; for the development of the education to seek effective ways to promote the sustainable development of China's economy, also has a certain theoretical significance.
The current situation of economy and human capital in China is what? What is the status of education? Employment education, especially those high school and higher education or higher education on economic growth how? Our future needs to take what kind of countermeasures to improve the stock of human capital and the human capital has become the inexhaustible motive force for long-term and stable economic growth?
Thinking of these problems based on this paper will be divided into four parts: the first part is introduction, mainly for the research background, significance, research purpose, research ideas and the characteristics and shortcomings; the second part is the summary of domestic and foreign literature and the current economic situation and analysis the education of our country, this paper needs further study of the problem; the third part is mainly about the analysis and the empirical analysis method and research model, from the perspective of empirical analysis, the proportion of the population to make full use of existing data and information on the proportion of people trained in the provinces of our country in higher education and employment a high school education or above on the impact of economic growth and quantitative analysis, explore the employment population education, especially after nine years of compulsory education to teach Education an important impact on economic growth, the simple analysis and the relationship with the development of the second, third industry; the fourth part is mainly based on the empirical research, draw the conclusion and seek some enlightenment, put forward to improve the employment level of education and relevant suggestions for promoting China's economic growth.
The characteristics of this research using human capital related economic theory and economic growth model is the quantitative analysis of the employment population of 31 provinces and autonomous regions in China in 2010 received a high school or above education and higher education on economic growth, and further to the development of the second, third industry and the relationship is briefly analyzed. Through this study, on the employment population of our country education and economic growth, especially after nine years of compulsory education to the relationship between education and economic growth to generate new knowledge, enrich the current research on human capital data, have certain reference significance for the research of human capital.
The disadvantage is that due to the statistical data of the restrictions on the part of data were estimated, such as estimates of the second, third industry has its own stock of physical capital, there may be some deviation, but compared with the national capital stock instead of more reasonable. In addition, this paper estimates capital to force only considers the quality and quantity of human capital the most important part of employment, but not on the other aspects of human capital study. How to make more accurate and comprehensive measurement of human capital will be the next focus of the study.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F249.21;F124.1;F224
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