本文關(guān)鍵詞： 牧民收入 原因分析 影響因素 多元線性回歸　出處：《內(nèi)蒙古大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：內(nèi)蒙古自治區(qū)已經(jīng)進(jìn)入減貧及全面建設(shè)小康社會(huì)的沖刺階段,而"三牧"問(wèn)題是其主要內(nèi)容之一,其中牧民收入問(wèn)題是"三牧"問(wèn)題的核心。作為牧區(qū)主體,牧民生活水平的提高是解決"三牧"問(wèn)題的必要途徑。因此,牧民收入增長(zhǎng)對(duì)其生活水平提高,縮小城鄉(xiāng)收入差距,實(shí)現(xiàn)牧區(qū)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展有著重要意義。本文通過(guò)對(duì)內(nèi)蒙古牧民收入現(xiàn)狀及牧民增長(zhǎng)緩慢原因分析發(fā)現(xiàn),其原因主要有以下三個(gè)方面:畜產(chǎn)品銷售渠道單一、價(jià)格下降;勞動(dòng)力老齡化普遍、家庭收入來(lái)源較少;生產(chǎn)成本、生活費(fèi)用高等。通過(guò)對(duì)2014-2016年連續(xù)三年對(duì)阿拉善左旗、陳巴爾虎右旗及阿巴嘎旗的實(shí)地調(diào)研數(shù)據(jù)回歸分析,結(jié)果表明:家庭勞動(dòng)力平均年齡、非勞動(dòng)力人數(shù)、是否有銀行或民間貸款且用于生產(chǎn)及是否需要拉水等4個(gè)變量與牧民收入顯著負(fù)相關(guān),即老齡化、慢性病及其供養(yǎng)學(xué)生、借款、水資源等都是牧民收入增長(zhǎng)的制約因素。而是否了解本土知識(shí)、家庭人均草場(chǎng)量、是否輪牧、是否有打草場(chǎng)、是否參與生態(tài)獎(jiǎng)補(bǔ)政策等5個(gè)變量與牧民收入顯著正相關(guān),說(shuō)明傳統(tǒng)知識(shí)的運(yùn)用、飼養(yǎng)規(guī)模、飼養(yǎng)方式及生態(tài)獎(jiǎng)補(bǔ)政策等都是促進(jìn)牧民收入增加的因素。同時(shí),勞動(dòng)力平均受教育水平,家庭勞動(dòng)力數(shù)量,生產(chǎn)性投入占總支出比例及是否為嘎查干部等4個(gè)變量對(duì)牧民人均純收入的影響不顯著,即現(xiàn)階段牧區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)還沒(méi)有改變傳統(tǒng)經(jīng)營(yíng)方式,教育、生產(chǎn)要素投入效果不顯著,不能發(fā)揮其提高收入的最佳作用。因此,改善牧民生活條件和社會(huì)福利的同時(shí),應(yīng)充分利用發(fā)揮其潛力與能力,以促進(jìn)其收入的增長(zhǎng)。
[Abstract]:Inner Mongolia Autonomous region has entered the stage of poverty reduction and building a well-off society in an all-round way, and the issue of "three pastoralists" is one of its main contents, in which the income of herdsmen is the core of the problem of "three pastoralists", which is the main body of pastoral areas. The improvement of herdsmen's living standard is the necessary way to solve the problem of "three pastoralists". Therefore, the increase of herdsmen's income will improve their living standard and narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas. It is of great significance to realize the sustainable development of pastoral areas. Through the analysis of the income status of pastoralists in Inner Mongolia and the reasons for the slow growth of herdsmen, it is found that there are three main reasons: the single marketing channel of livestock products. Falling prices; The aging of labor force is common and the source of household income is less; Cost of production, high cost of living. Through the 2014-2016 three consecutive three years of Alashan left Banner, Chen Balhu right Banner and Abaga Banner field research data regression analysis. The results showed that the average age of the family labor force, the number of non-labor force, whether there were bank or private loans and whether they needed to pull water or not were negatively correlated with herdsmen's income, that is, aging. Chronic diseases and their support for students, loans, water resources are all constraints on the income growth of herdsmen. Whether participate in the ecological award policy and other five variables and herdsmen income were significantly positive correlation, indicating that the use of traditional knowledge, feeding scale, feeding methods and ecological policy are all factors to promote the increase of herdsmen's income at the same time. The average education level of labor force, the number of family labor force, the proportion of productive input to total expenditure and whether Gacha cadres have no significant influence on the per capita net income of herdsmen. That is, the pastoral economy has not changed the traditional management, education, factors of production input effect is not significant, can not play its best role in improving income. Therefore, improve herdsmen's living conditions and social welfare at the same time. Full use should be made of its potential and capacity to promote the growth of its income.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：內(nèi)蒙古大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F323.8

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本文編號(hào)：1463972