四川省城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展對(duì)農(nóng)民收入水平增長(zhǎng)的影響研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-01-17 21:13
本文關(guān)鍵詞:四川省城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展對(duì)農(nóng)民收入水平增長(zhǎng)的影響研究 出處:《西南科技大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文 論文類(lèi)型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 農(nóng)民增收 城鎮(zhèn)化 協(xié)整理論 動(dòng)態(tài)計(jì)量 四川省
【摘要】:農(nóng)民增收問(wèn)題是“三農(nóng)”問(wèn)題的核心。四川省作為我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)大省,農(nóng)業(yè)人口眾多,在城鎮(zhèn)化快速發(fā)展的時(shí)代背景下,如何利用城鎮(zhèn)化來(lái)促進(jìn)農(nóng)民增收已經(jīng)成為四川省經(jīng)濟(jì)工作的重中之重。本文使用城鎮(zhèn)常住人口作為城鎮(zhèn)化水平的衡量變量,利用四川省和浙江省2000-2013年的數(shù)據(jù),站在城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展對(duì)農(nóng)民收入不同成份、對(duì)不同收入水平農(nóng)民增收的影響和川浙對(duì)比分析的基礎(chǔ)上,用計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的方法系統(tǒng)的分析了四川省城鎮(zhèn)化對(duì)農(nóng)民增收的各種影響關(guān)系。得出了下述結(jié)論:首先,四川省城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展與農(nóng)民人均純收入及其各個(gè)組成部分之間均存在長(zhǎng)期的正向均衡關(guān)系,但對(duì)人均純收入各構(gòu)成部分的影響力度不同,城鎮(zhèn)化水平每提高1%,農(nóng)民人均純收入、工資性收入、經(jīng)營(yíng)性收入、財(cái)產(chǎn)性收入和轉(zhuǎn)移性收入分別增長(zhǎng)約2.5%,2.5%,0.59%,12.42%和3.79%,影響力由大到小依次為:財(cái)產(chǎn)性收入、轉(zhuǎn)移性收入、工資性收入和經(jīng)營(yíng)性收入,這與前人的研究結(jié)果有所區(qū)別。雖然在短期內(nèi)城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展對(duì)農(nóng)民收入各構(gòu)成部分的沖擊作用很小,但長(zhǎng)期來(lái)看其作用逐漸增強(qiáng),并趨于穩(wěn)定,這要求在制定相關(guān)政策時(shí)要以長(zhǎng)期為主,短期為輔。其次,四川省城鎮(zhèn)化對(duì)不同收入水平農(nóng)民增收都存在著積極的影響,但是其影響力度是不同的,城鎮(zhèn)化水平每提高1%,高收入、中等收入和低收入水平農(nóng)民的收入分別可以增長(zhǎng)約4.56,8.46和3.40個(gè)百分點(diǎn),影響力度由大到小依次為:高收入、中等收入和低收入。城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展對(duì)收入差距擴(kuò)大的彈性系數(shù)為4.56,表明城鎮(zhèn)化水平每提高1%,收入差距擴(kuò)大4.56%。隨著四川省城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展,四川省農(nóng)村內(nèi)部的收入差距不斷地?cái)U(kuò)大。最后,對(duì)比四川省和浙江省城鎮(zhèn)化對(duì)農(nóng)民收入增長(zhǎng)的影響,發(fā)現(xiàn)雖然二省的城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展水平對(duì)農(nóng)民收入增長(zhǎng)都存在較為顯著地促進(jìn)作用,但是無(wú)論從短期來(lái)看還是從長(zhǎng)期來(lái)看,浙江省的城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展對(duì)農(nóng)民收入增長(zhǎng)的影響都明顯的高于四川省。從彈性系數(shù)的角度來(lái)看,對(duì)四川省和浙江省來(lái)說(shuō),城鎮(zhèn)化水平每提高1%,農(nóng)民人均純收入可以提高2.4068%和3.9059%,我們可以看出浙江省的效用是四川省的1.6倍;短期內(nèi)對(duì)農(nóng)民人均純收入的調(diào)整力度分別為0.2521和0.8536,浙江省的自我調(diào)節(jié)機(jī)制也優(yōu)于四川省。在實(shí)證分析與實(shí)地調(diào)研的基礎(chǔ)上,站在收入結(jié)構(gòu)視角下,提煉出浙江省城鎮(zhèn)化戰(zhàn)略對(duì)農(nóng)民收入增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)鍵模式,即收入的協(xié)同效應(yīng)。在上述研究的基礎(chǔ)上,分別站在農(nóng)民不同收入結(jié)構(gòu)視角、不同收入水平視角下,在借鑒沿海發(fā)達(dá)省份的經(jīng)驗(yàn)上提出對(duì)策建議。
[Abstract]:As a big agricultural province in China, Sichuan Province has a large agricultural population, under the background of the rapid development of urbanization. How to use urbanization to promote farmers' income has become the most important part of the economic work in Sichuan Province. This paper uses the urban resident population as the measurement variable of urbanization level. Based on the data of Sichuan Province and Zhejiang Province from 2000 to 2013, this paper analyzes the effects of urbanization on farmers' income and the increase of farmers' income in different income levels as well as the comparative analysis between Sichuan and Zhejiang. This paper systematically analyzes the relationship between urbanization and farmers' income in Sichuan Province by econometrics method and draws the following conclusions: first of all. There is a long-term positive equilibrium relationship between the development of urbanization and the per capita net income of farmers and its components, but the impact on the components of per capita net income is different. For every increase in the level of urbanization, the per capita net income, wage income, operating income, property income and transfer income of farmers increased by about 2.5% and 0.59% respectively. In 12.42% and 3.79, the order of influence is: property income, transfer income, wage income and operating income. This is different from previous research results. Although the impact of urbanization on farmers' income components is very small in the short term, in the long run, its role is gradually enhanced, and tends to stabilize. This requires that in the formulation of related policies to long-term, short-term supplementary. Secondly, urbanization in Sichuan Province has a positive impact on the income of farmers at different levels of income, but its impact is different. For every increase in urbanization level, the income of farmers with high income, middle income and low income can increase by about 4.56% or 8.46% and 3.40% respectively. The degree of influence from big to small is as follows: high income, middle income and low income. The elasticity coefficient of urbanization development on income gap is 4.56, indicating that the level of urbanization increases by 1%. With the development of urbanization in Sichuan Province, the income gap within the rural areas of Sichuan Province continues to expand. Finally, the impact of urbanization on the growth of farmers' income in Sichuan Province and Zhejiang Province is compared. It is found that although the urbanization level of the two provinces has a relatively significant role in promoting the growth of farmers' income, it can be seen in both the short and long term. The impact of urbanization on the growth of farmers' income in Zhejiang Province is obviously higher than that in Sichuan Province. From the perspective of elasticity coefficient, for Sichuan and Zhejiang Province, the level of urbanization increases by 1%. The per capita net income of farmers can be increased by 2.4068% and 3.9059. we can see that the utility of Zhejiang Province is 1.6 times that of Sichuan Province. In the short term, the adjustment of farmers' per capita net income is 0.2521 and 0.8536 respectively, and the self-regulation mechanism of Zhejiang Province is better than that of Sichuan Province. From the perspective of income structure, this paper abstracts the key model of urbanization strategy to farmers' income growth in Zhejiang Province, that is, the synergetic effect of income. On the basis of the above research, the author respectively stands in the perspective of different income structure of farmers. From the perspective of different income levels, this paper puts forward some suggestions on the experience of developed coastal provinces.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西南科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F299.27;F323.8
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