基于Logistic回歸模型的農(nóng)戶參與農(nóng)民專業(yè)合作社的行為分析
本文關(guān)鍵詞: 農(nóng)民專業(yè)合作社 農(nóng)民行為 Logistic回歸模型 出處:《武漢輕工大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:隨著中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速發(fā)展,我國(guó)長(zhǎng)久以來(lái)形成的小農(nóng)經(jīng)濟(jì)的缺陷越發(fā)明顯,家庭分散經(jīng)營(yíng),經(jīng)營(yíng)規(guī)模過(guò)小,難以形成規(guī)模經(jīng)營(yíng),這些已經(jīng)適應(yīng)不了大市場(chǎng)的需求,為了降低小生產(chǎn)與大市場(chǎng)之間的矛盾,我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)需走上一條專業(yè)化、商品化、市場(chǎng)化和現(xiàn)代化的發(fā)展道路,以提高農(nóng)業(yè)科技水平,降低農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)的成本,促進(jìn)農(nóng)業(yè)的規(guī)模化生產(chǎn)。農(nóng)民專業(yè)合作社作為一種新型的市場(chǎng)主體,能夠在農(nóng)業(yè)和農(nóng)村發(fā)展中發(fā)揮舉足輕重的作用,是加快社會(huì)主義新農(nóng)村建設(shè)的有效途徑和重要措施。農(nóng)戶作為農(nóng)民專業(yè)合作社發(fā)展的行為主體,其參與行為直接關(guān)系到農(nóng)民專業(yè)合作社的發(fā)展,同時(shí)農(nóng)戶參與農(nóng)民專業(yè)合作社的行為受諸多方面的影響,它不僅是農(nóng)戶自愿提高農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)水平,保障優(yōu)質(zhì)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的行為,也是我國(guó)現(xiàn)代農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展的一種趨勢(shì)。本研究總結(jié)以往學(xué)者的有關(guān)觀點(diǎn),以理性選擇理論和合作理論作為理論基礎(chǔ),建立Logistic回歸模型,主要從農(nóng)戶的基本特征、農(nóng)戶的社會(huì)資本、農(nóng)戶的企業(yè)家素質(zhì)以及當(dāng)?shù)睾献魃绲陌l(fā)展四個(gè)方面進(jìn)行分析農(nóng)戶參與農(nóng)民專業(yè)合作社的行為。研究結(jié)果表明,農(nóng)戶的務(wù)農(nóng)收入比重、是否使用互聯(lián)網(wǎng)和合作社培訓(xùn)情況顯著,并且農(nóng)戶的務(wù)農(nóng)收入比重、是否使用互聯(lián)網(wǎng)的Wald檢驗(yàn)值在0.01的水平上顯著,合作社培訓(xùn)情況的Wald檢驗(yàn)值在0.05的水平上顯著。最后,根據(jù)研究結(jié)論,本文提出促進(jìn)農(nóng)戶積極參與農(nóng)民專業(yè)合作社的政策建議:加強(qiáng)互聯(lián)網(wǎng)在農(nóng)村的普及和應(yīng)用;對(duì)合作社進(jìn)行宣傳、培訓(xùn)和人才引進(jìn);政府加大對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)的扶持力度等。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of China's economy, the defects of the smallholder peasant economy, which has been formed for a long time in our country, have become more and more obvious. Families are operating in a decentralized manner, and the scale of operation is too small to form a large-scale operation. These can no longer meet the needs of the large market. In order to reduce the contradiction between small-scale production and large market, China's agricultural production needs to take a specialized, commercialized, market-oriented and modernized development path in order to raise the level of agricultural science and technology and reduce the cost of agricultural production. Promoting large-scale agricultural production. As a new type of market entity, specialized farmers cooperatives can play a pivotal role in agricultural and rural development. It is an effective way and an important measure to speed up the construction of the new socialist countryside. As the main body of the development of farmers' specialized cooperatives, farmers' participation behavior is directly related to the development of farmers' professional cooperatives. At the same time, the behavior of farmers participating in farmers' specialized cooperatives is affected by many aspects. It is not only the behavior of farmers who voluntarily raise the level of agricultural production and guarantee the quality of agricultural products. It is also a trend of the development of modern agriculture in China. This study summarizes the previous scholars' views and establishes the Logistic regression model based on the rational choice theory and the cooperative theory, mainly from the basic characteristics of farmers and the social capital of farmers. Four aspects of farmers' entrepreneurial quality and the development of local cooperatives are analyzed. The results show that the proportion of farmers' income in agriculture, the use of the Internet and the training of cooperatives are significant. And the proportion of farmers' income in agriculture, the Wald test value of whether using the Internet is significant, the Wald test value of cooperative training is significant. Finally, according to the research conclusion, This paper puts forward some policy suggestions to promote farmers' active participation in farmers' professional cooperatives: strengthening the popularization and application of the Internet in rural areas, propagating, training and introducing talents to cooperatives, and increasing the government's support for agriculture, etc.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:武漢輕工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類號(hào)】:F321.42
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