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內(nèi)蒙古經(jīng)濟(jì)開放及與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-01-21 11:55

  本文關(guān)鍵詞: 經(jīng)濟(jì)開放 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長 因子分析 協(xié)整分析 出處:《內(nèi)蒙古財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


【摘要】:改革開放以后,我國的經(jīng)濟(jì)與世界的聯(lián)系越來越密切,由于政策以及地理因素,屬于邊疆省份的內(nèi)蒙古經(jīng)濟(jì)開放的步伐落后于東部沿海省份,但是,近些年來,內(nèi)蒙古依托其資源以及地域優(yōu)勢,對外貿(mào)易持續(xù)增長,外貿(mào)進(jìn)出口總額在這33年當(dāng)中也在不斷的增加,從1978年的0.2674億元增加到2011年的752.2708億元,口岸經(jīng)濟(jì)蓬勃發(fā)展,在4000多公里的邊境線上,內(nèi)蒙古的19個(gè)口岸敞開了我國向北開放的門戶,催生了活力無限的沿邊開放帶。從滿洲里到二連浩特、再到策克,從東至西,對外經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易合作使過去封閉的邊陲小鎮(zhèn)煥發(fā)出生機(jī)。那么,內(nèi)蒙古現(xiàn)在經(jīng)濟(jì)開放與我國其他地區(qū)相比是怎么樣的一個(gè)狀況呢?以及經(jīng)濟(jì)開放對內(nèi)蒙古的經(jīng)濟(jì)到底產(chǎn)生了一個(gè)怎樣的影響?它們之間是否存在一個(gè)長期穩(wěn)定的均衡關(guān)系呢? 本文借鑒前人研究成果,并考慮到衡量的是區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)開放,設(shè)計(jì)了衡量經(jīng)濟(jì)開放的八個(gè)指標(biāo),分為兩個(gè)方面,一方面是衡量對外經(jīng)濟(jì)開放的指標(biāo):外貿(mào)依存度、外資依存度、對外合作依存度、外商企業(yè)就業(yè)貢獻(xiàn)率;另外一個(gè)方面是對內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)開放的指標(biāo):內(nèi)貿(mào)依存度、內(nèi)資依存度、人口凈遷入率、貨運(yùn)密度,其中包括貿(mào)易、資本、人口、合作四個(gè)領(lǐng)域。繼而采用因子分析法對全國各個(gè)省份的經(jīng)濟(jì)開放水平進(jìn)行排名,從分析結(jié)果可知:內(nèi)蒙古的經(jīng)濟(jì)開放水平目前還是比較的低,造成內(nèi)蒙古經(jīng)濟(jì)開放水平低下的原因主要是在對外開放方面。了解到內(nèi)蒙古的經(jīng)濟(jì)開放狀況之后,我們有必要對內(nèi)蒙古的經(jīng)濟(jì)開放和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系進(jìn)行研究,在這里,本文使用了協(xié)整理論對它們之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行探究。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),內(nèi)蒙古的經(jīng)濟(jì)開放各個(gè)指標(biāo)當(dāng)中,,有外貿(mào)依存度、外資依存度、內(nèi)資依存度以及貨運(yùn)密度這個(gè)指標(biāo)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長指標(biāo)存在長期穩(wěn)定的協(xié)整關(guān)系,且這四個(gè)指標(biāo)與增長之間存在的是正向的協(xié)整關(guān)系,結(jié)合前文研究成果,我們可以認(rèn)為,雖然內(nèi)蒙古目前的經(jīng)濟(jì)開放水平不高,但是隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)開放的逐漸深入,它會日益成為拉動內(nèi)蒙古經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的重要組成部分。其次,建立誤差修正模型來說明經(jīng)濟(jì)開放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的具體的關(guān)系。最后,論文根據(jù)實(shí)證研究的結(jié)果,提出了擴(kuò)大內(nèi)蒙古經(jīng)濟(jì)開放,促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的幾點(diǎn)對策建議:利用比較優(yōu)勢,大力發(fā)展對外貿(mào)易和口岸經(jīng)濟(jì);加快基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè),改善區(qū)位條件,加強(qiáng)與其他地區(qū)尤其是發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)合作;注重吸引內(nèi)資;提高經(jīng)濟(jì)效益水平,促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長。
[Abstract]:After the reform and opening up, China's economy and the world are more and more closely linked, due to policy and geographical factors, the pace of economic opening in Inner Mongolia, which belongs to the frontier provinces, lags behind the eastern coastal provinces, but in recent years. Relying on its resources and regional advantages, Inner Mongolia's foreign trade continues to grow, and the total volume of foreign trade imports and exports in the 33 years is also increasing. From 26.74 million yuan in 1978 to seventy-five billion two hundred and twenty-seven million eighty thousand yuan in 2011, the port economy is booming, on the 4,000-kilometer border. The 19 ports in Inner Mongolia have opened the door of our country to the north, giving birth to the boundless vitality of the border opening belt, from Manzhouli to Erlianhaote, then to Tzeke, from east to west. Foreign economic and trade cooperation has given vitality to the previously closed frontier town. So, what is the situation of Inner Mongolia's economic opening compared with other regions of our country? And the economic opening to Inner Mongolia on the economy in the end produced a what kind of impact? Is there a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between them? This paper draws lessons from the previous research results, and considering that the measurement is the regional economic opening, designed eight indicators to measure the economic openness, divided into two aspects. On the one hand, it is the index to measure the opening of foreign economy: foreign trade dependence, foreign capital dependence, foreign cooperation dependence, and the employment contribution rate of foreign enterprises; Another aspect is the indicators of openness to the domestic economy: domestic trade dependence, domestic capital dependency, net migration rate, freight density, including trade, capital, and population. Cooperation in four areas. Then use factor analysis to rank the level of economic opening of all provinces in the country, from the analysis results: the level of economic openness in Inner Mongolia is still relatively low. The reason for the low level of economic opening in Inner Mongolia is mainly in the aspect of opening to the outside world. It is necessary to study the relationship between economic opening and economic growth in Inner Mongolia after understanding the economic opening situation in Inner Mongolia. In this paper, the co-integration theory is used to explore the relationship between them. The study found that there are foreign trade dependence and foreign capital dependence among the indicators of economic opening in Inner Mongolia. There is a long-term stable cointegration relationship between domestic capital dependency and freight density and economic growth index, and there is a positive co-integration relationship between these four indicators and growth, combined with the previous research results. We can think that although the current level of economic opening in Inner Mongolia is not high, but with the deepening of economic opening, it will increasingly become an important part of economic growth in Inner Mongolia. Secondly. Establish error correction model to explain the specific relationship between economic opening and economic growth. Finally, according to the results of empirical research, the paper proposed to expand the economic openness in Inner Mongolia. The countermeasures to promote economic growth are as follows: to develop foreign trade and port economy by means of comparative advantage; Speed up the construction of infrastructure, improve regional conditions, and strengthen economic cooperation with other regions, especially developed regions; Pay attention to attract domestic capital; We will raise the level of economic efficiency and promote economic growth.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:內(nèi)蒙古財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F127;F224

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