本文關(guān)鍵詞： 農(nóng)村居民 平均消費(fèi)傾向 影響因素 絕對(duì)收入假說　出處：《云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：研究居民的消費(fèi)行為,關(guān)鍵要說明農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)傾向的變化及原因。農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)傾向的研究,對(duì)于我國制定適宜的政策來引導(dǎo)農(nóng)民消費(fèi),調(diào)整消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)有一定的指導(dǎo)意義。在確立社會(huì)主義市場經(jīng)濟(jì)的改革目標(biāo)以來,我國農(nóng)村居民平均消費(fèi)傾向整體呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì),在這樣的現(xiàn)狀下,本文試圖通過計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的實(shí)證方法探究影響平均消費(fèi)傾向變動(dòng)的因素,并進(jìn)一步驗(yàn)證我國農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)行為符合的消費(fèi)理論。本文共分為五個(gè)部分:第一部分為引言,主要介紹選題背景及意義、國內(nèi)外研究綜述、研究思路、創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)和不足之處。第二部分為相關(guān)概念和理論概述,界定農(nóng)村居民、消費(fèi)支出和平均消費(fèi)傾向,并概述西方消費(fèi)理論。第三部分為農(nóng)村居民的消費(fèi)現(xiàn)狀,首先,描述社會(huì)主義市場經(jīng)濟(jì)改革以來,我國農(nóng)村居民平均消費(fèi)傾向的變動(dòng)特征和邊際消費(fèi)傾的逆周期特征;然后,對(duì)農(nóng)村消費(fèi)和城鎮(zhèn)消費(fèi)、GDP增長進(jìn)行比較,分析農(nóng)村消費(fèi)存在的滯后性;最后,簡要分析農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的變動(dòng)。第四部分為農(nóng)村居民平均消費(fèi)傾向變動(dòng)的實(shí)證研究,將絕對(duì)收入、持久收入和暫時(shí)性收入、相對(duì)收入和不確定性進(jìn)行量化后,通過計(jì)量回歸,研究它們對(duì)平均消費(fèi)傾向變動(dòng)的影響,并進(jìn)行分區(qū)域比較,最終得出結(jié)論:我國農(nóng)村居民的消費(fèi)行為符合絕對(duì)收入假說。第五部分為政策建議,通過實(shí)證研究結(jié)果,提出相應(yīng)的政策建議:更新農(nóng)民的消費(fèi)觀念,打破傳統(tǒng)消費(fèi)習(xí)慣的束縛;完善收入分配政策,縮小城鄉(xiāng)收入差距;完善農(nóng)村社會(huì)保障制度,平滑農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi);完善資本市場,大力發(fā)展農(nóng)村消費(fèi)信貸。
[Abstract]:To study the consumption behavior of the residents, the key is to explain the changes and reasons of the consumption tendency of the rural residents. The study of the consumption tendency of the rural residents, for our country to formulate appropriate policies to guide the consumption of farmers. The adjustment of consumption structure has certain guiding significance. Since the establishment of the reform goal of socialist market economy, the average consumption tendency of rural residents in China has shown a downward trend as a whole, under such a current situation. This paper attempts to explore the factors that affect the change of average consumption tendency through econometric empirical method. This article is divided into five parts: the first part is the introduction, mainly introduces the background and significance of the topic, domestic and foreign research review, research ideas. Innovation points and deficiencies. The second part is related concepts and theoretical overview, defining rural residents, consumer expenditure and average consumption tendency, and summarized western consumption theory. The third part is the consumption status of rural residents. First of all, it describes the characteristics of the change of average consumption tendency of rural residents and the counter-cyclical characteristics of marginal consumption tendency since the reform of socialist market economy. Then, the author compares the GDP growth between rural consumption and urban consumption, and analyzes the lag of rural consumption. Finally, the paper briefly analyzes the change of rural residents' consumption structure. 4th part is the empirical study on the change of average consumption tendency of rural residents, which will include absolute income, permanent income and temporary income. After quantitative analysis of relative income and uncertainty, the influence of relative income and uncertainty on the change of average consumption tendency is studied by means of econometric regression, and compared by sub-region. Finally, the conclusion is drawn: the consumption behavior of rural residents in China accords with the absolute income hypothesis. Part 5th is the policy recommendations. Through the empirical research results, the corresponding policy recommendations are put forward: to update the farmers' consumption concept. Break the shackles of traditional consumption habits; Improve the income distribution policy and narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas; Perfecting the rural social security system and smoothing the consumption of rural residents; We will improve the capital market and vigorously develop rural consumer credit.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F323.8

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 陳曉飛;趙昊東;;農(nóng)村居民收入來源結(jié)構(gòu)與邊際消費(fèi)傾向——基于整體性與區(qū)域差異的比較研究[J];商業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2016年13期

2 賈小玫;焦陽;;我國農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)變化趨勢(shì)及影響因素的實(shí)證分析[J];消費(fèi)經(jīng)濟(jì);2016年02期

3 張欣蕾;;中國財(cái)政支出與農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)之間的關(guān)系[J];農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)與科技;2016年05期

4 鄭震;羅述權(quán);;流動(dòng)性約束、不確定性與農(nóng)村居民家庭消費(fèi)——基于我國四大經(jīng)濟(jì)地區(qū)的面板數(shù)據(jù)[J];長春師范大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào);2016年02期

5 侯為民;;試析城鎮(zhèn)化推進(jìn)模式與擴(kuò)大農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)的關(guān)系[J];消費(fèi)經(jīng)濟(jì);2015年02期

6 胡紹雨;申曙光;;財(cái)政農(nóng)業(yè)支出對(duì)我國農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)影響的實(shí)證分析——基于協(xié)整分析與誤差修正模型[J];蘭州商學(xué)院學(xué)報(bào);2014年06期

7 鞏師恩;;中國農(nóng)村居民的收入波動(dòng)如何影響了消費(fèi)波動(dòng)?——基于結(jié)構(gòu)視角的實(shí)證研究[J];南京農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(社會(huì)科學(xué)版);2014年06期

8 夏永祥;盛培宏;;城鄉(xiāng)統(tǒng)籌、城鎮(zhèn)化與農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)關(guān)系研究[J];西部論壇;2014年06期

9 譚濤;張燕媛;唐若迪;侯雅莉;;中國農(nóng)村居民家庭消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)分析:基于QUAIDS模型的兩階段一致估計(jì)[J];中國農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì);2014年09期

10 司福寧;武新乾;田萍;;我國農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)與收入關(guān)系的實(shí)證分析[J];農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)與科技;2014年08期

，

本文編號(hào)：1451852