阿薩德體制下敘利亞的政治穩(wěn)定研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-01-06 14:13
本文關(guān)鍵詞:阿薩德體制下敘利亞的政治穩(wěn)定研究 出處:《西北大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 敘利亞 阿薩德 現(xiàn)代化 政治體制 政治穩(wěn)定
【摘要】:阿薩德時代是現(xiàn)代敘利亞歷史上的重要時期。哈菲茲·阿薩德建立的一黨制總統(tǒng)威權(quán)體制使敘利亞擺脫了動蕩不安的“普力奪社會”,保持了長期的政治基本穩(wěn)定。但是,這種完全依靠個人威權(quán)的政治秩序具有明顯的局限性和過渡性,強壓式統(tǒng)治之下潛伏著深刻的經(jīng)濟、社會、教派矛盾,而這些問題成為今日敘利亞內(nèi)亂的淵藪。本文共分為三部分:運用政治穩(wěn)定理論分析阿薩德體制的背景、結(jié)構(gòu)及特征;并結(jié)合阿薩德時代政治穩(wěn)定狀況輔以時間維度劃分三個階段進行動態(tài)分析,從政治、經(jīng)濟、社會、宗教等多個層面論述阿薩德體制與政治穩(wěn)定的歷時關(guān)系;·最后從內(nèi)外兩個視角思考影響敘利亞政治穩(wěn)定的正反兩方面因素。阿薩德體制是敘利亞歷史發(fā)展的特殊產(chǎn)物,其金字塔式的權(quán)力結(jié)構(gòu)及新威權(quán)主義特征基本適應(yīng)了敘利亞社會發(fā)展的客觀需要。在阿薩德統(tǒng)治的30年間,敘利亞政治穩(wěn)定呈現(xiàn)明顯的階段性特征,阿薩德體制與政治穩(wěn)定之間的相互制約關(guān)系非常明顯,隨著現(xiàn)代化與全球化的不斷演進,阿薩德體制對政治穩(wěn)定的消極影響日益凸顯?傮w看來,阿薩德時代的敘利亞是一個“穩(wěn)中有憂”的國家。政治發(fā)展相對滯后與經(jīng)濟秩序劇烈變動的矛盾構(gòu)成了發(fā)展中國家現(xiàn)代化進程中政治失穩(wěn)的根本原因,而敘利亞又深受家族內(nèi)斗、教派矛盾以及地緣政治的多重影響。
[Abstract]:The Assad era was an important time in the history of modern Syria. Hafiz al-Assad 's one-party presidential authoritarianism freed Syria from the tumultuous "ploughing society." However, this political order, which relies on individual authoritarianism, has obvious limitations and transitional nature, and there are deep economic, social and sectarian contradictions lurking under the coercive rule. These problems have become the source of civil strife in Syria today. This paper is divided into three parts: the analysis of the background, structure and characteristics of Assad's system by using the theory of political stability; Combining with the situation of political stability in the Assad era and dividing it into three stages, this paper discusses the diachronic relationship between Assad's system and political stability from political, economic, social, religious and other aspects. Finally, from both internal and external perspectives, the author thinks about the positive and negative factors that affect Syria's political stability. The Assad system is a special product of Syria's historical development. Its pyramid power structure and the characteristics of neo-authoritarianism basically meet the objective needs of the development of Syrian society. During the 30 years of Assad's rule, the Syrian political stability showed obvious phase characteristics. The relationship between Assad system and political stability is very obvious. With the development of modernization and globalization, the negative influence of Assad system on political stability is becoming increasingly prominent. Syria in the Assad era is a country with "stability and worry". The contradiction between the relative lag of political development and the drastic changes in economic order constitutes the fundamental cause of political instability in the modernization process of developing countries. Syria is deeply influenced by family strife, sectarian conflicts and geopolitics.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西北大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類號】:D815.4
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1 王鴻余;敘利亞總統(tǒng)哈菲茲·阿薩德[J];阿拉伯世界;1984年03期
2 郭國和;;一起令阿薩德總統(tǒng)震驚的間諜案真相[J];國際展望;1993年11期
3 李先念;;李先念主席就中敘建交三十周年致阿薩德總統(tǒng)的賀電[J];中華人民共和國國務(wù)院公報;1986年21期
4 宋慶才;親歷阿薩德葬禮[J];當(dāng)代世界;2000年07期
5 楊鴻璽;巴沙爾任重道遠──阿薩德去世后的敘利亞局勢[J];w攣胖蕓,
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