本文選題：商品住宅市場　切入點(diǎn)：總量非均衡　出處：《西安建筑科技大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：鑒于美國“次貸危機(jī)”和西班牙、愛爾蘭等國的“主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)”的教訓(xùn)中存在房地產(chǎn)市場嚴(yán)重供求非均衡的特征共性，基于我國房地產(chǎn)市場投資過熱、房價(jià)上漲過快、國家加大房地產(chǎn)市場宏觀調(diào)控力度的宏觀環(huán)境，結(jié)合西安市商品住宅市場發(fā)展過程中非均衡的現(xiàn)實(shí)，提出了西安市房地產(chǎn)市場非均衡研究的命題。 針對(duì)作為西安市房地產(chǎn)市場重要組成部分的新建商品住宅市場，以非均衡理論和房地產(chǎn)市場理論為基礎(chǔ)，在利用解釋結(jié)構(gòu)模型（ISM）對(duì)房地產(chǎn)市場供求影響因素進(jìn)行層次劃分的初步定性分析的條件下，建立了雙曲線聚合方程模型，分析了1998年至2012年我國實(shí)行住宅商品化以來西安市新建商品住宅市場有關(guān)年鑒數(shù)據(jù)，對(duì)西安市商品住宅市場非均衡程度進(jìn)行定量分析，計(jì)算了西安市新建商品住宅市場的非均衡度。非均衡度在-0.52和0.58之間波動(dòng)，兩個(gè)最值分別出現(xiàn)在1999年和2012年，基本經(jīng)歷了周期性的波動(dòng)過程，在非均衡度計(jì)算基礎(chǔ)上設(shè)置了西安市場非均衡度警戒線。在對(duì)西安市商品住宅市場進(jìn)行總量非均衡分析的前提下，進(jìn)一步從投資結(jié)構(gòu)、空置結(jié)構(gòu)和區(qū)域結(jié)構(gòu)三個(gè)方面對(duì)西安市商品住宅市場的結(jié)構(gòu)非均衡狀況進(jìn)行了分析。結(jié)構(gòu)性分析表明，西安市商品住宅市場的投資結(jié)構(gòu)和空置結(jié)構(gòu)相對(duì)合理，在區(qū)域結(jié)構(gòu)方面，，區(qū)域間的差距較大。 論文成果對(duì)政府房地產(chǎn)市場調(diào)控政策制定、企業(yè)單位市場決策、個(gè)人消費(fèi)者購房決策有一定的指導(dǎo)意義。
[Abstract]:In view of the "sub-prime mortgage crisis" in the United States and the "sovereign debt crisis" in Spain, Ireland and other countries, there is a common feature of serious imbalance between supply and demand in the real estate market. Based on the overheated investment in the real estate market in our country, the housing price rises too quickly. The state strengthens the macro environment of the real estate market macro-control, combining with the unbalanced reality in the development process of Xi'an commodity housing market, puts forward the proposition of the Xi'an real estate market disequilibrium research. As an important part of the real estate market in Xi'an, the new commercial housing market is based on the theory of disequilibrium and the theory of real estate market. The hyperbolic aggregation equation model is established under the condition of using the explanatory structure model (ISM) to analyze the influence factors of supply and demand in real estate market. This paper analyzes the yearbook data of the newly built commercial housing market in Xi'an since the commercialization of housing in China from 1998 to 2012, and makes a quantitative analysis of the non-equilibrium degree of the commodity housing market in Xi'an. The non-equilibrium degree of the newly built commodity housing market in Xi'an is calculated. The disequilibrium degree fluctuates between -0.52 and 0.58, and the two most important values appear in 1999 and 2012, respectively. Based on the calculation of the disequilibrium degree, the warning line of the disequilibrium degree of Xi'an market is set up. On the premise of carrying out the disequilibrium analysis of the total amount of the commodity housing market in Xi'an, the investment structure is further studied. The structural disequilibrium of commodity housing market in Xi'an is analyzed from three aspects of vacant structure and regional structure. The structural analysis shows that the investment structure and vacant structure of Xi'an commodity housing market are relatively reasonable, and the regional structure is relatively reasonable. The gap between regions is large. The results of this paper have certain guiding significance for government real estate market regulation and control policy making, enterprise unit market decision making and individual consumer housing purchase decision.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西安建筑科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F299.23

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本文編號(hào)：1575124