【摘要】：近年,國(guó)內(nèi)對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)與物流業(yè)發(fā)展關(guān)系的研究不斷增加,主要聚焦在電商平臺(tái)下的農(nóng)業(yè)與物流業(yè)相互協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的運(yùn)作模式研究、物流業(yè)與農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化與信息化研究、農(nóng)業(yè)物流配送理論研究等幾個(gè)方面。鑒于現(xiàn)有研究大多局限于農(nóng)業(yè)和物流業(yè)各自的領(lǐng)域或者是作為物流業(yè)的發(fā)展一部分的農(nóng)業(yè)物流,本文從協(xié)調(diào)的角度出發(fā),研究了安徽省農(nóng)業(yè)與物流業(yè)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展關(guān)系。安徽省是農(nóng)業(yè)大省,又有著物流發(fā)展的區(qū)位優(yōu)勢(shì),探討安徽省農(nóng)業(yè)與物流業(yè)的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展有著重要的意義。 論文基于前人的研究,構(gòu)建了農(nóng)業(yè)與物流業(yè)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的理論模型,對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)與物流業(yè)相互作用的因果關(guān)系和協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展度等進(jìn)行了實(shí)證研究,基于實(shí)證研究結(jié)論提出了促進(jìn)安徽省農(nóng)業(yè)與物流業(yè)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的政策建議。論文共分六章,各章主要內(nèi)容如下： 第一章主要介紹安徽省農(nóng)業(yè)與物流業(yè)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的背景、意義、相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)綜述和相關(guān)研究方法。 第二章主要是對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)、物流業(yè)和協(xié)調(diào)的相關(guān)理論進(jìn)行了介紹。 第三章在前二章的基礎(chǔ)上,根據(jù)本文的研究目的引進(jìn)了因果關(guān)系模型和協(xié)調(diào)度研究模型,以便對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)與物流業(yè)的關(guān)系進(jìn)行更深層次的研究。 第四章首先對(duì)安徽省的農(nóng)業(yè)與物流業(yè)分別從投入、產(chǎn)出、效率三個(gè)方面進(jìn)行格蘭杰因果關(guān)系分析,這是進(jìn)行協(xié)調(diào)分析的前提,只有證明了安徽省農(nóng)業(yè)與物流業(yè)之間互相關(guān)聯(lián),才能進(jìn)一步研究二者的相互關(guān)聯(lián)的程度。 第五章在證實(shí)了安徽省的農(nóng)業(yè)與物流業(yè)之間存在著相互因果關(guān)系之后,然后文章再把安徽農(nóng)業(yè)和物流業(yè)分別作為一個(gè)整體,以這兩個(gè)整體為對(duì)象對(duì)這兩個(gè)系統(tǒng)的協(xié)調(diào)值以及二者之間的復(fù)合協(xié)調(diào)值進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析測(cè)算,揭示二者之間的相互關(guān)聯(lián)程度。 第六章綜合研究設(shè)計(jì)、因果分析、協(xié)調(diào)分析,對(duì)二者的關(guān)系可以得出的結(jié)論有：安徽省的農(nóng)業(yè)與物流業(yè)相互存在著格蘭杰因果關(guān)系,二者具有相互促進(jìn)作用；安徽省農(nóng)業(yè)與物流業(yè)的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展程度正隨著生鮮物流的發(fā)展不斷提高,但是物流業(yè)發(fā)展相對(duì)滯后。針對(duì)以上的分析結(jié)果從行業(yè)角度和國(guó)家角度提出措施建議,促進(jìn)當(dāng)前安徽省農(nóng)業(yè)與物流業(yè)更加協(xié)調(diào)的發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the domestic research on the relationship between agriculture and logistics industry has been increasing, mainly focusing on the coordinated development of agriculture and logistics under the platform of e-commerce, the standardization and informatization of logistics industry and agricultural development. Agricultural logistics distribution theory research and other aspects. Since most of the existing studies are limited to the respective fields of agriculture and logistics, or as part of the development of logistics industry, this paper studies the coordinated development of agriculture and logistics in Anhui Province from the perspective of coordination. Anhui Province is a big agricultural province and has the regional advantage of logistics development. It is of great significance to explore the coordinated development of agriculture and logistics industry in Anhui Province. Based on the previous studies, this paper constructs a theoretical model for the coordinated development of agriculture and logistics, and makes an empirical study on the causal relationship and the degree of coordinated development of the interaction between agriculture and logistics. Based on the conclusion of empirical research, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the coordinated development of agriculture and logistics industry in Anhui province. The thesis is divided into six chapters. The main contents of each chapter are as follows: the first chapter mainly introduces the background, significance, relevant literature review and related research methods of the coordinated development of agriculture and logistics industry in Anhui Province. The second chapter mainly introduces the related theories of agriculture, logistics and coordination. In the third chapter, based on the first two chapters, the causal relationship model and the coordination degree model are introduced according to the purpose of this paper, in order to study the relationship between agriculture and logistics in a deeper level. The fourth chapter firstly analyzes the Granger causality between agriculture and logistics industry in Anhui province from three aspects: input, output and efficiency, which is the premise of coordinating analysis, and only proves the correlation between agriculture and logistics industry in Anhui province. In order to further study the degree of correlation between the two. In the fifth chapter, after confirming the causal relationship between agriculture and logistics industry in Anhui Province, the article takes Anhui agriculture and logistics industry as a whole respectively. Taking the two systems as the object, the coordination value of the two systems and the composite coordination value between the two systems are analyzed and calculated empirically, and the degree of correlation between the two systems is revealed. The sixth chapter comprehensive research design, causal analysis, coordination analysis, the relationship between the two conclusions can be drawn: Anhui Province agriculture and logistics industry there is a Granger causality relationship, the two have mutual promotion; The coordinated development of agriculture and logistics industry in Anhui Province is increasing with the development of fresh logistics, but the development of logistics industry lags behind. In view of the above analysis results from the perspective of industry and national measures to promote the current agriculture and logistics industry in Anhui Province more coordinated development.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：安徽財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F327;F259.27

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