本文關(guān)鍵詞：我國(guó)地方經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)房地產(chǎn)業(yè)過度依賴探究　出處：《江西師范大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：房地產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的其他產(chǎn)業(yè)的帶動(dòng)性強(qiáng)、輻射面廣，已經(jīng)成為我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的基礎(chǔ)性、主導(dǎo)性和支柱性產(chǎn)業(yè)。上世紀(jì)70年代美國(guó)房地產(chǎn)泡沫的破滅、90年代初日本房地產(chǎn)泡沫破滅后繁華景氣的終結(jié)，90年代中后期以東亞國(guó)家房地產(chǎn)泡沫破滅和2008年美國(guó)房地產(chǎn)泡沫破滅引發(fā)的次貸危機(jī)為突出特征的金融危機(jī)給了我們警醒，房地產(chǎn)業(yè)也在我國(guó)如火如荼的發(fā)展。 本論文梳理了國(guó)內(nèi)外關(guān)于房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的有關(guān)理論，對(duì)于房地產(chǎn)周期、房地產(chǎn)泡沫和房地產(chǎn)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的互動(dòng)關(guān)系進(jìn)行了闡述。收集統(tǒng)計(jì)了湖北省武漢市1997-2010年房地產(chǎn)產(chǎn)值和GDP數(shù)據(jù)，采用計(jì)量模型證明了地方房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間存在相互促進(jìn)的關(guān)系，房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展有力的推動(dòng)了地方經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)。但是由于我國(guó)特殊的歷史和國(guó)情，，房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展過程中出現(xiàn)了種種問題，如“土地財(cái)政”“房?jī)r(jià)畸高”，甚至出現(xiàn)了地方經(jīng)濟(jì)過度依賴房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的局面。在驅(qū)動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的三架馬車中，投資所占的比重過大，拉動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的引擎已經(jīng)出現(xiàn)了失調(diào)的跡象。 地方經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展過度依賴房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展容易導(dǎo)致對(duì)其他產(chǎn)業(yè)的擠出效應(yīng)、政府腐敗、金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)增加等，給我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展埋下隱患。分析我國(guó)房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展是否過熱，是否存在地方經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展過度依賴房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展是很有必要的，針對(duì)我國(guó)房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展不完善，地方經(jīng)濟(jì)過度依賴房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀提出相應(yīng)的對(duì)策建議，如提出完善房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)、健全房地產(chǎn)產(chǎn)業(yè)法規(guī)體系、規(guī)范金融市場(chǎng)和大力發(fā)展其他產(chǎn)業(yè)等，對(duì)保障我國(guó)房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展與國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展協(xié)調(diào)健康可持續(xù)發(fā)展大有益處。
[Abstract]:The real estate industry led to other industries in the national economy is strong and wide, has become the basis of China's economy, leading and pillar industry. The real estate bubble burst in 70s of the last century, the end of 90s at the beginning of the Japanese real estate bubble burst after rising prosperity, in late 90s in East Asian countries the real estate bubble burst in 2008 and the American real estate bubble burst triggered by the subprime crisis as a prominent feature of the financial crisis gave us a wake-up call, real estate industry development in our country like a raging fire.
This paper reviews the relevant theories about the development of the real estate industry, the real estate cycle, the interactive relationship between real estate bubble and real estate and economic growth are expounded. Collected in Hubei province Wuhan city 1997-2010 years of real estate value and GDP data, using econometric models proved that there exists a relation of mutual promotion between the local real estate industry development and economic growth, the development of the real estate industry has promoted the growth of the local economy. But because of the history and the special situation of our country, there are all sorts of problems in real estate development process, such as "land finance" and "the price is extremely high, even the local economy excessive reliance on the real estate the industrial development situation. In the three carriage drives economic development, the proportion of investment is too large, a driving engine of economic growth has emerged signs of disorder.
The development of local economy over reliance on real estate development easily lead to crowding out effect on other industries, government corruption, financial risks, to China's economic development lay hidden. Analysis of China's real estate development is overheating, the existence of local economic development, over reliance on real estate development is very necessary, for me the development of real estate industry is not perfect, put forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions of the present situation of local economic dependence on the real estate development, such as the improvement of the real estate market, the real estate industry and improve the system of laws and regulations, standardize the financial market and the vigorous development of other industries, to ensure good coordination of healthy and sustainable development of China's real estate industry and the national development the development of economy.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：江西師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F299.27

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