公司債券C-T收益價差實證分析
發(fā)布時間:2018-01-01 08:39
本文關鍵詞:公司債券C-T收益價差實證分析 出處:《西南財經(jīng)大學》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文
更多相關文章: C-T收益價差 公司債券 信用風險溢價 流動性風險溢價
【摘要】:公司債券作為企業(yè)融資的重要途徑之一,在金融市場中扮演著重要的角色。近年來,我國公司債券市場正逐步規(guī)范化,發(fā)展勢頭良好,發(fā)行量逐年上升。作為一種投融資工具,公司債券受到了人們越來越多的關注。其中,對于投資者而言,他們最為關心的當然是投資公司債券的收益率問題,而收益率的高低則可以通過利差體現(xiàn)出來。 本文通過研究我國公司債券利差的影響因素,確立了適合我國債券二級市場上公司債券利差的定價模型,從而為公司債券市場的參與者提供決策幫助。首先,在對國內外公司債券利差相關文獻的分析基礎上,本文根據(jù)信用風險定價理論和流動性溢價相關理論,提取出了影響公司債券利差的主要因素。其次,本文選取了滬深兩市交易的公司債券為樣本,分別從稅收補償、信用風險和流動性風險三方面,對利差的影響因素進行實證研究,這部分是本文的研究重點。其中,對信用風險的研究,本文從微觀和宏觀兩個角度出發(fā),梳理了債券本身情況、發(fā)債主體和宏觀經(jīng)濟三方面的影響因素;而對流動性風險的研究,本文主要考慮了公司債券本身的特性和公司債券市場的特性兩方面的因素。最后,本文利用結構模型與多因子線性回歸模型,分別對信用風險與流動性風險的溢價情況進行了量化分析,得到了理論價差的結構,并對理論價差與實際價差進行差異分析。最后,本文根據(jù)研究結果對我國公司債券市場提出了若干建議。 本文的創(chuàng)新之處在于,充分地利用日益完善有效的公司債券市場數(shù)據(jù)對價差進行了較為透徹的量化研究。不足之處在于,在選用莫頓模型進行信用風險溢價研究后,發(fā)現(xiàn)其僅能得到違約預期風險損失的溢價,而沒有考量對風險厭惡的風險溢價,因而導致信用風險溢價在價差中占比過低,下一步可以考慮更為合理的信用風險量化模型。
[Abstract]:Corporate bonds as one of the important ways of financing, plays an important role in the financial market. In recent years, China's corporate bond market is gradually standardized, good momentum of development, the circulation increased year by year. As a financing tool, corporate bonds have attracted more and more attention. Among them, for investors of course, they are most concerned about is the rate of return of investment in corporate bonds, and the amount of rate of return can be reflected by the yield spreads.
In this paper, we studied the influencing factors of China's corporate bond spreads, establishes a pricing model suitable for China's bond market two corporate bond spreads, and corporate bond market participants provide help. First of all, based on analysis of domestic and international corporate bond spreads on the relevant literature, based on the credit risk pricing theory and flow premium theory, extracted the main factors influencing corporate bond spreads. Secondly, this paper selects the Shanghai and Shenzhen two city trading company bonds as samples, respectively from the tax compensation, credit risk and liquidity risk three aspects, conducts an empirical study on the influencing factors of interest, this part is the focus of this research. Among them, study on the credit risk, the two from the micro and macro perspective, summarizes the situation of the bond itself, issuers and macroeconomic factors in three aspects; and Research on the liquidity risk, the paper mainly consider two factors characteristic of corporate bond itself and the corporate bond market. Finally, the structure model and multi factor linear regression model, the premium of credit risk and liquidity risk are analyzed quantitatively, structure theory has been spread, and the the theory of spread and analyses the differences between the actual spread. Finally, according to the results of the research on the corporate bond market in China and puts forward some suggestions.
The innovation of this paper is to fully utilize the perfection of corporate bond market data to effectively spread the quantitative research more thoroughly. The disadvantage is that the research on credit risk premium in the selection of Modun model, which can only be found in breach of the expected risk premium, without consideration of the risk aversion risk premium so the credit risk premium in price in proportion is too low, the next step can be considered more reasonable credit risk model.
【學位授予單位】:西南財經(jīng)大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F275;F832.51;F224
【參考文獻】
相關期刊論文 前9條
1 方先明;裴平;牟星;;基于風險補償?shù)钠髽I(yè)債券定價研究[J];經(jīng)濟管理;2011年02期
2 程文衛(wèi);;我國交易所上市企業(yè)主體債券利差的影響因素研究[J];生產(chǎn)力研究;2009年08期
3 譚地軍;田益祥;黃文光;;中國企業(yè)債券特征與風險補償[J];數(shù)量經(jīng)濟技術經(jīng)濟研究;2008年02期
4 李鵬;任兆璋;;考慮流動性風險的可違約債券定價模型[J];統(tǒng)計與決策;2006年02期
5 程鵬,吳沖鋒;上市公司信用狀況分析新方法[J];系統(tǒng)工程理論方法應用;2002年02期
6 廖敏輝;;我國企業(yè)債券市場的流動性研究[J];湖南科技大學學報(社會科學版);2007年03期
7 董樂;;銀行間債券市場流動性溢價問題研究[J];運籌與管理;2007年04期
8 潘堅;周香英;羅興鈞;;約化模型下考慮流動性風險的公司債券定價[J];揚州大學學報(自然科學版);2012年02期
9 鄭振龍,林海;中國違約風險溢酬研究[J];證券市場導報;2003年06期
,本文編號:1363768
本文鏈接:http://sikaile.net/jingjilunwen/zbyz/1363768.html
最近更新
教材專著