本文選題：溫宿縣　切入點(diǎn)：綜合評價模型　出處：《新疆大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：自1980年以來,我國逐步經(jīng)歷了三輪不同指導(dǎo)思想、不同發(fā)展理念的規(guī)劃編制和實(shí)施工作,從第一輪規(guī)劃的“一保吃飯,二保建設(shè)”的規(guī)劃目標(biāo)到本輪規(guī)劃“創(chuàng)新、協(xié)調(diào)、綠色、開放、共享”的發(fā)展理念,我國的土地管理制度的規(guī)范以及人們對土地開發(fā)利用的認(rèn)識在不斷提高。規(guī)劃實(shí)施評價工作在整個規(guī)劃實(shí)施過程中一直是備受關(guān)注的焦點(diǎn)問題,通過正確的評價,可以反映一個縣市在規(guī)劃期內(nèi),規(guī)劃實(shí)施的成效,以及規(guī)劃的合理性、可行性。通過規(guī)劃實(shí)施評價工作,我們能夠及時發(fā)現(xiàn)并且修改完善規(guī)劃在實(shí)施過程中的不合理之處,同時為規(guī)劃提供具有針對性的建議和舉措。本文通過大量閱讀規(guī)劃實(shí)施評估相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)之后,最終選擇利用空間吻合度模型以及綜合評價模型構(gòu)建一套較為客觀合理的雙重評價模型,同時提出空間偏離度模型,從空間布局、理論指標(biāo)實(shí)現(xiàn)度等方面對溫宿縣現(xiàn)行土地利用總體規(guī)劃進(jìn)行科學(xué)、準(zhǔn)確的評估,評價結(jié)果如下:(1)首先本文以綜合評價模型進(jìn)行溫宿縣土地利用總體規(guī)劃的定量評估,評估分?jǐn)?shù)為92.17分,執(zhí)行規(guī)劃良好,但是溫宿縣節(jié)約集約整體分?jǐn)?shù)不高,人均城鎮(zhèn)工礦用地雖然是滿分,但是總體比較高,人均農(nóng)村居民點(diǎn)用地規(guī)模目標(biāo)實(shí)現(xiàn)程度為82.43分,地均二三產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值分值為80.25分,城鎮(zhèn)化與用地增長系數(shù)為78.86分,充分說明溫宿縣城市、農(nóng)村、工業(yè)園區(qū)土地利用集約節(jié)約度不高,土地擴(kuò)張浪費(fèi)問題比較明顯。(2)其次根據(jù)空間吻合度提出空間偏離度、擬合度相關(guān)模型,結(jié)果顯示溫宿縣農(nóng)用地發(fā)展偏移比較嚴(yán)重,從偏移度看,耕地偏離度為1%,林地為1.12%,園地為0.76%,草地為0.21%,其他農(nóng)用地發(fā)生偏移為2.48%;從擬合度看耕地為0.95,林地為0.85,園地為0.84,草地為1.04,其他農(nóng)用地為1.43,數(shù)據(jù)顯示農(nóng)用地規(guī)劃實(shí)施過程中,發(fā)生變化的圖斑中有將近一半或者一半以上的圖斑不符合規(guī)劃,經(jīng)核實(shí)主要是由于當(dāng)?shù)剞r(nóng)民規(guī)劃意識薄弱,主要以市場和政府為導(dǎo)向經(jīng)常改變種植方式,同時工業(yè)園區(qū)重工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)污染影響土地生長環(huán)境,造成土地退化。通過綜合評價模型和空間偏離度、擬合度模型結(jié)論可以發(fā)現(xiàn)兩個模型能夠很好對規(guī)劃進(jìn)行合理評估,兩者能夠互補(bǔ),綜合評價模型是通過定量分析規(guī)劃目標(biāo)和指標(biāo)完成情況反映規(guī)劃整體完成情況,而空間偏離度和擬合度從空間布局變化反演土地利用規(guī)劃實(shí)施現(xiàn)狀。同時使用兩個模型可以全面對溫宿縣總體規(guī)劃實(shí)施評估。
[Abstract]:Since 1980, China has gradually experienced three rounds of planning, formulation and implementation of different guiding ideas and different development concepts, from the planning objectives of the first round of planning "one guarantee food, the second guarantee construction" to the current round of planning "innovation, coordination, green,"The development concept of opening and sharing, the norm of land management system and people's understanding of land development and utilization are improving.The evaluation of planning implementation has always been the focus of attention in the whole process of planning implementation. Through correct evaluation, it can reflect the effectiveness, rationality and feasibility of planning implementation in a county and city during the planning period.Through the evaluation of planning implementation, we can timely discover and improve the unreasonable points in the implementation process of the planning, and at the same time provide targeted suggestions and measures for the planning.After reading a large number of relevant documents on planning implementation evaluation, this paper finally chooses to use spatial coincidence model and comprehensive evaluation model to construct a set of objective and reasonable double evaluation model, and puts forward spatial deviation model at the same time.Scientific and accurate evaluation of the current overall land use planning in Wenshu County is carried out from the aspects of spatial layout and degree of realization of theoretical indicators.The evaluation results are as follows: 1) first of all, this paper uses the comprehensive evaluation model to carry out quantitative evaluation of the overall land use planning in Wenshu County. The evaluation score is 92.17 points, and the implementation plan is good, but the overall score of intensive saving in Wenshu County is not high.Although the average urban industrial and mining land per capita is full score, the overall level is relatively high. The degree of realization of the per capita rural residential land scale target is 82.43 points, the value of output value of the secondary and tertiary industries is 80.25, and the coefficient of urbanization and land use growth is 78.86 points.It is fully explained that the land use intensive saving degree is not high and the problem of land expansion waste is obvious in Wenshu county, rural area and industrial park. Secondly, according to the spatial coincidence degree, the paper puts forward the spatial deviation degree and fitting degree correlation model.The results show that the migration of agricultural land development in Wenshu County is quite serious, and from the angle of migration,The deviation degree of cultivated land is 1, forest land is 1.12, garden land is 0.76, grassland is 0.21, other agricultural land is shifted to 2.48; in terms of fitting degree, cultivated land is 0.95, woodland is 0.85, garden land is 0.84, grassland is 1.04, other agricultural land is 1.43. Data show that agricultural land planning is in the process of implementation.Nearly half or more of the map spots that have changed are not in accordance with the plan. It has been verified that this is mainly due to the lack of awareness of the local farmers' planning and the frequent changes in planting methods mainly guided by the market and the government.At the same time, industrial park heavy industry pollution affects the land growth environment, resulting in land degradation.Through the comprehensive evaluation model and the spatial deviation, the conclusion of the fit degree model can be found that the two models can evaluate the planning reasonably, and the two models can complement each other.The comprehensive evaluation model reflects the overall completion of the planning by quantitative analysis of the completion of the planning objectives and indicators, while the spatial deviation and fitting degree invert the present situation of land use planning from the spatial layout changes.At the same time, two models can be used to evaluate the overall planning of Wenshu County.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：新疆大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F301.2

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