人民幣國際化路徑設(shè)計及政策建議
本文關(guān)鍵詞:人民幣國際化路徑設(shè)計及政策建議 出處:《東北師范大學(xué)》2014年博士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 人民幣 國際化 路徑設(shè)計 戰(zhàn)略措施
【摘要】:貨幣是國家主權(quán)的象征,貨幣國際化是一國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平、國際貿(mào)易地位、國際金融競爭力以及世界政治經(jīng)濟(jì)格局中影響力的集中體現(xiàn),是一個國家崛起的重要標(biāo)志。從歷史經(jīng)驗(yàn)上看,強(qiáng)勢的經(jīng)濟(jì)體必然會造就強(qiáng)勢貨幣,英鎊、美元、歐元、日元都是依靠其國內(nèi)強(qiáng)大的經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力作后盾,最終成為國際貨幣的。改革開放以來,中國的經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力不斷壯大,綜合國力不斷增強(qiáng),國際地位日益上升,中國已成為世界政治經(jīng)濟(jì)多極化格局中不可或缺的一支重要力量,人民幣國際化已有了堅實(shí)的物質(zhì)基礎(chǔ)。 目前,人民幣在中國與周邊國家的邊境貿(mào)易中已經(jīng)被普遍用作支付和結(jié)算的硬通貨,許多周邊國家政府也默認(rèn)了人民幣的流通。在蒙古,人民幣已經(jīng)成為當(dāng)?shù)鼐用裢顿Y、保值的重要幣種,被稱作“第二美元”;馬來西亞、韓國、菲律賓、白俄羅斯等國的中央銀行心將人民幣作為其官方儲備貨幣的幣種之一;印度儲備銀行也調(diào)整了匯率指數(shù),將人民幣納入了一籃子貨幣之中。此外,中國已經(jīng)與俄羅斯、蒙古、越南、緬甸等國簽訂了自主選擇雙邊貨幣結(jié)算協(xié)議;而且和韓國、香港、馬來西亞、白俄羅斯、印度尼西亞和阿根廷等國簽署了雙邊本幣互換協(xié)議,這也反映出目前亞洲國家對人民幣的信心較強(qiáng)。相信隨著中國經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力的不斷壯大和人民幣國際地位的逐步提高,人民幣必將最終完成國際化。因此,客觀考察現(xiàn)階段人民幣的國際化程度;認(rèn)真研究貨幣國際化的理論基礎(chǔ)、國際經(jīng)驗(yàn);尤其是積極探索符合中國具體國情的人民幣國際化路徑及推進(jìn)策略,心成為一個十分重要的研究課題。 本文共分5章,各章的思路及主要內(nèi)容如下: 第一章梳理了貨幣國際化的主要理論及相關(guān)文獻(xiàn),先是對威廉·配第、亞當(dāng)·斯密、馬克思和薩伊等人的貨幣國際化思想進(jìn)行了闡述,然后對弗里德曼的浮動匯率理論、蒙代爾的最優(yōu)貨幣區(qū)理論、切提的貨幣替代理論進(jìn)行了總結(jié),最后對人民幣國際化的相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行了述評,為人民幣國際化路徑的研究提供了理論基礎(chǔ)。 第二章對人民幣國際化路徑的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行了考察。本章首先從人民幣國際使用范圍路徑考察了人民幣周邊化、亞洲化和國際化的現(xiàn)狀。其次,從人民幣國際貨幣職能路徑對人民幣結(jié)算、計價貨幣職能,人民幣投資貨幣職能和人民幣儲備貨幣職能進(jìn)行了考察。得出結(jié)論:人民幣目前處于國際化的初級階段。 第三章從歷史的角度對英鎊、美元、歐元和日元國際化的發(fā)展路徑進(jìn)行了回顧,歸納出英鎊、美元、歐元和日元的國際化演化路徑的特點(diǎn),最后總結(jié)出世界主要貨幣國際化路徑對人民幣國際化路徑的啟示,為人民幣國際化的路徑設(shè)計提供了歷史借鑒。 第四章是本論文研究的核心內(nèi)容,對人民幣國際化路徑進(jìn)行了設(shè)計。在這一章,首先對貨幣國際化內(nèi)在基礎(chǔ)和外在條件的共性進(jìn)行分析。文章認(rèn)為:貨幣國際化的內(nèi)在基礎(chǔ)基本相同,如國民經(jīng)濟(jì)占世界經(jīng)濟(jì)的比重較大、對外貿(mào)易全球地位較高及外匯儲備規(guī)模較大等;貨幣國際化的外在條件基本相似,如本國的國際地位較高以及國際環(huán)境提供的歷史機(jī)遇等。然后,對人民幣國際化的特殊性進(jìn)行分析,指出中國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展本身存在特殊性,因此,人民幣國際化路徑與世界主要貨幣國際化路徑比較也必然存在特殊性。最后,筆者提出了人民幣國際化路徑設(shè)計的基本原則和設(shè)計思路,并在此基礎(chǔ)上,設(shè)計出了一條配有保障措施的人民幣國際化路徑。 第五章,為加速人民幣國際化的早日實(shí)現(xiàn),文章首先提出了人民幣國際化路徑的推進(jìn)措施:(1)積極與目標(biāo)國家簽訂人民幣貨幣互換協(xié)議;(2)簡化人民幣跨境結(jié)算審核流程;(3)爭取國際大宗商品人民幣計價權(quán);(4)適時推出跨境人民幣貸款業(yè)務(wù);(5)大力發(fā)展人民幣計價債券;(6)規(guī)劃人民幣對外直接投資布局;(7)建立人民幣離岸金融中心;(8)加速人民幣匯率形成機(jī)制和利率市場化改革;(9)逐步實(shí)現(xiàn)資本項目可自由兌換。最后,提出了筆者關(guān)于人民幣國際化路徑的戰(zhàn)略思考。一是必須鞏固人民幣國際化的政治經(jīng)濟(jì)基礎(chǔ);二是必須繼續(xù)保持對外貿(mào)易領(lǐng)先地位;三是必須打造人民幣的國際投資基礎(chǔ);四是必須實(shí)現(xiàn)金融強(qiáng)國夢想,這是實(shí)現(xiàn)人民幣國際化路徑的關(guān)鍵。
[Abstract]:Money is a symbol of national sovereignty, currency internationalization is a country's level of economic development, the status of international trade, international financial competitiveness and reflects the influence of political and economic situation in the world, is an important symbol of a country's rise. Based on historical experience, the strong economy will create a strong currency, the pound, the dollar. The euro, the yen is relying on its strong domestic economic strength, eventually become an international currency. Since the reform and opening up, China growing economic strength, comprehensive national strength, rising international status, Chinese has become the world's economic and political multi polarization pattern of an important and indispensable force, the internationalization of the RMB has material a solid foundation.
At present, the RMB in border trade with neighboring countries in Chinese has been widely used as a hard currency payment and settlement, many of the neighboring countries is also the default currency. In Mongolia, the RMB has become an important investment for local residents, currency hedging, known as the "$second"; Malaysia, South Korea, Philippines, Belarus etc. the Central Bank of the country heart will be one of the currency renminbi as its official reserve currency; the Reserve Bank of India also adjust the exchange rate for the yuan to be included in the index, a basket of currencies. In addition, China has with Russia, Mongolia, Vietnam, Burma and other countries signed a bilateral currency to choose the settlement agreement; and South Korea, Hongkong, Malaysia Belarus, Indonesia, Argentina and other countries signed a bilateral currency swap agreement, which also reflects the current Asian countries confidence Strong. I believe that with the gradual improvement of the international status of RMB Chinese and growing economic strength, RMB internationalization will finally achieve the objective investigation. Therefore, the degree of internationalization of the RMB at the present stage; serious theoretical basis, the research of currency internationalization international experience; especially actively explore the RMB internationalization path according to China specific conditions and promotion tactics, heart it has become a very important research topic.
This article is divided into 5 chapters, and the ideas and main contents of each chapter are as follows:
The first chapter reviews the main theories of currency internationalization and related literature, first of all to William Petty, Adam Simy, Marx and Saeed's thought of currency internationalization is discussed, then the Freedman floating exchange rate theory, Mundell's theory of optimum currency area, summarizes the Chetty currency substitution theory, the related literature on the internationalization of RMB is the review provides a theoretical basis for the research of RMB internationalization path.
The second chapter analyzed the development status of the RMB internationalization path. This chapter begins from the RMB international use path effects of RMB surrounding, Asian and international status. Secondly, from the RMB international currency function path of RMB denominated currency function, investment of RMB currency function and RMB reserve currency function were investigated. Conclusion: the RMB is currently in the primary stage of internationalization.
The third chapter from the angle of history, the dollar, the euro and the yen internationalization development path were reviewed, summarized the pound, dollar, euro and yen internationalization path characteristics, and finally summed up the world's major currency internationalization path of RMB internationalization path of enlightenment, provides the historical reference for the design of RMB internationalization path.
The fourth chapter is the core content of this paper, the RMB internationalization path was designed. In this chapter, firstly, the currency internationalization internal basis and external conditions are analyzed. The common internal basis of currency internationalization is basically the same, such as the national economy accounted for a larger proportion of the world economy, foreign trade and global status. Large foreign exchange reserves; the external conditions of currency internationalization are similar, such as the country's international status and international environment to provide higher historical opportunity. Then, analyze the particularity of RMB internationalization, China pointed out that economic development itself has the particularity, therefore, the RMB internationalization path with the world's major currency internationalization path must exist special. At last, the author puts forward the basic principles and design ideas of RMB internationalization path design, and on this basis On the basis of this, we have designed a way to internationalize the RMB with safeguards.
The fifth chapter, so as to accelerate the internationalization of the RMB, the paper puts forward measures to promote the RMB internationalization path: (1) positive and target countries signed a currency swap agreement; (2) simplify cross-border RMB settlement audit process; (3) for the international commodities RMB denominated rights; (4) the timely introduction of cross-border RMB loan business; (5) to develop Renminbi denominated bonds; (6) the planning layout of RMB foreign direct investment; (7) the establishment of offshore financial centers; (8) accelerate the formation mechanism of RMB exchange rate and interest rate marketization reform; (9) the gradual realization of capital account convertibility. Finally, put forward the strategic thinking about RMB the author is the internationalization path. A political and economic basis must consolidate the internationalization of RMB; two is the foreign trade must continue to maintain a leading position; the three is to build RMB The basis of international investment; four is the realization of the dream of a financial power, which is the key to the realization of the path of the internationalization of the RMB.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:東北師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F832.6
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