本文關鍵詞：我國地方經(jīng)濟增長對房地產(chǎn)業(yè)過度依賴探究　出處：《江西師范大學》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

  更多相關文章： 房地產(chǎn)業(yè) 地方財政 過度依賴 政策建議

【摘要】：房地產(chǎn)業(yè)對國民經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的其他產(chǎn)業(yè)的帶動性強、輻射面廣，已經(jīng)成為我國經(jīng)濟的基礎性、主導性和支柱性產(chǎn)業(yè)。上世紀70年代美國房地產(chǎn)泡沫的破滅、90年代初日本房地產(chǎn)泡沫破滅后繁華景氣的終結(jié)，90年代中后期以東亞國家房地產(chǎn)泡沫破滅和2008年美國房地產(chǎn)泡沫破滅引發(fā)的次貸危機為突出特征的金融危機給了我們警醒，房地產(chǎn)業(yè)也在我國如火如荼的發(fā)展。 本論文梳理了國內(nèi)外關于房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的有關理論，對于房地產(chǎn)周期、房地產(chǎn)泡沫和房地產(chǎn)與經(jīng)濟增長之間的互動關系進行了闡述。收集統(tǒng)計了湖北省武漢市1997-2010年房地產(chǎn)產(chǎn)值和GDP數(shù)據(jù)，采用計量模型證明了地方房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長之間存在相互促進的關系，房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展有力的推動了地方經(jīng)濟的增長。但是由于我國特殊的歷史和國情，，房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展過程中出現(xiàn)了種種問題，如“土地財政”“房價畸高”，甚至出現(xiàn)了地方經(jīng)濟過度依賴房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的局面。在驅(qū)動經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的三架馬車中，投資所占的比重過大，拉動經(jīng)濟增長的引擎已經(jīng)出現(xiàn)了失調(diào)的跡象。 地方經(jīng)濟發(fā)展過度依賴房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展容易導致對其他產(chǎn)業(yè)的擠出效應、政府腐敗、金融風險增加等，給我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展埋下隱患。分析我國房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展是否過熱，是否存在地方經(jīng)濟發(fā)展過度依賴房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展是很有必要的，針對我國房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展不完善，地方經(jīng)濟過度依賴房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀提出相應的對策建議，如提出完善房地產(chǎn)市場、健全房地產(chǎn)產(chǎn)業(yè)法規(guī)體系、規(guī)范金融市場和大力發(fā)展其他產(chǎn)業(yè)等，對保障我國房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展與國民經(jīng)濟發(fā)展協(xié)調(diào)健康可持續(xù)發(fā)展大有益處。
[Abstract]:The real estate industry led to other industries in the national economy is strong and wide, has become the basis of China's economy, leading and pillar industry. The real estate bubble burst in 70s of the last century, the end of 90s at the beginning of the Japanese real estate bubble burst after rising prosperity, in late 90s in East Asian countries the real estate bubble burst in 2008 and the American real estate bubble burst triggered by the subprime crisis as a prominent feature of the financial crisis gave us a wake-up call, real estate industry development in our country like a raging fire.
This paper reviews the relevant theories about the development of the real estate industry, the real estate cycle, the interactive relationship between real estate bubble and real estate and economic growth are expounded. Collected in Hubei province Wuhan city 1997-2010 years of real estate value and GDP data, using econometric models proved that there exists a relation of mutual promotion between the local real estate industry development and economic growth, the development of the real estate industry has promoted the growth of the local economy. But because of the history and the special situation of our country, there are all sorts of problems in real estate development process, such as "land finance" and "the price is extremely high, even the local economy excessive reliance on the real estate the industrial development situation. In the three carriage drives economic development, the proportion of investment is too large, a driving engine of economic growth has emerged signs of disorder.
The development of local economy over reliance on real estate development easily lead to crowding out effect on other industries, government corruption, financial risks, to China's economic development lay hidden. Analysis of China's real estate development is overheating, the existence of local economic development, over reliance on real estate development is very necessary, for me the development of real estate industry is not perfect, put forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions of the present situation of local economic dependence on the real estate development, such as the improvement of the real estate market, the real estate industry and improve the system of laws and regulations, standardize the financial market and the vigorous development of other industries, to ensure good coordination of healthy and sustainable development of China's real estate industry and the national development the development of economy.

【學位授予單位】：江西師范大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F127;F299.27

【參考文獻】

相關期刊論文 前10條

1 周京奎;貨幣政策、銀行貸款與住宅價格——對中國4個直轄市的實證研究[J];財貿(mào)經(jīng)濟;2005年05期

2 鄭華;未來5年北京城市格局變化對房地產(chǎn)市場的影響[J];成人高教學刊;2003年04期

3 胡瑾卿,張大亮;房地產(chǎn)泡沫評測體系研究[J];城市開發(fā);2004年11期

4 周京奎;房地產(chǎn)價格波動與投機行為——對中國14城市的實證研究[J];當代經(jīng)濟科學;2005年04期

5 曹振良 ,傅十和;房地產(chǎn)泡沫及其防范[J];中國房地產(chǎn);2000年02期

6 李亞琴,李啟明;對我國發(fā)展房地產(chǎn)投資信托的思考[J];建筑管理現(xiàn)代化;2005年03期

7 趙龍節(jié);張輝;張吉法;;日本房地產(chǎn)業(yè)與國民經(jīng)濟周期波動對我國的啟示[J];經(jīng)濟科學;2007年01期

8 王國軍,劉水杏;房地產(chǎn)業(yè)對相關產(chǎn)業(yè)的帶動效應研究[J];經(jīng)濟研究;2004年08期

9 張曉晶;孫濤;;中國房地產(chǎn)周期與金融穩(wěn)定[J];經(jīng)濟研究;2006年01期

10 何國釗,曹振良,李晟;中國房地產(chǎn)周期研究[J];經(jīng)濟研究;1996年12期

本文編號：1387756