本文選題：碳稅 + 中國能源-環(huán)境-經(jīng)濟(jì)模型　； 參考：《自然資源學(xué)報》2012年07期

【摘要】：為評價實現(xiàn)我國2020年碳排放強(qiáng)度和非化石能源發(fā)展目標(biāo)的經(jīng)濟(jì)和環(huán)境影響,論文應(yīng)用基于動態(tài)CGE模型的中國能源-環(huán)境-經(jīng)濟(jì)模型,模擬了不同減排政策下的減排效果及經(jīng)濟(jì)影響。模擬結(jié)果顯示,征收40元/t CO2碳稅,將碳稅作為政府收入、居民收入、削減影響較大行業(yè)的生產(chǎn)稅、以及用于非化石能源投資,2020年所能實現(xiàn)的減排量分別相當(dāng)于CO2排放強(qiáng)度在2005年的基礎(chǔ)上下降35.87%、35.80%、35.07%和40.13%,非化石能源的消費量將占到總消費量的10.99%、11.00%、10.75%和15.82%。政策情景下對經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響并不是十分顯著,GDP的損失不超過0.2%。綜合考慮到減排效益和經(jīng)濟(jì)影響,將碳稅收入用作對非化石能源的投資,不僅有利于促進(jìn)我國實現(xiàn)2020年碳排放強(qiáng)度目標(biāo),而且對于實現(xiàn)非化石能源發(fā)展目標(biāo)也發(fā)揮著重要的作用。
[Abstract]:In order to evaluate the economic and environmental impact of achieving China's 2020 carbon emission intensity and non-fossil energy development goals, a Chinese energy-environment-economy model based on dynamic CGE model is applied in this paper. The emission-reduction effect and economic impact of different emission reduction policies are simulated. The simulation results show that the 40 yuan / t CO2 carbon tax will be used as government revenue, residents' income and production tax, which will affect larger industries, will be reduced. As well as the investment in non-fossil energy, the emission reduction that can be realized in 2020 is equivalent to the reduction of CO2 emission intensity by 35.870.80 35.07% and 40.1313% respectively on the basis of 2005. The consumption of non-fossil energy will account for 10.999.00% and 15.82% of the total consumption. The impact on the economy under the policy scenario is not very significant and the GDP loss does not exceed 0.2. Considering the efficiency of emission reduction and economic impact, using carbon tax revenue as an investment in non-fossil energy is not only conducive to promoting China to achieve the 2020 carbon emission intensity target. Moreover, it also plays an important role in realizing the development goal of non-fossil energy.
【作者單位】： 中國科學(xué)院研究生院;中國科學(xué)院虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)與數(shù)據(jù)科學(xué)研究中心;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金面上項目(71173212);國家自然科學(xué)基金地球科學(xué)部青年基金項目(41101556)
【分類號】：F123;X196

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 蘇明;傅志華;許文;王志剛;李欣;梁強(qiáng);;碳稅的國際經(jīng)驗與借鑒[J];環(huán)境經(jīng)濟(jì);2009年09期

2 於方;過孝民;張衍q，

本文編號：1905362