數(shù)字鴻溝形成機(jī)制研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-08-09 19:27
【摘要】：數(shù)字鴻溝不是一個(gè)單純的技術(shù)問題,而是是一個(gè)牽涉很廣的社會(huì)問題,嚴(yán)重影響中國(guó)發(fā)展的各個(gè)方面。我國(guó)東西部發(fā)展差距與城鄉(xiāng)發(fā)展差距都能通過數(shù)字鴻溝得到體現(xiàn),因此研究和解決我國(guó)區(qū)域之間的數(shù)字鴻溝問題與平衡協(xié)調(diào)區(qū)域發(fā)展密切相關(guān),也將推動(dòng)社會(huì)整體的進(jìn)步。 我國(guó)政府對(duì)推進(jìn)國(guó)家信息化建設(shè)和解決數(shù)字鴻溝問題給予了極大的關(guān)注。但目前在解決區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝問題上仍然面臨多種問題。是手段相對(duì)單一；二是政府投資相對(duì)較少；三是缺乏強(qiáng)有力的信息化推動(dòng)組織；四是沒有建立起一套系統(tǒng)、科學(xué)的政策框架。 解決這些問題首先需要對(duì)數(shù)字鴻溝進(jìn)行更加全面、深入的分析。然而目前為止,區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝的相關(guān)研究中還沒有人對(duì)以上問題進(jìn)行系統(tǒng)性的解釋,都是從不同的角度進(jìn)行各自的闡述。 通過對(duì)數(shù)字鴻溝形成機(jī)制進(jìn)行深入研究,本文提出了數(shù)字鴻溝形成機(jī)制模型,分析了數(shù)字鴻溝的成因、作用機(jī)制和發(fā)展趨勢(shì),在此過程中對(duì)以上問題都進(jìn)行了解釋,并提出了相應(yīng)的政策建議。因此可以認(rèn)為本文的研究對(duì)推動(dòng)我國(guó)數(shù)字鴻溝政策建設(shè)、彌合區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝具有較強(qiáng)的實(shí)踐意義。 本文的研究?jī)?nèi)容包括： 第一章：緒論。通過對(duì)研究背景進(jìn)行綜述,首先闡明數(shù)字鴻溝的由來、定義,然后提出區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝的形成機(jī)制問題,最后指出本文的研究意義,闡述本文的研究?jī)?nèi)容、方法以及思路。 第二章：區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝形成機(jī)制的相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)綜述。本章對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)外區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝形成機(jī)制的相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行了概述,包含兩個(gè)方面的內(nèi)容,即數(shù)字鴻溝研究方向的演進(jìn)、數(shù)字鴻溝形成動(dòng)力機(jī)制的研究綜述。 第三章：區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝的概念模型。將區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝的形成原因歸納為兩個(gè)維度。一是擴(kuò)散的維度,區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝是一個(gè)包括從了解和產(chǎn)生意愿開始,到擁有接入、擁有技能、有效使用的過程。二是資源維度,區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝的產(chǎn)生源于區(qū)域之間在政策、經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)、技術(shù)四大方面的資源分布不均所造成。 第四章：我國(guó)區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝形成機(jī)制的實(shí)證研究。 根據(jù)第三章的結(jié)論,建立數(shù)字鴻溝相關(guān)影響因素的指標(biāo)體系,并計(jì)算出ICT使用、ICT技能、ICT接入三大內(nèi)部影響因素指數(shù),以及政府、經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)、技術(shù)四個(gè)外部影響因素指數(shù)。在此基礎(chǔ)上對(duì)我國(guó)區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝影響因素的相互關(guān)系進(jìn)行了描述性分析。 第五章：區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝影響因素的因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)和靜態(tài)模型探索。 基于第四章所得出的31個(gè)地區(qū)在2002-2010年的七大數(shù)字鴻溝相關(guān)指數(shù)所構(gòu)成的面板數(shù)據(jù),分析七大指數(shù)各自的平穩(wěn)性、彼此之間的協(xié)整性,以及彼此之間的因果關(guān)系。為下一步的數(shù)字鴻溝形成機(jī)制建模奠定基礎(chǔ)。最后嘗試通過路徑分析建立數(shù)字鴻溝形成機(jī)制的靜態(tài)模型。結(jié)果顯示靜態(tài)模型不能很好的擬合數(shù)字鴻溝形成機(jī)制和發(fā)展趨勢(shì),原因在于數(shù)字鴻溝相關(guān)影響因素之間是長(zhǎng)期平穩(wěn)的動(dòng)態(tài)回歸關(guān)系而不是靜態(tài)關(guān)系。 第六章：我國(guó)區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝形成機(jī)制動(dòng)態(tài)模型 在第五章的數(shù)字鴻溝因果關(guān)系的基礎(chǔ)上,構(gòu)建數(shù)字鴻溝七大因素彼此互為因果的動(dòng)態(tài)模型,再將所得到的動(dòng)態(tài)模型與系統(tǒng)動(dòng)力學(xué)方法相結(jié)合建立一個(gè)完整、動(dòng)態(tài)的數(shù)字鴻溝形成機(jī)制動(dòng)力模型。在此模型之上對(duì)我國(guó)31省、直轄市、自治區(qū)的信息化發(fā)展趨勢(shì),以及我國(guó)區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝進(jìn)行模擬和預(yù)測(cè)。最后探討了加入政府宏觀調(diào)控指數(shù)對(duì)區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝的影響。 此外,本章與上一章一樣,都是基于數(shù)字鴻溝七大指數(shù)的面板數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,其中核心部分是基于面板數(shù)據(jù)的動(dòng)態(tài)回歸模型的構(gòu)建。這一研究在數(shù)字鴻溝領(lǐng)域處于前沿的位置。 第七章：基于斯坦伯格模型的政府ICT投資政策分析 本文在第七章中引入博弈論中的斯坦克爾伯格模型,對(duì)政府從全局出發(fā)加強(qiáng)ICT投資的統(tǒng)籌管理的必要性,以及相應(yīng)的調(diào)控參數(shù)選擇進(jìn)行分析。其結(jié)論可以簡(jiǎn)單描述為兩點(diǎn)：一是中央政府應(yīng)加強(qiáng)對(duì)區(qū)域ICT相關(guān)的統(tǒng)一協(xié)調(diào)、合理分配。二是中央政府的最優(yōu)ICT投資策略是通過類似于“電信普遍服務(wù)基金”的轉(zhuǎn)移支付機(jī)制將發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)富余的ICT投資預(yù)算轉(zhuǎn)移到落后地區(qū),平衡各地區(qū)投資水平,并建議設(shè)立專項(xiàng)基金或相應(yīng)的鼓勵(lì)機(jī)制促進(jìn)發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)ICT投資向落后地區(qū)轉(zhuǎn)移。 第八章：對(duì)彌合我國(guó)區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝的綜合建議。 本章提出了數(shù)字鴻溝政策的確立原則,在此原則下根據(jù)本文所提出的數(shù)字鴻溝動(dòng)態(tài)模型提出了數(shù)字鴻溝政策思維框架。在此框架中,政府的數(shù)字鴻溝政策包括四個(gè)出發(fā)點(diǎn)和三個(gè)落腳點(diǎn),共12個(gè)象限。最后,本文對(duì)每個(gè)象限中可能的政策進(jìn)行了簡(jiǎn)要的討論,共政策制定者參考。 第九章：研究結(jié)論與展望。對(duì)全文工作進(jìn)行簡(jiǎn)要的描述,總結(jié)主要研究成果和結(jié)論,指出研究的不足,展望未來的研究方向。 本文主要?jiǎng)?chuàng)新點(diǎn)包括： 本文的創(chuàng)新之處主要體現(xiàn)在基于面板數(shù)據(jù)的數(shù)字鴻溝影響因素因果檢驗(yàn)、數(shù)字鴻溝動(dòng)態(tài)模型、政策建議的提出這三方面： 1、綜合運(yùn)用面板數(shù)據(jù)單位根檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、因果檢驗(yàn)分析了數(shù)字鴻溝七大指數(shù)相互間的因果關(guān)系。 2、綜合運(yùn)用面板數(shù)據(jù)動(dòng)態(tài)回歸模型、系統(tǒng)動(dòng)力學(xué)模型構(gòu)建我國(guó)區(qū)域數(shù)字鴻溝動(dòng)態(tài)模型。 3、基于斯坦克爾伯格模型的政府ICT投資政策分析
[Abstract]:The digital divide is not a purely technical problem, but a wide involved social problem, which seriously affects all aspects of China's development. The gap between the development of the East and the West and the gap between urban and rural development can be reflected by the digital divide. Therefore, the research and solution of the digital gap between the regions of China and the balance and coordination of the region will be issued. Closely related to the exhibition will also promote the progress of the society as a whole.
Our government has paid great attention to the problem of promoting the national information construction and solving the digital divide. However, there are still many problems facing the problem of solving the regional digital divide. It is relatively single, the two is that the government investment is relatively small; the three is the lack of strong information promotion organization; and the four is not set up a set of departments. The policy framework of science.
In order to solve these problems, we need to make a more comprehensive and in-depth analysis of the digital divide. However, so far, no one has systematically explained the above problems in the related research of the regional digital divide, and they are all expounded from different angles.
Through the in-depth study of the formation mechanism of the digital divide, this paper puts forward the model of the formation mechanism of the digital divide, analyzes the causes, mechanism and trend of the digital divide, and explains the above problems in this process, and puts forward the corresponding policy suggestions. It is of great practical significance to bridge the regional digital divide through the construction of gap policy.
The research contents of this paper include:
The first chapter is introduction. Through the overview of the research background, the origin and definition of the digital divide is clarified, and then the formation mechanism of the regional digital divide is put forward. Finally, the significance of the study is pointed out, and the contents, methods and ideas of this paper are expounded.
The second chapter is the literature review of the formation mechanism of the regional digital divide. This chapter summarizes the relevant literature of the formation mechanism of the digital divide at home and abroad, including two aspects, namely the evolution of the research direction of the digital divide, and the research summary of the dynamic mechanism of the digital divide.
The third chapter: the conceptual model of the regional digital divide. The causes of the formation of the regional digital divide are summed up as two dimensions. One is the dimension of diffusion, and the regional digital divide is a process including the beginning of understanding and producing will, the possession of access, the possession of skills and the effective use. Two is the resource dimension, and the regional digital divide originates from the region. The uneven distribution of resources in the four areas of policy, economy, society and technology has resulted.
Chapter 4: Empirical study on the formation mechanism of regional digital divide in China.
According to the conclusion of the third chapter, the index system of the related factors of the digital divide is set up, and the index of the ICT use, ICT skill, ICT access three internal factors, and the four external factors of government, economy, society and technology are calculated. On this basis, the relationship between the factors of the regional digital divide in China is described. Sex analysis.
Chapter 5: Causality test and static model exploration of influencing factors of regional digital divide.
Based on the panel data of the seven major digital divide related indices of the 31 regions in the fourth chapter, the stability of the seven major indices, the cointegration between each other, and the causal relationship between each other are analyzed, and the foundation for the next step of the formation of the digital divide is established. The static model of the formation mechanism of the digital divide shows that the static model can not well fit the mechanism and trend of the digital divide formation. The reason is that the relative factors of the digital divide are the long-term stable dynamic regression relationship but not the static relationship.
Chapter 6: Dynamic Model of Forming Mechanism of Regional Digital Divide in China
On the basis of the causal relationship of the digital divide in the fifth chapter, the dynamic model of the seven factors of the digital divide is constructed each other, and a dynamic model of the dynamic digital divide formation mechanism is established by combining the dynamic model with the system dynamics method. On this model, the 31 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions of China are on this model. The development trend of information technology and the regional digital divide in China are simulated and predicted. Finally, the influence of joining the government macro-control index on the regional digital divide is discussed.
In addition, this chapter, like the previous chapter, is an empirical analysis of the panel data based on the seven index of the digital divide. The core part is the construction of a dynamic regression model based on panel data. This research is in the forefront of the digital divide.
Chapter 7: Analysis of Government ICT Investment Policy Based on Steinberg Model
In the seventh chapter, the seventh chapter introduces the stelberg model in the game theory, and analyzes the necessity of strengthening the overall management of the investment by the government from the overall situation and the selection of the corresponding regulation parameters. The conclusion can be simply described as two points: first, the central government should strengthen the unified coordination and rational distribution of the regional ICT related to the central government. The optimal ICT investment strategy of the central government is to transfer the surplus ICT investment budget in developed areas to backward areas through the transfer payment mechanism similar to the "telecom universal service fund", and to balance the investment level of various regions, and propose a special fund or the corresponding incentive mechanism to promote the transfer of ICT investment in developed areas to the backward areas.
Chapter 8: Comprehensive proposals for bridging the regional digital divide in China.
This chapter puts forward the principle of establishing the digital divide policy. Under this principle, the digital divide policy thinking frame is put forward according to the dynamic model of digital divide proposed in this paper. In this framework, the government's digital divide policy includes four starting points and three foothold, with a total of 12 quadrants. Finally, the possible policies in each quadrant are introduced in this paper. A brief discussion is made and a total of policy makers refer to it.
The ninth chapter: the conclusion and Prospect of the study. The paper gives a brief description of the full text, summarizes the main research results and conclusions, points out the shortcomings of the research, and looks forward to the future research direction.
The main innovations of this paper include:
The innovation of this paper is mainly embodied in the three aspects: the digital divide based on the panel data, the causality test, the dynamic model of the digital divide, and the proposal of the policy.
1. Using panel data unit root test, cointegration test and causality test, this paper analyzes the causality among the seven indexes of digital divide.
2. Using panel data dynamic regression model and system dynamics model to construct regional digital divide dynamic model.
3. Analysis of Government ICT Investment Policy Based on Steinkelberg Model
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京郵電大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F224;F49
本文編號(hào)：2175085
[Abstract]:The digital divide is not a purely technical problem, but a wide involved social problem, which seriously affects all aspects of China's development. The gap between the development of the East and the West and the gap between urban and rural development can be reflected by the digital divide. Therefore, the research and solution of the digital gap between the regions of China and the balance and coordination of the region will be issued. Closely related to the exhibition will also promote the progress of the society as a whole.
Our government has paid great attention to the problem of promoting the national information construction and solving the digital divide. However, there are still many problems facing the problem of solving the regional digital divide. It is relatively single, the two is that the government investment is relatively small; the three is the lack of strong information promotion organization; and the four is not set up a set of departments. The policy framework of science.
In order to solve these problems, we need to make a more comprehensive and in-depth analysis of the digital divide. However, so far, no one has systematically explained the above problems in the related research of the regional digital divide, and they are all expounded from different angles.
Through the in-depth study of the formation mechanism of the digital divide, this paper puts forward the model of the formation mechanism of the digital divide, analyzes the causes, mechanism and trend of the digital divide, and explains the above problems in this process, and puts forward the corresponding policy suggestions. It is of great practical significance to bridge the regional digital divide through the construction of gap policy.
The research contents of this paper include:
The first chapter is introduction. Through the overview of the research background, the origin and definition of the digital divide is clarified, and then the formation mechanism of the regional digital divide is put forward. Finally, the significance of the study is pointed out, and the contents, methods and ideas of this paper are expounded.
The second chapter is the literature review of the formation mechanism of the regional digital divide. This chapter summarizes the relevant literature of the formation mechanism of the digital divide at home and abroad, including two aspects, namely the evolution of the research direction of the digital divide, and the research summary of the dynamic mechanism of the digital divide.
The third chapter: the conceptual model of the regional digital divide. The causes of the formation of the regional digital divide are summed up as two dimensions. One is the dimension of diffusion, and the regional digital divide is a process including the beginning of understanding and producing will, the possession of access, the possession of skills and the effective use. Two is the resource dimension, and the regional digital divide originates from the region. The uneven distribution of resources in the four areas of policy, economy, society and technology has resulted.
Chapter 4: Empirical study on the formation mechanism of regional digital divide in China.
According to the conclusion of the third chapter, the index system of the related factors of the digital divide is set up, and the index of the ICT use, ICT skill, ICT access three internal factors, and the four external factors of government, economy, society and technology are calculated. On this basis, the relationship between the factors of the regional digital divide in China is described. Sex analysis.
Chapter 5: Causality test and static model exploration of influencing factors of regional digital divide.
Based on the panel data of the seven major digital divide related indices of the 31 regions in the fourth chapter, the stability of the seven major indices, the cointegration between each other, and the causal relationship between each other are analyzed, and the foundation for the next step of the formation of the digital divide is established. The static model of the formation mechanism of the digital divide shows that the static model can not well fit the mechanism and trend of the digital divide formation. The reason is that the relative factors of the digital divide are the long-term stable dynamic regression relationship but not the static relationship.
Chapter 6: Dynamic Model of Forming Mechanism of Regional Digital Divide in China
On the basis of the causal relationship of the digital divide in the fifth chapter, the dynamic model of the seven factors of the digital divide is constructed each other, and a dynamic model of the dynamic digital divide formation mechanism is established by combining the dynamic model with the system dynamics method. On this model, the 31 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions of China are on this model. The development trend of information technology and the regional digital divide in China are simulated and predicted. Finally, the influence of joining the government macro-control index on the regional digital divide is discussed.
In addition, this chapter, like the previous chapter, is an empirical analysis of the panel data based on the seven index of the digital divide. The core part is the construction of a dynamic regression model based on panel data. This research is in the forefront of the digital divide.
Chapter 7: Analysis of Government ICT Investment Policy Based on Steinberg Model
In the seventh chapter, the seventh chapter introduces the stelberg model in the game theory, and analyzes the necessity of strengthening the overall management of the investment by the government from the overall situation and the selection of the corresponding regulation parameters. The conclusion can be simply described as two points: first, the central government should strengthen the unified coordination and rational distribution of the regional ICT related to the central government. The optimal ICT investment strategy of the central government is to transfer the surplus ICT investment budget in developed areas to backward areas through the transfer payment mechanism similar to the "telecom universal service fund", and to balance the investment level of various regions, and propose a special fund or the corresponding incentive mechanism to promote the transfer of ICT investment in developed areas to the backward areas.
Chapter 8: Comprehensive proposals for bridging the regional digital divide in China.
This chapter puts forward the principle of establishing the digital divide policy. Under this principle, the digital divide policy thinking frame is put forward according to the dynamic model of digital divide proposed in this paper. In this framework, the government's digital divide policy includes four starting points and three foothold, with a total of 12 quadrants. Finally, the possible policies in each quadrant are introduced in this paper. A brief discussion is made and a total of policy makers refer to it.
The ninth chapter: the conclusion and Prospect of the study. The paper gives a brief description of the full text, summarizes the main research results and conclusions, points out the shortcomings of the research, and looks forward to the future research direction.
The main innovations of this paper include:
The innovation of this paper is mainly embodied in the three aspects: the digital divide based on the panel data, the causality test, the dynamic model of the digital divide, and the proposal of the policy.
1. Using panel data unit root test, cointegration test and causality test, this paper analyzes the causality among the seven indexes of digital divide.
2. Using panel data dynamic regression model and system dynamics model to construct regional digital divide dynamic model.
3. Analysis of Government ICT Investment Policy Based on Steinkelberg Model
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京郵電大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F224;F49
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