本文選題：公共租賃住房 + 灰色系統(tǒng)理論　； 參考：《中國海洋大學》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：住房問題是關系民生的重要事件之一，特別是在房價居高不下的情況下，中低收入群體對于住房的需求無法通過市場運作得到滿足，在這種情況下，國家在近幾年加大了保障性住房的建設力度。經(jīng)適房、限價房等保障房以低于商品房的價格出售給中低收入群體，廉租房是針對低收入群體設計的，在解決這部分群體的住房問題的過程中，既買不起商品房、經(jīng)適房和限價房又沒有租住廉租房的“夾心層”群體的住房問題引起了大家的關注。公共租賃住房就是為了解決這部分“夾心層”群體住房問題而設計的。根據(jù)國家發(fā)布的關于保障房建設的相關文件，未來保障房的建設任務很重，其中公共租賃住房將成為未來建設的重點。在這一前提下，關于保障房的建設資金問題也突顯出來，特別是公共租賃住房的建設資金問題。 為此，本文在以下幾個方面研究青島市公共租賃住房的融資問題： 本文首先對國內(nèi)外相關文獻進行了綜述，梳理了公共租賃住房的定義、特點以及融資渠道和融資模式等，在此基礎上分析了青島市公租房的融資現(xiàn)狀及存在的問題。 然后，在介紹灰色系統(tǒng)理論的基礎上，用GM（1,1）模型對青島市公租房的短期需求進行了預測，并對預測結(jié)果進行了后驗差檢驗，計算了擬合精度值，認為預測的精度較高。然后，根據(jù)青島市的相關數(shù)據(jù)，分析了在未來幾年內(nèi)青島市對公租房的需求量，以及對建設資金的需求量，得出每年僅建設公租房就需要近十幾億元的資金，而且可以推斷，這一資金需求量會隨著城鎮(zhèn)化人口的增加而增加。 基于上述結(jié)果，本文介紹了國內(nèi)外發(fā)達國家和城市對于保障房融資的經(jīng)驗，，最后，結(jié)合根據(jù)青島市的情況設計了多種公共租賃住房的融資模式供青島市參考，這對于我國公租房的建設也有一定的參考意義。
[Abstract]:The housing problem is one of the important events related to the people's livelihood, especially in the case of high house prices, the demand for housing of low and middle income groups cannot be met through the operation of the market. In this case, The state has stepped up the construction of affordable housing in recent years. Comfortable housing, price limited housing and other indemnificatory apartment are sold to low and middle income groups at a lower price than commercial housing. Low-rent housing is designed for low-income groups. In the process of solving the housing problems of these groups, they cannot afford to buy commercial housing. The housing problem of comfortable housing and price-limited housing group with no rent and low-rent housing has attracted people's attention. Public rental housing is designed to solve this part of "sandwich layer" group housing problems. According to the relevant documents on indemnificatory apartment construction issued by the state, the construction task of indemnificatory apartment in the future is very heavy, among which public rental housing will become the focus of construction in the future. Under this premise, the construction fund of indemnificatory apartment is also prominent, especially the construction fund of public rental housing. Therefore, this paper studies the financing of public rental housing in Qingdao in the following aspects: This paper firstly summarizes the relevant literature at home and abroad, combing the definition, characteristics, financing channels and financing models of public rental housing, and then analyzes the current financing situation and existing problems of public rental housing in Qingdao. Then, on the basis of introducing the grey system theory, the short-term demand of public rental housing in Qingdao is forecasted by using the GMM1 / 1) model, and the result of prediction is tested by a posteriori error test, and the fitting precision is calculated, and it is considered that the precision of prediction is high. Then, according to the relevant data of Qingdao City, this paper analyzes the demand for public rental housing and the demand for construction funds in Qingdao City in the next few years. It is concluded that the construction of public rental housing alone requires nearly one billion yuan each year, and can be inferred. This capital demand will increase with the increase of urbanization population. Based on the above results, this paper introduces the experience of indemnificatory apartment financing in developed countries and cities at home and abroad. Finally, according to the situation of Qingdao, the paper designs a variety of financing models of public rental housing for reference in Qingdao. This also has certain reference significance to our country public rental housing construction.
【學位授予單位】：中國海洋大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F832.4;F299.23

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