本文關(guān)鍵詞：外匯交易技術(shù)及心理問題研究　出處：《華北電力大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 期貨 外匯 交易技術(shù) 交易心理

【摘要】：隨著我國金融市場的逐步開放,外匯、期貨市場逐漸成為廣大投資者的主要投資領(lǐng)域。但是,由于這是一個新興市場,交易環(huán)境、交易理念、交易技術(shù)的研究和普及不夠,一些投資者在這個市場當(dāng)中付出了巨大的代價,包括由于不了解規(guī)則、技術(shù)造成的巨額虧損,也包括鉆入一些人利用市場初期混亂狀態(tài)設(shè)置的詐騙圈套。本文作者2012年初次接觸這個行業(yè),就由于對市場所知甚少,被一個詐騙集團(tuán)以高額回報的利益所惑,被騙300萬人民幣。痛定思痛,作者決心對這個市場進(jìn)行深入的研究,通過研究和實(shí)踐力求看透市場真相、找到穩(wěn)定盈利的方法,也期望通過研究和實(shí)踐,為投資者提供經(jīng)驗(yàn)教訓(xùn),幫助廣大投資者更好地了解外匯、期貨市場,少走彎路,盡快實(shí)現(xiàn)穩(wěn)定盈利。 本文首先分析了國內(nèi)外外匯、期貨投資理論研究狀況,以及國內(nèi)外匯投資的情況,通過與股票等其他方式的對比,幫助投資者認(rèn)識到外匯交易的優(yōu)勢,同時提醒投資者規(guī)避和防控投資中的風(fēng)險。在正確認(rèn)識外匯交易市場的基礎(chǔ)上,探討研究具體的交易方法,以道氏理論為基礎(chǔ),運(yùn)用拐點(diǎn)線、分界點(diǎn)A等定義,設(shè)計(jì)了交易模型,并對交易模型進(jìn)行了推演。在推演中,以10000美金的初始資金,經(jīng)過1個月的連續(xù)交易,最終得到近9倍的收益績效,驗(yàn)證了交易模型的有效性。 科學(xué)的交易模型是基礎(chǔ),專業(yè)的交易心理是保障。本文提出了失敗投資者的兩個顯著心理狀態(tài),并結(jié)合作者實(shí)際交易過程中的兩種心態(tài)變化對交易績效的影響,證明交易心理在交易中的重要性。作者客觀提出,任何交易模型都會有缺陷,不可能實(shí)現(xiàn)100%的準(zhǔn)確率,追求完美的心態(tài)只能導(dǎo)致交易的不斷虧損,文中用公式證明只要保持65%的準(zhǔn)確率、3：1的盈虧比,就可以實(shí)現(xiàn)盈利是虧損5.6倍的交易績效,幫助投資者認(rèn)識到交易是由盈利和虧損構(gòu)成的,從而保持正確的心態(tài),按照不變的交易策略追隨趨勢、客觀交易。 針對我國金融市場不斷開放的環(huán)境和背景,本文還對金融領(lǐng)域的創(chuàng)業(yè)空間和可能性進(jìn)行探討。
[Abstract]:With the gradual opening of China's financial market, the foreign exchange and futures markets have gradually become the main investment field of the majority of investors. However, because this is a new market, trading environment, trading philosophy. Trading technology is not enough research and popularization, some investors in this market has paid a huge price, including the lack of understanding of the rules, technology caused by huge losses. It also includes drilling into a scam set by some people to take advantage of the market's initial chaos. The writer first came into the industry in 2012 because he knew little about the market. Bewildered by a fraud syndicate with high returns, and deceived by 3 million yuan, the author is determined to study the market in depth and try to see through the market through research and practice. In order to find a way to stabilize profits, we hope to provide investors with experience and lessons through research and practice, so as to help investors better understand foreign exchange, futures market, take less detours, and realize stable profits as soon as possible. This paper first analyzes the domestic and international foreign exchange, futures investment theory research situation, as well as domestic foreign exchange investment situation, through the comparison with other ways, such as stocks, to help investors understand the advantages of foreign exchange trading. At the same time, it reminds investors to avoid and control the risks in investment. On the basis of correct understanding of the foreign exchange trading market, this paper probes into the specific trading methods and uses the definition of inflection line and demarcation point A based on Dow's theory. The transaction model is designed, and the transaction model is deduced. With the initial capital of US $10000, after one month of continuous trading, the final income performance is nearly 9 times. The validity of the transaction model is verified. The scientific trading model is the foundation and the professional trading psychology is the guarantee. This paper puts forward two significant psychological states of the failed investors. Combined with the influence of the two psychological changes in the actual trading process on the transaction performance, the author proves the importance of trading psychology in the transaction. The author puts forward objectively that any trading model will have defects. It is impossible to achieve the accuracy of 100%, the pursuit of perfect mentality can only lead to a continuous loss of transactions, this paper proves that as long as the accuracy of 65% to maintain the accuracy of 3: 1 profit / loss ratio. It can achieve a profit 5.6 times a loss trading performance, help investors realize that the trading is made up of profit and loss, so as to maintain the correct mentality, according to the same trading strategy to follow the trend. Objective transaction. In view of the environment and background of our country's financial market opening continuously, this paper also discusses the space and possibility of the financial field.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F832.5

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本文編號：1414645