本文選題：中國　切入點：蒙古國　出處：《哈爾濱商業(yè)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：21世紀(jì)是一個全球經(jīng)濟一體化發(fā)展的時代,在現(xiàn)代化開放經(jīng)濟的背景下,僅僅依靠一個家自身的實力來發(fā)展本國經(jīng)濟是不可能實現(xiàn)的,與其他國家進行合作,走國際化的道路已經(jīng)成為新世紀(jì)背景下一國發(fā)展本國經(jīng)濟的必然選擇。從中蒙兩國合作的歷史來看,雖然中蒙兩國的經(jīng)貿(mào)合作具有良好的政治、經(jīng)濟、社會和地緣基礎(chǔ),但是兩國之間的合作存在很多摩擦,影響兩國經(jīng)濟合作的風(fēng)險事件時有發(fā)生。如何識別這些風(fēng)險因素及風(fēng)險并加以規(guī)避和防范已成為推動中國對蒙古國直接投資的首要條件。鑒于此,本研究致力于識別中國對蒙古國直接投資中面臨的風(fēng)險因素,并提出規(guī)避和防范風(fēng)險的對策建議。論文以直接投資和風(fēng)險管理相關(guān)理論為基礎(chǔ),運用統(tǒng)計分析的基本分析工具對中國在蒙古國直接投資的風(fēng)險進行了理論與實證研究。首先,論文針對中國在蒙古國直接投資的投資規(guī)模、投資行業(yè)以及投資特點進行分析,為中國對蒙古國直接投資的風(fēng)險研究提供基本分析。其次,通過頭腦風(fēng)暴法將中國對蒙古國直接投資的風(fēng)險進行歸類,分別從美日韓等國家外部環(huán)境和蒙古國自身內(nèi)部環(huán)境分析了中國對蒙古國進行直接投資存在的6大風(fēng)險及相對應(yīng)的16個風(fēng)險因素。同時借助專家問卷法識別出中國對蒙古國直接投資的6大風(fēng)險因素,即政府更迭,政策多變、投資法律環(huán)境不穩(wěn)、基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施薄弱、民間輿論、金融體系不完善和美日韓經(jīng)濟競爭,并對其進行風(fēng)險等級評估。接著通過對中國鋁業(yè)并購南戈壁的案例進行風(fēng)險性分析,經(jīng)過分析得出中國鋁業(yè)并購南戈壁失敗的主要原因是蒙古多變的政策、法律因素,以及蒙古國民眾與政府對中鋁的并購存在更多的戒備與警惕所致。最后,針對中國對蒙古國直接投資存在的風(fēng)險因素,分別從重視發(fā)展與美日韓政府的高層互訪和經(jīng)濟互動、加強與蒙古國的政策溝通和文化交流以及健全中國對外投資法律等方面提出中國對蒙古國直接投資的風(fēng)險防范對策。
[Abstract]:The 21st century is an era of global economic integration and development. Under the background of modern and open economy, it is impossible to develop our own economy only by relying on the strength of one country, and to cooperate with other countries.Internationalization has become an inevitable choice for a country to develop its own economy under the background of the new century.In the history of Sino-Mongolian cooperation, although the economic and trade cooperation between China and Mongolia has a good political, economic, social and geographical basis, there are many frictions between the two countries, and the risk events affecting economic cooperation between the two countries occur from time to time.How to identify these risk factors and risk and avoid them has become the most important condition to promote China's direct investment in Mongolia.In view of this, this study is devoted to identify the risk factors faced by China's direct investment in Mongolia, and put forward countermeasures and suggestions to avoid and prevent the risks.Based on the theory of direct investment and risk management, this paper makes a theoretical and empirical study on the risk of China's direct investment in Mongolia by using the basic analytical tools of statistical analysis.Firstly, the paper analyzes the investment scale, investment industry and investment characteristics of China's direct investment in Mongolia, which provides a basic analysis for the risk study of China's direct investment in Mongolia.Secondly, the risk of Chinese direct investment in Mongolia is classified through brainstorming.From the external environment of the United States, Japan and South Korea and the internal environment of Mongolia itself, this paper analyzes the six major risks of China's direct investment in Mongolia and the corresponding 16 risk factors.At the same time, six risk factors of China's direct investment in Mongolia were identified by means of expert questionnaire, that is, the change of government, the changeable policy, the unstable legal environment of investment, the weak infrastructure and the public opinion.The financial system is imperfect and the United States, Japan and South Korea compete with each other.Then through the risk analysis of the case of China Aluminium M & A in South Gobi, it is concluded that the main reason for the failure of China Aluminum M & A in South Gobi is the changeable policy and legal factors of Mongolia.And Mongolia people and the government to Chinalco's merger and acquisition have more vigilance and vigilance.Finally, in view of the risk factors of China's direct investment in Mongolia, from the perspective of developing high-level exchange visits and economic interaction with the US, Japan and South Korea governments,To strengthen policy communication and cultural exchange with Mongolia, and to improve China's laws on foreign investment, the paper puts forward the countermeasures of risk prevention for China's direct investment in Mongolia.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：哈爾濱商業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F125;F131.1

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