中國信息化發(fā)展的地區(qū)差距及其動(dòng)態(tài)演進(jìn)
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-05-20 12:40
本文選題:信息化 + 地區(qū)差距。 參考:《軟科學(xué)》2017年07期
【摘要】:基于中國大陸31個(gè)省份2000~2013年的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),采用Moran's I指數(shù)、Dagum基尼系數(shù)和Kernel密度估計(jì)法,對(duì)中國信息化發(fā)展的空間不平衡性、地區(qū)差距及動(dòng)態(tài)演進(jìn)趨勢(shì)進(jìn)行實(shí)證考察。結(jié)果表明:中國信息化發(fā)展呈現(xiàn)明顯的空間非均衡特征,東部沿海地區(qū)信息化水平最高,西南和西北地區(qū)相對(duì)落后;樣本考察期內(nèi)我國信息化發(fā)展指數(shù)的地區(qū)差距呈上下波動(dòng)的不穩(wěn)定態(tài)勢(shì),但總體上趨于下降。互聯(lián)網(wǎng)與移動(dòng)電話普及率的地區(qū)差距均呈顯著下降趨勢(shì),總體差距逐年縮小。地區(qū)間差距是總體差距的主要來源,地區(qū)內(nèi)差距相對(duì)穩(wěn)定,超變密度貢獻(xiàn)不斷增大;Kernel密度估計(jì)顯示,中國信息化發(fā)展水平逐步提高,兩極(多極)分化現(xiàn)象明顯減弱,整體分布漸趨緩和,發(fā)展成效顯著。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of 31 provinces in mainland China from 2000 to 2013, the spatial imbalance, regional disparity and dynamic evolution trend of China's informatization development are investigated by using Moran's I index Dagum-Gini coefficient and Kernel density estimation method. The results show that the development of informatization in China shows obvious spatial disequilibrium, the information level in the eastern coastal areas is the highest, and the southwest and northwest regions are relatively backward; During the period of sample investigation, the regional gap of informatization development index in China fluctuates up and down, but it tends to decrease in general. The regional gap between Internet and mobile phone penetration is decreasing significantly, and the overall gap is narrowing year by year. The difference between regions is the main source of the overall gap, and the gap within the region is relatively stable. The Kernel density estimation shows that the level of information development in China is gradually increasing, and the phenomenon of polarization (multipole) is obviously weakened. The overall distribution has gradually eased and the development has achieved remarkable results.
【作者單位】: 南京航空航天大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院;淮陰師范學(xué)院;
【基金】:國家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(71373123) 江蘇高校哲學(xué)社會(huì)科學(xué)研究重點(diǎn)項(xiàng)目(2015ZDIXM007) 江蘇省“六大人才高峰”培養(yǎng)項(xiàng)目(2014JY010)
【分類號(hào)】:F49
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