我國(guó)政治、經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)、文化與生態(tài)系統(tǒng)的協(xié)同演進(jìn)研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-11-14 19:48
【摘要】：本文從政治、經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)、文化及生態(tài)“五位一體”的區(qū)域系統(tǒng)出發(fā),應(yīng)用物理學(xué)隨機(jī)力與種群生態(tài)學(xué)種群成長(zhǎng)理論構(gòu)建系統(tǒng)發(fā)展的非線性方程,得出了一個(gè)螺旋式上升的區(qū)域系統(tǒng)協(xié)同發(fā)展的高級(jí)演進(jìn)曲線,并劃分了區(qū)域PESCE系統(tǒng)演進(jìn)的五個(gè)階段:初級(jí)發(fā)展階段、快速增長(zhǎng)階段、波動(dòng)調(diào)整階段、恢復(fù)增長(zhǎng)階段和趨于協(xié)同階段,分析各個(gè)階段的相應(yīng)演化特征,為研究我國(guó)省域區(qū)域PESCE系統(tǒng)非線性演化提供了理論基礎(chǔ)。在非線性演進(jìn)方程的基礎(chǔ)上,建立涵蓋區(qū)域政治、經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)、文化、生態(tài)的指標(biāo)體系,利用Topsis法與五邊形蛛網(wǎng)結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)我國(guó)各個(gè)省(市、區(qū))的協(xié)同發(fā)展能力進(jìn)行測(cè)度,利用R/S分析法對(duì)2002-2011年各省(市、區(qū))PESCE系統(tǒng)的序參量進(jìn)行甄別,同時(shí)確定閥值來(lái)判別我國(guó)各個(gè)省(市、區(qū))區(qū)域系統(tǒng)目前所處的發(fā)展階段。研究結(jié)果表明:第一、我國(guó)各省(市、區(qū))2002-2011年協(xié)同發(fā)展能力排序變化不大,排序規(guī)律與各省(市、區(qū))所處發(fā)展階段基本相符。但東中西部發(fā)展的不平衡性仍然存在。第二、我國(guó)大部分省(市、區(qū))在近十年內(nèi)發(fā)揮其自身優(yōu)勢(shì),通過(guò)主導(dǎo)的序參量子系統(tǒng)的發(fā)展帶動(dòng)整個(gè)區(qū)域的協(xié)同,但河北、山西兩地的生態(tài)子系統(tǒng)作為序參量的反持續(xù)性作用明顯。第三、我國(guó)各個(gè)省(市、區(qū))2002-2011年發(fā)展基本符合模型所擬合曲線的趨勢(shì),其中北京、上海和廣東三省市進(jìn)入了趨于協(xié)同階段,青海、甘肅、貴州和寧夏四省尚處于初級(jí)發(fā)展階段。針對(duì)得出的結(jié)論。本文提出以下政策建議:第一、建立科學(xué)有效的考評(píng)機(jī)制,堅(jiān)持統(tǒng)籌各類區(qū)域規(guī)劃。第二、設(shè)立不同類型的區(qū)域協(xié)同發(fā)展綜合配套改革試驗(yàn)區(qū),推進(jìn)良性互動(dòng)機(jī)制的形成。第三、創(chuàng)新區(qū)域協(xié)同發(fā)展空間組織戰(zhàn)略,建立多層次綜合決策機(jī)制。
[Abstract]:Based on the regional system of political, economic, social, cultural and ecological "five-in-one", the nonlinear equation of system development is constructed by applying the stochastic force of physics and population ecology population growth theory. The advanced evolution curve of a spiral ascending regional system is obtained, and the five stages of regional PESCE system evolution are divided into five stages: primary development stage, rapid growth stage, fluctuation adjustment stage, and so on. The corresponding evolution characteristics of each stage are analyzed in order to provide a theoretical basis for the study of the nonlinear evolution of the regional PESCE system in China. On the basis of nonlinear evolution equation, an index system covering regional politics, economy, society, culture and ecology is established. By using Topsis method and pentagonal cobweb structure, the cooperative development ability of various provinces (cities and districts) in China is measured. The order parameters of PESCE system in provinces (cities and regions) from 2002 to 2011 were identified by using R- S method, and the threshold values were determined to judge the development stage of each province (municipality, district) system in our country at present. The results show that: first, the ranking of coordinated development ability of provinces (cities and districts) in China from 2002 to 2011 is not changed much, and the ranking law is basically consistent with the development stage of provinces (cities and districts). However, the imbalance of the development of the east, west and west still exists. Second, most provinces (cities and districts) in China have played their own advantages in the past ten years, promoting the coordination of the whole region through the development of the dominant order parameter subsystem, but Hebei, The ecological subsystems in Shanxi and Shanxi have obvious anti-persistence effect as order parameters. Thirdly, the development of various provinces (cities and districts) in China from 2002 to 2011 basically accords with the trend of curve fitted by the model. Among them, Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdong provinces and cities have entered a phase of synergy, Qinghai, Gansu, Guizhou and Ningxia four provinces are still in the primary stage of development. In view of the conclusions reached. This paper puts forward the following policy suggestions: first, establish a scientific and effective evaluation mechanism and insist on coordinating all kinds of regional planning. Second, establish different types of regional coordinated development comprehensive reform pilot areas to promote the formation of benign interaction mechanism. Third, innovation regional coordinated development space organization strategy, establish multi-level comprehensive decision-making mechanism.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：D67;F127
[Abstract]:Based on the regional system of political, economic, social, cultural and ecological "five-in-one", the nonlinear equation of system development is constructed by applying the stochastic force of physics and population ecology population growth theory. The advanced evolution curve of a spiral ascending regional system is obtained, and the five stages of regional PESCE system evolution are divided into five stages: primary development stage, rapid growth stage, fluctuation adjustment stage, and so on. The corresponding evolution characteristics of each stage are analyzed in order to provide a theoretical basis for the study of the nonlinear evolution of the regional PESCE system in China. On the basis of nonlinear evolution equation, an index system covering regional politics, economy, society, culture and ecology is established. By using Topsis method and pentagonal cobweb structure, the cooperative development ability of various provinces (cities and districts) in China is measured. The order parameters of PESCE system in provinces (cities and regions) from 2002 to 2011 were identified by using R- S method, and the threshold values were determined to judge the development stage of each province (municipality, district) system in our country at present. The results show that: first, the ranking of coordinated development ability of provinces (cities and districts) in China from 2002 to 2011 is not changed much, and the ranking law is basically consistent with the development stage of provinces (cities and districts). However, the imbalance of the development of the east, west and west still exists. Second, most provinces (cities and districts) in China have played their own advantages in the past ten years, promoting the coordination of the whole region through the development of the dominant order parameter subsystem, but Hebei, The ecological subsystems in Shanxi and Shanxi have obvious anti-persistence effect as order parameters. Thirdly, the development of various provinces (cities and districts) in China from 2002 to 2011 basically accords with the trend of curve fitted by the model. Among them, Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdong provinces and cities have entered a phase of synergy, Qinghai, Gansu, Guizhou and Ningxia four provinces are still in the primary stage of development. In view of the conclusions reached. This paper puts forward the following policy suggestions: first, establish a scientific and effective evaluation mechanism and insist on coordinating all kinds of regional planning. Second, establish different types of regional coordinated development comprehensive reform pilot areas to promote the formation of benign interaction mechanism. Third, innovation regional coordinated development space organization strategy, establish multi-level comprehensive decision-making mechanism.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：D67;F127
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條
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