本文選題：房地產(chǎn)價格　切入點：影響因素　出處：《首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：1998年的住房制度改革以后，我國房地產(chǎn)市場一直保持高速發(fā)展的態(tài)勢。房地產(chǎn)的發(fā)展既和國民經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展息息相關(guān)，又和人們的幸福緊密相連。然而，，近年來我國房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展出現(xiàn)了諸多問題：房價上漲過快、房地產(chǎn)市場秩序混亂、房地產(chǎn)市場結(jié)構(gòu)不合理、部分地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)投資規(guī)模過大等問題尤為突出。北京作為我國的首都，其房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展更是全國關(guān)注的焦點，然而北京房地產(chǎn)價格過高和上漲過快已是不爭的事實。房地產(chǎn)市場的諸多問題不僅會嚴(yán)重影響到國民經(jīng)濟的健康、穩(wěn)定發(fā)展，還危及著社會的安定、和諧。所以，近年來房地產(chǎn)市場、房地產(chǎn)價格的波動及房地產(chǎn)市場宏觀調(diào)控也是專家學(xué)者們研究的熱點問題，對影響房地產(chǎn)價格的因素進行理論和實證研究有重要的理論和現(xiàn)實意義。 本文研究的對象是北京市住宅價格的影響因素。影響住宅價格的因素錯綜復(fù)雜，目前專家學(xué)者從很多角度對我國以及北京住宅價格的影響因素進行了定性和定量的分析，但是對于北京市住宅價格的影響因素的敏感程度及影響因子的貢獻程度到底是多少尚無全面系統(tǒng)的研究。本文以房地產(chǎn)價格的理論為基礎(chǔ)，分別從理論和實證角度來研究北京市住宅房地產(chǎn)價格的影響因素。本文以近11年北京市住宅均價及需求、供給方面的數(shù)據(jù)為基礎(chǔ)，運用SPSS軟件的回歸分析和相關(guān)分析，發(fā)現(xiàn)北京市住宅價格的顯著影響因素是常住人口的變化和住宅竣工房屋面積的變化。對最顯著因素常住人口中的外來人口與北京市住宅價格變化的相關(guān)性進行分析，并分析限購政策實施前后北京住宅價格的變化。最后的出結(jié)論并提出控制人口數(shù)量、貫徹實施限購政策、加快保障房體系建設(shè)、推行實施房產(chǎn)稅等建議對策。 本文的研究對于北京住宅價格的變動和房地產(chǎn)市場宏觀調(diào)控有一定的參考意義，但是限于篇幅和研究水平，仍存在數(shù)據(jù)均來自于統(tǒng)計年鑒而可能會導(dǎo)致統(tǒng)計路徑的不同出現(xiàn)誤差、有些影響因素的數(shù)據(jù)無法獲得或者量化而無法加入模型等一些不足之處。
[Abstract]:After the reform of housing system in 1998, the real estate market in our country has maintained a rapid development trend. The development of real estate is not only closely related to the development of national economy, but also closely related to the happiness of people. In recent years, there have been many problems in the development of the real estate industry in our country: the housing price rises too fast, the order of the real estate market is chaotic, the structure of the real estate market is unreasonable, The problems of excessive real estate investment in some regions are particularly prominent. As the capital of China, the development of the real estate industry in Beijing is the focus of national attention. However, it is an indisputable fact that the real estate prices in Beijing are too high and rising too fast. Many problems in the real estate market will not only seriously affect the health and steady development of the national economy, but also endanger the stability and harmony of the society. In recent years, the real estate market, the real estate price fluctuation and the real estate market macro-control are also the hot issues that the experts and scholars study, it has important theoretical and practical significance to study the factors that affect the real estate price theoretically and empirically. The research object of this paper is the influencing factors of housing prices in Beijing. The factors affecting housing prices are complicated. At present, experts and scholars have carried out qualitative and quantitative analysis on the influencing factors of housing prices in China and Beijing from many angles. However, there is no comprehensive and systematic study on the sensitivity of the influencing factors and the contribution of the influencing factors in Beijing. This paper is based on the theory of real estate prices. Based on the data of housing average price, demand and supply in Beijing in the past 11 years, this paper uses the regression analysis and correlation analysis of SPSS software to study the influencing factors of housing real estate price in Beijing from the perspective of theory and practice. It is found that the significant influencing factors of housing price in Beijing are the change of permanent residence population and the change of housing area. The correlation between the foreign population of the resident population and the change of housing price in Beijing is analyzed. The paper also analyzes the changes of housing prices in Beijing before and after the implementation of the limited purchase policy. Finally, the author draws a conclusion and puts forward some suggestions for controlling the population, carrying out the policy of limiting purchase, speeding up the construction of indemnificatory apartment's system, and carrying out the implementation of real estate tax, and so on. The research in this paper has some reference significance for the change of housing price in Beijing and the macro-control of real estate market, but limited to space and research level. There are still some shortcomings such as the data coming from the statistical yearbook may lead to different errors in the statistical path and the data of some influential factors can not be obtained or quantified and can not be added to the model and so on.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F299.23

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